If the Chiefs are going to beat the Ravens

The chiefs are gonna be missing one of their best linemen and I think it’s obvious what Andy Reid’s game plan is gonna be…mimic the rams game out of any of those teams. They are gonna line up in 13 personnel 1 rb and 3 TEs and run the ball to set up the play action. They are not going to rely on a heavy pass game if the run is working and that’s why the total is as low as it is. And also because the ravens have a path to winning a low scoring game. The Chiefs path to winning is effective running, keeping Lamar on the sidelines, and Lamar turning it over and the chiefs winning a 23-17 type game. The problem with that theory is the chiefs run game will not be the same without possibly their best offensive linemen. A backup linemen playing this hostile environment. And also the ravens are very explosive led by an ultra talented and determined Quarterback who can do it all.  Also because everyone knows Mahomes can do it but haven’t seen Lamar do it so they are betting Mahomes…this is a fact regardless of where you think the public is. That narrative is more powerful than all of the narratives and that’s why the most causal bettors are lining up to take the chiefs. Regardless of if the ravens win or lose that is just simply the case. I’m in Maryland and sheep are doubting Lamar. 

KC had 3 weeks in a row this year where they didn’t score a single point in the 2nd half. We saw ravens adjustments after halftime last week. They will be ready for Spags schemes. 

If you go 3 weeks in a row without scoring a 2nd half point I am sorry you do not deserve to play for a superbowl I don’t care what you think you fixed. This offense is not explosive. They have gone far enough. And obviously everyone sucking off Mahomes record as an underdog. But again…Lamar win % is as good as ANYONE. 

RXistrash said: They are gonna line up in 13 personnel 1 rb and 3 TEs and run the ball to set up the play action. They are not going to rely on a heavy pass game if the run is working and that’s why the total is as low as it is.

Well, Chris Simm completely disagrees, and says if they do that, they are going to lose. He thinks the Ravens will love if KC tries playing 1 rb, 3 TE's, 1 wideout and tries playing Balt smash mouth. He thinks their best chance is to spread it out and throw on the Ravens. Here is his video from yesterday on exactly that point.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uVZ3If8rdVA

I remember last week you were so down on lamar.  You told everyone to take Houston as a reverse jinx. You been very quiet this week cause you have enough common sense to know the NFL and Vegas won't allow lamar to make it to the superbowl. The ratings drop off from Baltimore vs San Fran to KC vs San Fran is billions. Vegas won't lose billions. Good riddance . 

Chris Sims is a sheep. They don’t have options to do that outside of Rice and Kelce. They are not going to start the game like that that’s for sure, but when they get down points they will have no choice but to. Kyren Williams had 25 carries for 114 yards in that game at Baltimore. With Pacheco and Clyde Edwards and mixing in the play action that’s their best chance. They are going to lose regardless I’m just telling you their best chances. Ravens disguise too well and the chiefs don’t have enough playmakers to consistently hurt them. 

Who you talking to? I know it’s not me

Talking to Ravensandho I didn't see or read your post. Still haven't. Gl sir

Ok cool. And that’s fine.  Gl

Mahomes is 9-1 against the spread in playoff games as a pup!!! Nuff Said 

@KTriple

 you have enough common sense to know the NFL and Vegas won't allow lamar to make it to the superbowl. 

@RXistrash

Now that's Handicapping, at its finest. Love it.

@RXistrash

Now that's Handicapping, at its finest. Love it.

@fanofskers

 Mahomes is 9-1 against the spread in playoff games as a pup!!! Nuff Said 

Why do people keep posting this?  This is false.  Fugazi.  Fake.  Bad stat.  Inaccurate data.  

Mahomes has only been a playoff underdog TWICE in his career.  

@RXistrash

 mimic the rams game out of any of those teams. They are gonna line up in 13 personnel 1 rb and 3 TEs and run the ball to set up the play action. They are not going to rely on a heavy pass game if the run is working and that’s why the total is as low as it is. 

Is this really what the Rams did in that near upset ?  That 31 was most points Ravens D gave up all season at home just behind the Browns game at 33.  Was also kind of a let down spot for Ravens vs. non-conference opponent. 

KC played 13 personnel vs. the Bills at the highest rate of any game all year.  They normally play 12 the highest %.  Bills were playing backups at LB though and that was a big factor in KC's game plan running that 13 so much.  No coincidence that Kelce had his best game in over half a season.  I'd be surprised if this was the same plan of attack vs. Baltimore, their defensive personnel is on a different level talentwise and other than Humphrey, is very healthy.  This will be the first time Mahomes and Reid have gone up against McDonald so not a lot to base any assumptions off of.  With how McDonald mixes up his coverages and adjusts through the game I would lean more so on Reid coming in with similar offensive game plan, try to be a little unpredictable (like how they came out throwing in sub zero temps vs. Miami)  mixing it up himself to counter Ravens DC.  

Both KC with Spags and Balty with MAC have been absolutely dominant in their 2H adjustments.  KC hasn't allowed a single QB to throw more than 1 TD in any 2H all year, #1 overall in 2H scoring allowed while Ravens #7.  Right now the 2H O/U is 22.5 

@ricraider

 Yes he has lost a road playoff game !! The Super Bowl was in Tampa so it was a road game , Tampa was at home 

Someone else missed the joke too huh..... 

All Super Bowls are "road" games.... in the spirit of discussion, usually the SB stats are sub sectioned from playoff stats.  

Different topic but fun fact, the only reason Tampa was "at home" for that SB was due to Covid.  Game was supposed to be in the Rams new LA stadium.  Because Cali wouldn't allow people in the stands it was moved to a different site, the following year's site (Tampa) and then LA flip flopped the host year with them.  This created back to back years where the "home" team hosted their Super Bowl.  

The alternative is losing faster and by more points if they try to spread it out and throw it a ton. He has no legit options outside of Rice and Kelce. There is no bradberry on the field to consistently exploit vs a bum WR. Their best chance is to run the ball and play a low scoring game. 

@RXistrash

 Well there is obviously more than one alternative to NOT playing 13 personnel.  I mean, Andy Reid is one of the greatest offensive minds to coach football and coming out 4 and 5 wide is not something KC has done with any regularity since going back to 2021.  

Ravens have been dominant vs. outside pass routes.  They have been slightly below average with the middle of the field.  Andy is no dummy.  2 TE sets is KC's bread and butter.  I agree, their best chance to win is to get the run game going and the PA off it.  This game could get out of hand if they try to track meet it.  

They keep posting it because they are confused.  Mahomes is 9-1-1 ATS as a dog.  He is not 9-1 in the playoffs as a dog.

@kcblitzkrieg

That's not a fact. It's false

"Los Angeles was originally chosen as the host site for Super Bowl LV in a vote on May 24, 2016. However, due to construction delays, authorities announced that the stadium would not be completed until the start of the 2020 NFL season. On May 23, 2017, NFL owners voted unanimously, with the Rams' approval, to move Super Bowl LV to Tampa. The City of Inglewood instead hosted Super Bowl LVI in 2022.

@RXistrash

 I am guessing a lib tard Biden voter? One who sees EVERYTHING through the LENS OF RACE! 

That's wrong. Mahomes hasn't been an underdog in the playoffs 10 times, smh. You should be slapped into a coma for spreading that bullshit. 

Go Ravens 

Mahomes is 9-1-1 ATS as an Underdog.  Go ahead and write him off!

@RavensOsNHoes

 Chiefs total offense ranked 9. Yes not their usual offense and been tough to watch at times but you are a little far fetched with that comment