Congrats AFN!!! this system looks great! we all just have to remember their isn't anything in this life that is perfect! the only thing missing from the system would be a calculation on percentage of success or how strong of a play it is. Keep up your excellent work!
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Congrats AFN!!! this system looks great! we all just have to remember their isn't anything in this life that is perfect! the only thing missing from the system would be a calculation on percentage of success or how strong of a play it is. Keep up your excellent work!
Congrats AFN!!! this system looks great! we all just have to remember their isn't anything in this life that is perfect! the only thing missing from the system would be a calculation on percentage of success or how strong of a play it is. Keep up your excellent work!
Actually working on that...as I've noticed something in the program that looks like I can narrow down really strong plays...I will be posting them next week Sunday after I run the numbers for Sundays plays
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Quote Originally Posted by W-Rod:
Congrats AFN!!! this system looks great! we all just have to remember their isn't anything in this life that is perfect! the only thing missing from the system would be a calculation on percentage of success or how strong of a play it is. Keep up your excellent work!
Actually working on that...as I've noticed something in the program that looks like I can narrow down really strong plays...I will be posting them next week Sunday after I run the numbers for Sundays plays
The Panthers may be 2-8 on the season, but it has been one of the most difficult schedules in the NFL. The worst team they have faced record-wise is the 5-6 Washington Redskins, a team they beat for one of their wins. The next worst team is the 5-5 New Orleans Saints, who the Panthers also beat. All eight of their losses have come at the expense of winning teams, so they should find themselves with an edge here vs. an Eagles team that has seemingly thrown in the towel. Losing breeds losing for the Eagles as this team is now 5-16-1 ATS in their last 22 following a loss. The Panthers have had success on the road at 6-2 ATS in their last eight away from home. Carolina isn’t great, but the Eagles are worse, getting outscored by 9 points per game on the season (18.3 per game over their last three). The Panthers should win this game by a field goal or more.
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The Panthers may be 2-8 on the season, but it has been one of the most difficult schedules in the NFL. The worst team they have faced record-wise is the 5-6 Washington Redskins, a team they beat for one of their wins. The next worst team is the 5-5 New Orleans Saints, who the Panthers also beat. All eight of their losses have come at the expense of winning teams, so they should find themselves with an edge here vs. an Eagles team that has seemingly thrown in the towel. Losing breeds losing for the Eagles as this team is now 5-16-1 ATS in their last 22 following a loss. The Panthers have had success on the road at 6-2 ATS in their last eight away from home. Carolina isn’t great, but the Eagles are worse, getting outscored by 9 points per game on the season (18.3 per game over their last three). The Panthers should win this game by a field goal or more.
Good stuff on this AFN. Went 2-1 (damn bucs pickem!!!). So home dog tonight huh? What do the defensive percentages look like for each team? I'd say if they are both negative, I'd lean over, but it's not, it's a no play for me.
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Good stuff on this AFN. Went 2-1 (damn bucs pickem!!!). So home dog tonight huh? What do the defensive percentages look like for each team? I'd say if they are both negative, I'd lean over, but it's not, it's a no play for me.
Keep up the great work AFN. This site needs more good cappers like you. Taking Philly tonight but buying that extra hook but this will be a small play for me. I think Reid should be
able to read Rivera pretty nice. But to be honest with you this is a 50 50 game, but just like the home field advantage and Reid over Rivera. Best of luck to you all.... Lets get that money back after a tought weekend....
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Keep up the great work AFN. This site needs more good cappers like you. Taking Philly tonight but buying that extra hook but this will be a small play for me. I think Reid should be
able to read Rivera pretty nice. But to be honest with you this is a 50 50 game, but just like the home field advantage and Reid over Rivera. Best of luck to you all.... Lets get that money back after a tought weekend....
Indeed was a shaky day losing to juice not to bad but I hate juicing...
ran the numbers for MNF...
Obviously slight edge percentages for Carolina as eagles are in shambles but I'm not sold on Carolina as a favorite on the road according to the weighted average baseline numbers...
