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Ive created a football program that ive tested and want to share

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Posted: #201
Watching your picks week 13. Put them all down using your system. Start a new post this week so it is easier to get to. Your original one has 5 pages. Much interest in it.
 
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Posted: #202
Hey AFN great run so far Sr. We will get it back this weekend. Thats just how it is and that is why it is VERY IMPORTANT bankroll management. Please keep up the great job and lets take it to these bookies this weekend...
 
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Posted: #203
Any chance you have ran the numbers for TNF Saints v Falcons yet AFN?
 
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Posted: #204
TNF

NO 0% @ ATL 3% these percentages are how a team is performing against average NFL teams...so they are both playing average...

Offensive numbers...

NO 14% ATL 5% not suprised here as saints have a good offense...9% difference in offense...

Defensive numbers...

NO 17%! ATL 1%...so that's a 16% differential...the saints have the same defense numbers as the raiders both at 17%...that differential is huge as I'm not backing the saints on the road with a 16% margin on defense

Pick ATL -2.5 bought the hook this time
 
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Posted: #205

Already took the Falcons AFN. Good luck to you.   

 
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Posted: #206
Just wondering what's the record on this system so far since AFN posted???
 
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Posted: #207
Quote Originally Posted by seattleseahawks:

Just wondering what's the record on this system so far since AFN posted???

7-4 -2  seeing where this program goes as I have to wait till week 6 to get numbers of how teams are playing against the average baseline 
 
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Posted: #208
If ATL is the play the i think it has to be below 3...I agree to buy the hook or this might end up in a tie. I see this game going to the wire. Atl has tackling problems. The running backs are tough runners for NO as we saw last game....Ivory IMO is beasting it right now. GL on your play everyone. One thing I like is that ATL is tough at home...Ryan hardly ever lose at home. If i can get the saints at 4 I might go the other way.
 
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Posted: #209
Quote Originally Posted by salsaboy27:

If ATL is the play the i think it has to be below 3...I agree to buy the hook or this might end up in a tie. I see this game going to the wire. Atl has tackling problems. The running backs are tough runners for NO as we saw last game....Ivory IMO is beasting it right now. GL on your play everyone. One thing I like is that ATL is tough at home...Ryan hardly ever lose at home. If i can get the saints at 4 I might go the other way.

I agree...with saints offensive power and ivory is getting better as the season drags on...but I can't back a bad defense on the road...hopeing ATL defense can at least hold saints for a ATL field goal...
 
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Posted: #210
Last 2 plays for week 13...Im only playing 3 games this week as nothing stands out numbers wise while running the program...

Percentage of how well teams are playing against the Average...

Texans 13% @ Titans -30%

Obviously the numbers are gonna favor Texans offensively and defensively but.... I noticed a trend and backtracked the numbers from week 8.... teams between 12% to 15% against the average have covered or blown out teams...The NYG were at 14% last week and they blown out GB...This week the Texans are the only team in that percentage range

Pick Texans -5.5

Against the average...

Giants 20% @ Redskins 5%

Offensive numbers...

Giants 12% Redskins 4%....Thought the numbers would be closer for Redskins as RG3 is playing well but gonna go with the numbers....

Defensive numbers

Giants -6% Redskins 2%...Giants edge in defense

Special teams ranked Giants 13 Redskins ranked 29?

Gotta go with the Gmen as im not gonna buck the numbers this time....Pick Giants -2.5

All chalk this week
 
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Posted: #211

can you run the numbers for the bengals /chargers game or pm me and show the formula to do it

 

 
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Posted: #212
Do you like bills for suicide pool this week? 
 
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Posted: #213
man that's a tough game as bills are inconsistent team and jaguars figured out how to score now...not sure on this game sorry bud..hope u have better options for games GL with the pool
 
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Posted: #214
 
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Posted: #215

Wow you really got something going here!! just signed up today and read all your post....good stuff keep up the great work!!!!Hope it doesnt stop this week BIG GIANTS fan here...lol BOL and lets make some $$$ this week...

 
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Posted: #216

thanks for your hard work and your sharing.....

folks, please stop asking for him to hand you his system.

he is nice, not dumb.

 
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Posted: #218

 
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Posted: #219
Quote Originally Posted by Waddupson1990:

AFN  true story...tailed u BIG tonight as I wanted to win cash to by my lady a nice ring for Christmas....your the man! 

Actually Thank drew Bree's 5 int's! For the ring lol congrats
 
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Posted: #220
What do u think of bills as a survival pick this week
 
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Posted: #221
Great start on your picks this week...Crazy ending in that Atl game also had Atl and Under for halftime....Man i have to say congrats again pretty cool to watch your system do as well as it is...You the man lol...lets keep it going GO GIANTS!!!!!! BOL everybody this week make some$$$$$$!!!!!!!
 
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Posted: #222
tks  for all is  better  than  ''le  secret  de  la caramilk  !!!!!!!......
 
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Posted: #223
AFN great job again!!! Tailing you since last week and enjoying every bit of it.  I know you stated the three games you liked this week, just curious how much of a discrepancy you look for in your numbers on a match up, whether it be the teams off/def production against your baseline(average team), or just X amount of a gap in the numbers to make you pull the trigger.  Also how do you take into account home vs away games, if you do at all.  EX: Seattle 5-0 home 1-5 on road.  Do you separate a team's home and away statistics?
 
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Posted: #224
Quote Originally Posted by AFNfootballnerd:

Last 2 plays for week 13...Im only playing 3 games this week as nothing stands out numbers wise while running the program...

Percentage of how well teams are playing against the Average...

Texans 13% @ Titans -30%

Obviously the numbers are gonna favor Texans offensively and defensively but.... I noticed a trend and backtracked the numbers from week 8.... teams between 12% to 15% against the average have covered or blown out teams...The NYG were at 14% last week and they blown out GB...This week the Texans are the only team in that percentage range

Pick Texans -5.5

Against the average...

Giants 20% @ Redskins 5%

Offensive numbers...

Giants 12% Redskins 4%....Thought the numbers would be closer for Redskins as RG3 is playing well but gonna go with the numbers....

Defensive numbers

Giants -6% Redskins 2%...Giants edge in defense

Special teams ranked Giants 13 Redskins ranked 29?

Gotta go with the Gmen as im not gonna buck the numbers this time....Pick Giants -2.5

All chalk this week

I don't see your system strong enough. Look like guess system. Gl
 
 
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Posted: #225
Hey afn,

Could you post all the numbers for all matchups for this week? For both offense and defensive percentages?

I'm 6-1 off your percentages and a source of information. If all goes well this week, perhaps you can incorporate some of the info I get into your theory to make better plays.

Ill post the plays I am seeing correlate to a stronger play.

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