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Lines dictates the game....

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Posted: #701
Quote Originally Posted by speak2truth:

^ you have a good handle on this

 
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Posted: #702
Quote Originally Posted by speak2truth:

^ you have a good handle on this

 
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Posted: #703
 
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Posted: #704
Nice call, I was in Vegas this weekend. Phone broke couldn't read any postings.

I took Vikings. Cowboys in game with 3 minutes left live bet, easy script . Redskins titans jets money line buffalo money line Philly the lost big on steelers. I have bears, and taking packers at halftime how is Chicago favored second half after being 10 points dogs? The public is going to get middled 
 
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Posted: #705
Hey guys!!!!....This is mostly to Glyde, Boston, Kaboons and Holding,,,,,One name is missing from this group who participated in many a thorough and heated discussion in this thread....Surly you know who it is????....ITT.....Using my neighbors comp. as I've been banned, not "penalty box," but "out of here!".....Have no idea why as I've said nothing that all of us haven't said here at one time or another....Can read your posts and I enjoy them, but can't comment or sign in.....Wanted to let you know that I'm still around, but missing the discussions....Wishing you all the best of luck and  have a great season.....Hit both sides last night only because I love double digit dogs....Will be unloading against K.C. in their next game as they "must" go down.....It's the nature of the game!....Eh?......Take care and keep pounding them guys!!!!.....And HOLDING, you've been dishing out some nice info. and picks-----KEEP IT UP!.....Hasta la vista guys!.....Out for lunch now with Richie Incogni.......He's buying----LOL!
 
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Posted: #706
banned from computer?

just make a bet on one of these fixed games and buy yourself a brand new computer :)
 
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Posted: #707

No Kaboon.....Banned from site!....Have no idea WTF went on?????.....Could have at least notified me somehow!!....I'll continue to check you guys out here, and maybe try to find a solution....Best year ever so far as I'm fading 2 of the 'squarest bettors" I've ever known in my life....Good luck guys, and may the "FIX" be in!....

 
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Posted: #708

Like everything else in betting football, sometimes an angle works and sometimes it doesn't.  The original poster's argument that game results almost always come close to the spread is demonstrably false.  The Eagles blew away the Raiders by several touchdowns in a game with Raiders favored by a little bit.  The Bears/GB, Seattle/TB, and NO/NYJ games ended nowhere near the spread.  But in a full slate, obviously some games will end right near the opening spread.  At most, there might be one rigged night game a season according to a syndicate guy I once spoke with.

 

When an opening line looks too good to be true sometimes it is (Cincy - 1 at Miami) and sometimes it isn't (Indy +1 at Houston). 

 
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Posted: #709
bears gb. every1 lost their behind on gb teasers and points.

seattle tb. (wasnt seattle 2nd half the best bet of the year) no one bet seattle or tb money line. so free play to have seattle come back

jets saints. i was at the sportsbook. ppl took saints 1st half, and chased again when they were down 20-14.

the eagle game was wild no clue what happened there. but a lot of under bettors after seeing the eagles score single digits past two games
 
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Posted: #710
Can someone summarize what the main points in this thread are saying?
 
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Posted: #711
negline.

first post 

basically the line dictates the game. if its a 3 point spread most likely a fg game. why? marketing ratings betting the hand in the cookie jar. we think its rigged :)

and a handful of us are picking winners. NOT 100 % sure if we are betting on rigged games. but the line knows more than we do. So F it.

hows that for a summary?
 
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Posted: #712
 
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Posted: #713
Week 9 I think I hit 10 out of 13. There's progress but its not 100%
 
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Posted: #714
holding who u playing tonight?

washington is bi polar from one half to another.

im going with vikings for the game. if they are up at half ill hedge taking washington.

if down, then i dont know yet maybe add some vikings.

last two wash games. 
den wash halftime 7-7. final score. blow out denver 
last week 7-14 sand diego winning. redskins come back
 
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Posted: #715
I had min 4 units very small play.. 
 
