I am not saying this hits at a 90% rate or something. Over the long haul maybe 65% or so. Anytime I see 3/4 of bets coming in on a side with a line that doesn't make sense and the line moving the other way I am going to pull the trigger.
I am never going to be "that guy" who sees a game like this and says he is not going to over think it and simply take the better team with such a good line.
ill argue this statement all day....
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Quote Originally Posted by redskinsnut:
I am not saying this hits at a 90% rate or something. Over the long haul maybe 65% or so. Anytime I see 3/4 of bets coming in on a side with a line that doesn't make sense and the line moving the other way I am going to pull the trigger.
I am never going to be "that guy" who sees a game like this and says he is not going to over think it and simply take the better team with such a good line.
Tennessee is 8-0-1 ATS in its last 9 games (medwyn)
Show me where the line closed at TEN -3 against GB. Almost everyone has that as a loss ATS.
The Titans defeated Chicago 21-14 as a 3-point favorite in Week 10. The
combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (37). (medwyn)
Let's see last time I checked 21+14 equaled 35, which was still less than 37.
Series History: The Titans beat the Jaguars, 17-10, as 3-point home
dogs in their season opener this year. The underdog in this series is
8-2. (medwyn)
So these teams have been in the same division for about a decade now, but they have only played 10 times? Or are you telling me the line was PK for like 10 games?
WHERE IS THIS INFO COMING FROM? DID YOU CONJUR IT?
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What is all this???
Tennessee is 8-0-1 ATS in its last 9 games (medwyn)
Show me where the line closed at TEN -3 against GB. Almost everyone has that as a loss ATS.
The Titans defeated Chicago 21-14 as a 3-point favorite in Week 10. The
combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (37). (medwyn)
Let's see last time I checked 21+14 equaled 35, which was still less than 37.
Series History: The Titans beat the Jaguars, 17-10, as 3-point home
dogs in their season opener this year. The underdog in this series is
8-2. (medwyn)
So these teams have been in the same division for about a decade now, but they have only played 10 times? Or are you telling me the line was PK for like 10 games?
WHERE IS THIS INFO COMING FROM? DID YOU CONJUR IT?
I think jumping on the Titans is a very bad decision this week.
I may be worried about the Jags, and even if TEN does manage to cover, taking them this week is not a smart play...This is a great spot for the Jags, it's just a question of if they step up...
as I said before, JAX +10 on a teaser is worth a serious look, and when all is said and done, there is good value if you can get it at more than a FG...
The ML is obv. worth a look too...
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I think jumping on the Titans is a very bad decision this week.
I may be worried about the Jags, and even if TEN does manage to cover, taking them this week is not a smart play...This is a great spot for the Jags, it's just a question of if they step up...
as I said before, JAX +10 on a teaser is worth a serious look, and when all is said and done, there is good value if you can get it at more than a FG...
Is this the week the Tennessee Titans finally suffer their first defeat?
Bettors thought it would happen two weeks ago when they wagered heavily against the Titans. Tennessee beat Green Bay in overtime. It was the only time the Titans haven’t covered all season.
Money came against the Titans this past weekend, too, but Tennessee beat Chicago on the road.
There’s a feeling the Titans won’t be so fortunate away from home again this Sunday. The Titans are three-point road favorites versus Jacksonville.
“Any time you take Tennessee now you’re taking a chance,” said Mike Seba, a senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants. “The Titans actually could use a loss. They know they’re not going undefeated and the pressure has to be on the minds, especially when on the road.”
There was divided opinion among the LVSC oddsmakers on the Titans-Jaguars matchup. The lines ranged from Jacksonville minus one to Titans minus 2½. The company’s recommendation to its many Nevada hotel clients was Titans minus one.
Bookmakers felt they couldn’t put out Tennessee as more than a field goal favorite against the Jaguars, after the Titans were minus three last week against the Bears.
“I don’t think you give three to Jacksonville at home,” Seba said. “I wouldn’t be surprised if the line came down to 2½.
“Jacksonville is looking better. The Jaguars are getting healthier and absolutely have to have this game. Even though their record isn’t good, the Jaguars are a decent team. This is a good spot for them.”
The Jaguars looked great this past Sunday. But that was against winless Detroit. In their previous game, the Jaguars lost to the Cincinnati Bengals, which hadn’t won a game.
You know what you’re going to get from Tennessee – a low-scoring, conservative type of hard-hitting smash-mouth game. That’s Jacksonville’s style, too. The key is which Jacksonville team will show up?
