GOW: Chicago Bears -10.....here's WHY.....

Quote Originally Posted by bigslickk:

Like the play .....Seattle are a much different team on the road and it shows on Sunday.  Throw in a nasty defense and S/T and the only way this game is close is if the Bears turn the ball over.  GL...

Jay Cutlers job to turn the ball over, he does it soo effortlessly

haha..excellent point.

Who knows, I might make a play on that one still after both Bears and Steelers cash! (hopefully)  :)

 Yeah I know the stats are floating out there that QB's in their 1st playoff games aren't that successful, etc.  Well, how many of those QB's were in a similar position as Cutler is on Sunday?  What I mean is, how many had a stud D, stud Special Teams, 2 weeks to prepare, and a team traveling across country to face them for the 2nd time in a year?  I would guess not many...

Also, most people that will take Seattle in this game will say that 'fading' Jay Cutler is the main reason.  But the fact of the matter is that 2010 was arguably Hasselbeck's worst year as a starter.  He averaged 6.8 ypc, 59.9% completion, 12 TD's and 17 INT's.  His passer rating was 73.2 which is way below his career average of 82.2  On the other hand, Cutler had one of the finest seasons of his career -- 7.6 ypc average, 60.4% completion, 23 TD's and 16 INT's (16 TD's and 9 INT's after the bye-week).  His passer rating of 86.3 is above his career average of 84.3....Now, looking at these #'s, which QB would you rather back?

The trends you mentioned, apply to a different situation, different team, and a different opponent.  Plus all 'trends' balance out eventually.  I'm not a 'trend' handicapper so I don't put much weight into those...

GL

Quote Originally Posted by WizrduvOdz:

I like the Bears and Pitt/ Balt under, still deciding which one to play

Pitt/Balt under is a very 'sharp' number.  The move from 36.5 to 37 is something else you need to consider (squares don't move lines that early in the week).  Sure both defenses are top-notch but so are both offenses.  Out of curiousity, what's your angle in that one?   (If I had to play that one, I'd lean OVER most likely)

One more interesting trend guys:  Seattle is 0-9 ATS AWAY off a home win over the last 3 seasons.  

So we have a 100% 'angle' here 

Good luck!

Meaningless game?  Did you watch it?  They did everything they could to win that game to keep the Pack out and they failed!  They will also fail on Sunday when Seattle wins outright

Seattle 27 Chicago 13

thanks for the writeup- Im still on seattle +10 in a playoff game...

    serious after they beat the saints , they gotta beat the shitty bears and cutler.

  cutler suks          

Of course I watched - I was at the game!  The Bears had a very 'vanilla' game plan.  Sure they tried to win the game, but they did NOT do EVERYTHING they could.  That game confirmed to me that even in a situation where the Bears don't open up the playbook, their D and ST are great enough to stay competitive.  I expect this team to be very effective on Sunday.

Good luck buddy.  Go BEARS

Quote Originally Posted by HEFADEME:

Nice write up bodio.   I agree with the pick 


One more stat to consider.     Total pts in the last 3 games @ Soldier Field were...57...43...72.    So, OVER 41.5 might be a decent play on Sunday

GL

Well, not necessarily.  What happened in those 3 games doesn't necessarily have an impact on this one.  A different team, different circumstances, etc...  Final score could be 31-10 Bears and the UNDER will hit.  I'd be very careful here, as I don't see Seattle breaking 14 points...

hehe...ok  If Cutler "suks", what does it make old-man Hasselbeck?   Good luck buddy!  Go BEARS

haha...solid! 

BEAR DOWN!