Eagles -2.5 + Analysis

Quote Originally Posted by SharpStatsGuy:

Offensive firepower also is a big advantage for the Eagles. The 49ers just put up a measly 19 pts at home against a Cowboys team with a pretty good defense. This includes 0 TD passes from Purdy. The Eagles on the other hand put up 60 points total against the same Cowboys in 2 meetings this year. That includes 34 from Minshew when Hurts was injured. The Eagles average 28.6 points per game which is the 2nd most in the NFL. This includes 28 ppg at home. The 49ers will not be able to play a ball control offense in this game, the Eagles defense is too good to allow them to eat up clock and stay on the field for long stretches. At some point Purdy will have to make plays. Does anyone truly believe that a rookie QB making his 9th career start can put up the 28+ points it will likely take to win this game in the most hostile environment of his career? It’s just not a likely scenario folks and something that has never been done by a rookie QB in NFL history. Why is this different?     And finally, weather doesn’t seem to be a huge factor now but that could change before Sunday. Forecast could even hit high 40’s or low 50’s but is that an advantage for SF? I don’t see it that way. Anything that gives Jalen Hurts and the high powered Eagles offense more opportunity to play their game is a disadvantage for SF. If you watched the 49ers beat GB in the snow last year you would realize that poor weather is the ultimate neutralizer in football for the weaker offensive team. A sunny day in Philadelphia is a big disadvantage for SF. There is a lot of additional info you could look at if you wanted to dig in more but I feel like this post has gotten to be long enough by now and I have covered the most important factors. My point is, this is how you break down and handicap a game, not by watching ESPN or focusing on winning streaks or other outside noise. Anything can happen in the NFL and if the 49ers pull it off I’ll tip my hat to them, but I’ll also be shocked. Eagles -2.5 (max unit play for me which is 5)   PS. Be careful on SF teasers as well, you really think the books are just gonna make a SF/KC teaser that easy? GL