“The Titans always comes to play, but it has to catch up to them at some point,” Seba said.
Jacksonville playing better they just split against winless teams
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Quote Originally Posted by redskinsnut:
Is this the week the Tennessee Titans finally suffer their first defeat?
Bettors thought it would happen two weeks ago when they wagered heavily against the Titans. Tennessee beat Green Bay in overtime. It was the only time the Titans haven’t covered all season.
Money came against the Titans this past weekend, too, but Tennessee beat Chicago on the road.
There’s a feeling the Titans won’t be so fortunate away from home again this Sunday. The Titans are three-point road favorites versus Jacksonville.
“Any time you take Tennessee now you’re taking a chance,” said Mike Seba, a senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants. “The Titans actually could use a loss. They know they’re not going undefeated and the pressure has to be on the minds, especially when on the road.”
There was divided opinion among the LVSC oddsmakers on the Titans-Jaguars matchup. The lines ranged from Jacksonville minus one to Titans minus 2½. The company’s recommendation to its many Nevada hotel clients was Titans minus one.
Bookmakers felt they couldn’t put out Tennessee as more than a field goal favorite against the Jaguars, after the Titans were minus three last week against the Bears.
“I don’t think you give three to Jacksonville at home,” Seba said. “I wouldn’t be surprised if the line came down to 2½.
“Jacksonville is looking better. The Jaguars are getting healthier and absolutely have to have this game. Even though their record isn’t good, the Jaguars are a decent team. This is a good spot for them.”
The Jaguars looked great this past Sunday. But that was against winless Detroit. In their previous game, the Jaguars lost to the Cincinnati Bengals, which hadn’t won a game.
You know what you’re going to get from Tennessee – a low-scoring, conservative type of hard-hitting smash-mouth game. That’s Jacksonville’s style, too. The key is which Jacksonville team will show up?
“The Titans always comes to play, but it has to catch up to them at some point,” Seba said.
Jacksonville playing better they just split against winless teams
ONLY 2 games are basically split--this one and the Bears GB game (also Bills Browns is split) ALl other games are 70 to 80% with the FAV --poss many ML wagers involved
4:15pm
Titans vs Jaguars (Week 11)
Jaguars 41.16% Titans 58.84%
10544 Bets
TENN ML wager on the road...hmmm, danger danger
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ONLY 2 games are basically split--this one and the Bears GB game (also Bills Browns is split) ALl other games are 70 to 80% with the FAV --poss many ML wagers involved
Ya, I am sure that is the big motivation in Tennessee. How did that work out for NE last year?
Like you said earlier NE went 16-0.
Maybe Vegas has figured out that the "sharps" will all put larger than normal bets on Jax which will be a lot more money than the many public bets. Tenny still getting 0 respect.
Normal size bet on the Titans for me...
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Quote Originally Posted by redskinsnut:
Ya, I am sure that is the big motivation in Tennessee. How did that work out for NE last year?
Like you said earlier NE went 16-0.
Maybe Vegas has figured out that the "sharps" will all put larger than normal bets on Jax which will be a lot more money than the many public bets. Tenny still getting 0 respect.
I think jumping on the Titans is a very bad decision this week.
I may be worried about the Jags, and even if TEN does manage to cover, taking them this week is not a smart play...This is a great spot for the Jags, it's just a question of if they step up...
as I said before, JAX +10 on a teaser is worth a serious look, and when all is said and done, there is good value if you can get it at more than a FG...
The ML is obv. worth a look too...
Why is this a good spot for Jax they are not even healthy? 1-3 at home losing by 6,5 and 4. You say that it is a good spot...WHY?
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Quote Originally Posted by DiscoD69:
I think jumping on the Titans is a very bad decision this week.
I may be worried about the Jags, and even if TEN does manage to cover, taking them this week is not a smart play...This is a great spot for the Jags, it's just a question of if they step up...
as I said before, JAX +10 on a teaser is worth a serious look, and when all is said and done, there is good value if you can get it at more than a FG...
The ML is obv. worth a look too...
Why is this a good spot for Jax they are not even healthy? 1-3 at home losing by 6,5 and 4. You say that it is a good spot...WHY?
titans are rolling, plain and simple. their run got absolutely shut down last weekend against the bears n collins lead em to victory through the air. this team has what it takes to go undefeated in the regular season. my saddle is on the titans until they either 1) have impacting injuries or 2) the offensive line dies. ride em!
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titans are rolling, plain and simple. their run got absolutely shut down last weekend against the bears n collins lead em to victory through the air. this team has what it takes to go undefeated in the regular season. my saddle is on the titans until they either 1) have impacting injuries or 2) the offensive line dies. ride em!