Panthers -19% @ Eagles -22%
What's even more interesting is have panthers and browns with same overall weighted average numbers at -19% I would never put money on browns as a favorite on the road lol...so why panthers today?Both playing like garbage but at a 3% difference ill take the home dog
Pick eagles +3
Hope the whole forum tail your plays, cause I don't know how to share system with my bad English.
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Quote Originally Posted by AFNfootballnerd:
Indeed was a shaky day losing to juice not to bad but I hate juicing...
ran the numbers for MNF...
Obviously slight edge percentages for Carolina as eagles are in shambles but I'm not sold on Carolina as a favorite on the road according to the weighted average baseline numbers...
Panthers -19% @ Eagles -22%
What's even more interesting is have panthers and browns with same overall weighted average numbers at -19% I would never put money on browns as a favorite on the road lol...so why panthers today?Both playing like garbage but at a 3% difference ill take the home dog
Pick eagles +3
Hope the whole forum tail your plays, cause I don't know how to share system with my bad English.
That green bay game did u think bout the injurys to? Maybe that can help with ur system in the near future.. Ur system prolly was correct if all the main players that was out due to injury was to play last night I think ur system wouldve been a winner but who knows.. Good Luck!
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That green bay game did u think bout the injurys to? Maybe that can help with ur system in the near future.. Ur system prolly was correct if all the main players that was out due to injury was to play last night I think ur system wouldve been a winner but who knows.. Good Luck!
Actually working on that...as I've noticed something in the program that looks like I can narrow down really strong plays...I will be posting them next week Sunday after I run the numbers for Sundays plays
You're the man!!!
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Quote Originally Posted by AFNfootballnerd:
Actually working on that...as I've noticed something in the program that looks like I can narrow down really strong plays...I will be posting them next week Sunday after I run the numbers for Sundays plays
Been lurking around this forum for awhile now and decided to join the fun after reading this post. Look like a really good system. If you don't mind me just joining, please add me.
Thanks
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Been lurking around this forum for awhile now and decided to join the fun after reading this post. Look like a really good system. If you don't mind me just joining, please add me.
Indeed was a shaky day losing to juice not to bad but I hate juicing...
ran the numbers for MNF...
Obviously slight edge percentages for Carolina as eagles are in shambles but I'm not sold on Carolina as a favorite on the road according to the weighted average baseline numbers...
Panthers -19% @ Eagles -22%
What's even more interesting is have panthers and browns with same overall weighted average numbers at -19% I would never put money on browns as a favorite on the road lol...so why panthers today?Both playing like garbage but at a 3% difference ill take the home dog
Pick eagles +3
Just to be clear the system says to take the Panthers but your personal opinion is the Eagles, correct?
Also does the numbers factor in that Vick is out, McCoy is out, Maclin is out, and the offensive line is out?
Taking Carolina
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Quote Originally Posted by AFNfootballnerd:
Indeed was a shaky day losing to juice not to bad but I hate juicing...
ran the numbers for MNF...
Obviously slight edge percentages for Carolina as eagles are in shambles but I'm not sold on Carolina as a favorite on the road according to the weighted average baseline numbers...
Panthers -19% @ Eagles -22%
What's even more interesting is have panthers and browns with same overall weighted average numbers at -19% I would never put money on browns as a favorite on the road lol...so why panthers today?Both playing like garbage but at a 3% difference ill take the home dog
Pick eagles +3
Just to be clear the system says to take the Panthers but your personal opinion is the Eagles, correct?
Also does the numbers factor in that Vick is out, McCoy is out, Maclin is out, and the offensive line is out?
Just to be clear the system says to take the Panthers but your personal opinion is the Eagles, correct?
Also does the numbers factor in that Vick is out, McCoy is out, Maclin is out, and the offensive line is out?
Taking Carolina
No as the program is giving -% an both teams which is a no play...as far as injuries...this program is a percentage of how a team is playing and not individual players...But the reason I'm playing eagles is I noticed the Browns had the exact -19%...I told myself I would never lay chalk to any team with the browns on the road...so why panthers? GL with your wager
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Quote Originally Posted by nittanycougar:
Just to be clear the system says to take the Panthers but your personal opinion is the Eagles, correct?