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Posted: #716
Here's my week 9 links... 10 is coming up



 
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Posted: #717
Car Medium -7.5    WIN
Min Large 10 WIN  + UNDER 48.5 MEDIUM LARGE
NYJ Medium 6 Large WIN
STL Small  3 LOSE + OVER 39.5 LARGE
KC  -5 Medium (late switch)
WAS MEDIUM LARGE + UNDER 51 LARGE

Will be back for more 

BOL

---------------------------------------------------------------------------3pm 

PHI   LARGE WIN
SEA  LARGE LOSE
CLE  MED  WIN
NE    MED  WIN

CLE 2nd HALF PK (ADDED) WIN      +86 UNITS    
---------------------------------------------------------------------------SUNDAY NIGHT

HOU L -12 Units                            Total of +73 Units

------------------------------------------------------------------------MONDAY NIGHT

CHI +10 (13) UNITS WIN
SECOND HALF GB PUSH              


 
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Posted: #718
Better stay away when we can smell a loose moose.

I find it funny, Redskins SHOULD have lost to San Diego when they sucked like that and were supposed to win here, but because they WON in San Diego bookies wanted to reverse it so they lost here and broke even so to speak on that part. Thats why we also saw some reverse line movement. Because in reality, Skins should really be able to challenge Cowboys in the division. 
 
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Posted: #719
Right Boston funny thing is when you reckinize these things you are a insider and you will be rewarded as such when it's foul play involved in a teams victory such as the Skins over SD they normally have to tank the next game or so depending on how nefarious the situation Skins gave the stolen game back to Minn they payed it forward just like GB and the highly questionable collar injury to double check I'm not buying it I think he dived for this story line of the simi capable backups going at it in the NFLs most historical rivalry the Bears win broke up millions of dollars in teaser money but this wk GB has to make amends in losing to Phi who will capitalize off the Was lost and the Bears will beat Det at home and receive the gift of front running the division that has been givin the league wants the Bears the have diehard fans all over the country that have been waiting an eternity for a SB win so look for them as a possibly to try and average their lost against P Manning this year but I'm getting ahead of myself
 
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Posted: #720
Oh yea and when Cutler tore his twat it was so phony his reaction times are just off hes gonna have to brush up if he expects to make a career in the Hollywood "Hills"
 
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Posted: #721
Also don't be surprised if Dallas wins this Sunday I see the media trying to ride off the cowboys like they are mediocre but Romo is quietly having the season of his career he's doing what's been asked of him finally living up to potentials I mean the Boys have paid their taking dues for years it's really kind of thier time it's staggering to see how the public have been manipulated by ESPN into thinking they're not only in the SB race but very
 
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Posted: #722
Much a threat a win in NO is the marquee victory they need and make no mistake about it they can, should be able to pull it off remember the underlining story lines NFL scandle is a big theme this wk and the Aints make be assined just one more coup d'état before all is forgiven
 
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Posted: #723
I'm leaning Detroit over bears dusty, especially if cutler comes back it wod restore faith in the bears backers and they won with out him double trouble set up . That Philly game looks too easy to take philly, I might take the squar bet or just not touch it. Philly will catch Dallas to be 1 game back by the time they meet last game of the season for the "final showdown" 


 
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Posted: #724
A good money line bet IMO is rams over colts 
 
 
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Posted: #725
Lines are made based on power ratings,that are comprised of all variables possible,and all teams do not get a automatic field goal for being at home,some get more, some less,playing in Tuscaloosa will add 4 or even 6 to Tide rating,New Mexico St,may not get a point for being at home.Key-do your work and figure who is over rated or under rated,watch who the public bets,and the BIG THREE.Who has the best head coach,who has the best Q.B,and who has the best defense,and not stat wise,because stats can leave false reads depending on opponents,and always pay attention to motivation,revenge situations,and in the N.F.L.playoff position and draft spot.N.F.L. always tight because they are all good,pick winner of game do not look at line,and last but not least who is up and coming and who is old and falling..BOL to all
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