I'm on the Titans again..if it ain't broke..they have not covered 1 game, and there it was 1-2 points off..so a teaser would have covered that. Sure, eventually they will get beat, I just don't think that tomorrow (or later today) is that time, so I have been on them for 6 weeks, they have won 5 for me. the worst case, is that they lose..and don't cover..everyone loved CHI last week, and they will love Titans opponents every week until they get beat, so I am going to gamble and play TENN..gl all!!
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I'm on the Titans again..if it ain't broke..they have not covered 1 game, and there it was 1-2 points off..so a teaser would have covered that. Sure, eventually they will get beat, I just don't think that tomorrow (or later today) is that time, so I have been on them for 6 weeks, they have won 5 for me. the worst case, is that they lose..and don't cover..everyone loved CHI last week, and they will love Titans opponents every week until they get beat, so I am going to gamble and play TENN..gl all!!
Why is this a good spot for Jax they are not even healthy? 1-3 at home losing by 6,5 and 4. You say that it is a good spot...WHY?
Wrong. They are getting healthy where they need it the most. They are getting healthy on offensive line and for a run first team that is everything.
It's a good spot because they are at home (as a dog), against a divisional rival...who just came off a very physical road game, and are now playing another road game vs. another physical team that matches up well....and they obviously know this team very well (divisional)... and it's a home revenge game.
That's why it's a good spot. Nobody is saying the Titans aren't a very good team. Red brought up the fact that there is reverse line movement on this game as well.
I'm worried about JAX doing what they should, but that doesn't mean they arent the play in this game.
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Quote Originally Posted by atlhawks:
Why is this a good spot for Jax they are not even healthy? 1-3 at home losing by 6,5 and 4. You say that it is a good spot...WHY?
Wrong. They are getting healthy where they need it the most. They are getting healthy on offensive line and for a run first team that is everything.
It's a good spot because they are at home (as a dog), against a divisional rival...who just came off a very physical road game, and are now playing another road game vs. another physical team that matches up well....and they obviously know this team very well (divisional)... and it's a home revenge game.
That's why it's a good spot. Nobody is saying the Titans aren't a very good team. Red brought up the fact that there is reverse line movement on this game as well.
I'm worried about JAX doing what they should, but that doesn't mean they arent the play in this game.
Might be a good spot for Jax & if the line was over 3 it'd be a tough call, but at -1 to -2.5, think you've gotta go with Tenny or a no play. Because of it basically bein a SU call & the kind of team Tenn is (blue collar, always motivated, great D & run game but not 1 dimensional), think it's a mistake to try to outthink Vegas or give too much thought to past trends or what might be the "sharp" call. Value continues to be good with Tenny partly because they don't beat anyone big, have no big names & get things done in workmanlike style, but they're better than the sum of their parts with few weaknesses & that goes a long way.
Jags just aren't the same team anymore (on O or D) with the intimidating/dominating D they've had the past 2/3 yrs while Tenny is rock solid in both lines with a good run game that allows Collins to be much more effective than he would be for most teams. NYG are probably the only other tm as balanced as Tenny. Jags may win, but the play is Tenny IMO - GLA!
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Might be a good spot for Jax & if the line was over 3 it'd be a tough call, but at -1 to -2.5, think you've gotta go with Tenny or a no play. Because of it basically bein a SU call & the kind of team Tenn is (blue collar, always motivated, great D & run game but not 1 dimensional), think it's a mistake to try to outthink Vegas or give too much thought to past trends or what might be the "sharp" call. Value continues to be good with Tenny partly because they don't beat anyone big, have no big names & get things done in workmanlike style, but they're better than the sum of their parts with few weaknesses & that goes a long way.
Jags just aren't the same team anymore (on O or D) with the intimidating/dominating D they've had the past 2/3 yrs while Tenny is rock solid in both lines with a good run game that allows Collins to be much more effective than he would be for most teams. NYG are probably the only other tm as balanced as Tenny. Jags may win, but the play is Tenny IMO - GLA!
most solid cappers will be on jax and many more on moneyline for value reasons i had this game circled last week good luck as titans fall and dont be scared to pull the trigger on this one big remember jets oakland very similar line movement, listen people dont want your advice than f them let them lose
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most solid cappers will be on jax and many more on moneyline for value reasons i had this game circled last week good luck as titans fall and dont be scared to pull the trigger on this one big remember jets oakland very similar line movement, listen people dont want your advice than f them let them lose
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