Posted:
#26
my bad on rams you ment giants. tough to judge line on that game! GOOD no bet.
0
ok, here is what I have in the nfl early this week...
the system #1: fade teams that won as home dogs in divisional revenge game the previous week. this simple and yet easy to understand system is 102-62 ats which is good for 62.2% over tons of games. now, if i add a few more parameters and change some basic parameters a little bit, here is what we get:
go against favorites that won their divisional revenge game at home last week as underdogs, pkem or faves of -1 and -1.5, if they trailed after three quarters...18-0 ats.
now, i am fully aware that buffalo owns cincinnati but that win over new england could be too big to not have a letdown after that.
anyways, the play #1 is cincinnati +3.
the system #2:
fade favorites on standard 6 days of rest if they played and won at least two straight home favorite games...thois system would give us a 89-49 ats record in last 138 nfl games...which is 64.5%.
and if they won by 7 or less and trailed by less than 10 after three quarters, they are 0-13 ats.
so, the play #2 is jacksonville +7
i will probably have one more play and no, it will not be carolina. the panthers do fit one of the systems from the top of this thread but there are many reasons why i do not want carolina on my card. not saying that they wont cover, just not playing them.
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