Also does the numbers factor in that Vick is out, McCoy is out, Maclin is out, and the offensive line is out?
Taking Carolina
No as the program is giving -% an both teams which is a no play...as far as injuries...this program is a percentage of how a team is playing and not individual players...But the reason I'm playing eagles is I noticed the Browns had the exact -19%...I told myself I would never lay chalk to any team with the browns on the road...so why panthers? GL with your wager
Good stuff on this AFN. Went 2-1 (damn bucs pickem!!!). So home dog tonight huh? What do the defensive percentages look like for each team? I'd say if they are both negative, I'd lean over, but it's not, it's a no play for me.
Carolina has a slight edge on defense with -5% and eagles at 1%...nothing that stands out for game totals
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Quote Originally Posted by pcz:
Good stuff on this AFN. Went 2-1 (damn bucs pickem!!!). So home dog tonight huh? What do the defensive percentages look like for each team? I'd say if they are both negative, I'd lean over, but it's not, it's a no play for me.
Carolina has a slight edge on defense with -5% and eagles at 1%...nothing that stands out for game totals
No as the program is giving -% an both teams which is a no play...as far as injuries...this program is a percentage of how a team is playing and not individual players...But the reason I'm playing eagles is I noticed the Browns had the exact -19%...I told myself I would never lay chalk to any team with the browns on the road...so why panthers? GL with your wager
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Quote Originally Posted by AFNfootballnerd:
No as the program is giving -% an both teams which is a no play...as far as injuries...this program is a percentage of how a team is playing and not individual players...But the reason I'm playing eagles is I noticed the Browns had the exact -19%...I told myself I would never lay chalk to any team with the browns on the road...so why panthers? GL with your wager
Great job with all the information given AFN. Been following covers.com for several years now for much of my information, and after reading this thread I have decided to join just to say you've done one absolute hell of job. Cheers mate!
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Great job with all the information given AFN. Been following covers.com for several years now for much of my information, and after reading this thread I have decided to join just to say you've done one absolute hell of job. Cheers mate!
Guess I used your own information to my advantage.
Thanks, sorry it didn't work out for you.
You're still doing well overall. Loved that Patriots matchup you posted vs the Jets.
that's the human element of it as the numbers were better for panthers but decided to go with the browns angle and act like a sharp...took note and will just follow the pure numbers in the program...congrats on the win
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Quote Originally Posted by nittanycougar:
Guess I used your own information to my advantage.
Thanks, sorry it didn't work out for you.
You're still doing well overall. Loved that Patriots matchup you posted vs the Jets.
that's the human element of it as the numbers were better for panthers but decided to go with the browns angle and act like a sharp...took note and will just follow the pure numbers in the program...congrats on the win
Great job with all the information given AFN. Been following covers.com for several years now for much of my information, and after reading this thread I have decided to join just to say you've done one absolute hell of job. Cheers mate!
appreciate it but going 2-3 on the week need to bounce back next week
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Quote Originally Posted by RDTTKA12:
Great job with all the information given AFN. Been following covers.com for several years now for much of my information, and after reading this thread I have decided to join just to say you've done one absolute hell of job. Cheers mate!
appreciate it but going 2-3 on the week need to bounce back next week
I have faith you will bounce back nicely, week 12 NFL was tough on most folks it seems. I find your(and NFL_Sharp's) use of statistical analysis, the weight of certain variables, and just overall intuition on your picks to be exceptional. I believe I'm speaking for the community when I say thanks for sharing your work with us. Group effort to smash those bookies! BOL next week mate.
PS - any way I can subscribe to your page?
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I have faith you will bounce back nicely, week 12 NFL was tough on most folks it seems. I find your(and NFL_Sharp's) use of statistical analysis, the weight of certain variables, and just overall intuition on your picks to be exceptional. I believe I'm speaking for the community when I say thanks for sharing your work with us. Group effort to smash those bookies! BOL next week mate.
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