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love systems? look inside and you'll find tons of them !

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Posted: #26
guys, i'm posting these systems to those who find them usefull.
 
it is just one of many tools that i use...
 
you should never bet on a team basing your decision only on a system, even if it is a 95-0 system. do your homework and use the systems as an additional tool.
 
@thebronxbomber you are welcome man. glad i could help
 
@sunbeam many games have 'conflicting' systems, supporting both sides. when you have such a situation the best thing would be to ignore those systems alltogether.
 
@727MAGIC and kmoney: i will post my official plays on saturday...minny WILL NOT be one of them regargless the systems
 
@backyard: glad you like it man
 
@aznball: conflicting systems, small system lean on washington but a definate NO PLAY for me.
 
@wchavanu: no one asked you to tail. these are not my plays....just some info that many find usefull.
 
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Posted: #27
w365, great info you've got there! I'm love systems, but I can't seem to find a good way to gather info and stats. What websites/applications/whatever do you use to gather info? :)

Thanks.
 
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Posted: #28

week 1 revenge vs teams with 5,6,7,8 more wins (previous season), line +3 or higher: 32-5 ATS (MIN)

looks goood

 
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Posted: #29
THANKS FOR THE INSIGHTS
 
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Posted: #30
Since this is the first time we have seen your system ....can you highlight 2-3 picks that you think are solid for Week 1 in which we can research ourselves?
 
I am trying to clarify.  Thank you ! 
 
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Posted: #31
 interesting
 
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Posted: #32
   I agree. excellent info.
 
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Posted: #33
it's funny how you provide some good info to help people make up their minds and then they turn around to ask you to make up their minds for them.... lol
 
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Posted: #34
nice info w365
 
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Posted: #35
revenge is often overrated, however...
 
revenging 4+ straight losses, week 1: 21-7-2 ATS (MIN,MIA)
 
non revenge systems:
 
week1, dog, next line<2,with less than six spread covering su wins last season and less than 6 favored games last season: 15-0 ats (KC)
 
week1, dog, last year <6 covering SU wins and <5 favored games:15-0 ATS (OAK)
 
week1, dog
 
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Posted: #36
W365-good info to utilize but not necessarily to finalize (as you have said). I find no.'s like this useful if I already like a team and these no.'s coincidentally favor my team, I'm going to play that team just as if I were against a team and bounce numbers that work against that team, by all means you should make that play. Again as you have mentioned, when I like a team but I encounter no.'s that work against that team, I simply will not play that game. It may sound complicated guys but it's really not. Just keep it simple but DO YOUR OWN ASSESSMENT AS WELL. Good work involved, thanks for time and efforts W365. BTW, love the road team(underdog) when the Pack and Vike's meet (tho' GB did hurt me last year in GB), this series has been fruitful for me over the years. Will take the Vike's and the points all day long. Best of luck!!!
"I'm afraid all we may have done is awakened a sleeping giant."
 
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Posted: #37
also W365, noticed you had some nice fades against VA TECH, MICH, and PITT, any ML bets on those?
"I'm afraid all we may have done is awakened a sleeping giant."
 
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Posted: #38
Quote Originally Posted by mrusso:

W365-good info to utilize but not necessarily to finalize (as you have said). I find no.'s like this useful if I already like a team and these no.'s coincidentally favor my team, I'm going to play that team just as if I were against a team and bounce numbers that work against that team, by all means you should make that play. Again as you have mentioned, when I like a team but I encounter no.'s that work against that team, I simply will not play that game. It may sound complicated guys but it's really not. Just keep it simple but DO YOUR OWN ASSESSMENT AS WELL. Good work involved, thanks for time and efforts W365. BTW, love the road team(underdog) when the Pack and Vike's meet (tho' GB did hurt me last year in GB), this series has been fruitful for me over the years. Will take the Vike's and the points all day long. Best of luck!!!

 

well said. the systems are just another tool. in order to be good in this biz you have to use as many tools as possible, without over thinking and complicating things.

 
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Posted: #39
Quote Originally Posted by mrusso:

also W365, noticed you had some nice fades against VA TECH, MICH, and PITT, any ML bets on those?

 

yes i had all my dogs on moneyline as well, and i always do that. 90% of my dog $ amount is on the spread and 10% on the moneyline. its always been like that for me.

 
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Posted: #40

Quote Originally Posted by Speedup:

w365, great info you've got there! I'm love systems, but I can't seem to find a good way to gather info and stats. What websites/applications/whatever do you use to gather info? :)
Thanks.

 

my own database. been working on it for two years now and it is very time consuming but IT HELPS.

 
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Posted: #41
Quote Originally Posted by bigocean:

it's funny how you provide some good info to help people make up their minds and then they turn around to ask you to make up their minds for them.... lol

 

no big deal. i'm trying to help. and it is true that my writing style especially with my systems is a little bit confusing lol.

 
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Posted: #42
Quote Originally Posted by bobozoid:

week 1 revenge vs teams with 5,6,7,8 more wins (previous season), line +3 or higher: 32-5 ATS (MIN)

looks goood

 

the system looks good indeed but my contacts tell me that a HUGE MAJORITY of public bets is comming in on Minnesota. the books are not that stupid. that line is just not following the money flow. i can see a 13-10 win for green bay. definate no play for me.

 
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Posted: #43
w365  for right now i'm sure what you tried to say but after this week i can figure it out,  waiting for your pick this weekend ,  thanks.
 
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Posted: #44
the greater than & less than signs are confusing...  i all ways understood it as:

1>0
0<1

without numbers:
> is greater than
< is less than

with numbers:
<10  is less than ten
10>  is less than ten
>10  is greater than ten
10<  is greater than ten

the alligator jaws want to eat more, so the open end is all ways the greater.


hey, my grade school teachers spent lots of time pounding this out.  it looks like we had different teachers lol.  i see it misused in sports magazines and online quite often, so of course i interpret it the way i was taught and the info the way i understand it is opposite of what is meant.  well i hope my examples helped. 

thanks for posting all the valuable info...  GL!
 
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Posted: #45
oh and just to make it more confusing, lol...

is
-2 > -3
?

yes, except when using pointspreads  :)
 
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Posted: #46

nice system with a long history...

 

fade the faves between 2 dog games...

 

461-334 ATS

 

last few years there have been several team with pathetic results in this spot,,,,

 

 

miami 0-9 ats

 

oakland 2-8 ats

 

baltimore 1-5 ats

 

saints 4-8 ats

 

rams 3-6 ats

 
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Posted: #47
what you mean by "fade the faves between 2 dog games..."



please explain
 
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Posted: #48
Quote Originally Posted by onslaughter:

what you mean by "fade the faves between 2 dog games..."



please explain

 

ex:

team A was underdog in week 1, is favored in week 2 and will be underdog in week 3 (assuming - sometimes it is easy to assume that they will be underdogs the following week, and sometimes it is not). so, if that is the case, go against team A (bet on the underdog in that game). this is long term winner service.

 
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Posted: #49

according to the systems already posted, the skins would be the play tonight but i'll pass as i don't trus that team especially this early, on the road. no play for me.

 

systems that fit tonights game (all in favor of washington):

 

61-33 ats

51-17 ats

7-1 ats

14-1 ats

10-2 ats

8-0 ats

 

but i repeat. it is not my official play!

 
 
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Posted: #50

week 1, total 45 or higher, line<4.5, scoring 10 pts or less not more than 5 times last season: 42-6 under (NE game, DAL game)

 

in this same situation, favorites of more than a fieldgoal are 5-14 ats

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