Need HEDGING advice…

@jmpkcp44

 I said 1k texans ml

Vcd said 1k jags and u thought that was brilliant.. then u corrected him and asked if he meant 1k on texans … lol which is what i told u to do ..

Yeah, I’m not doing that. No point in hedging until they get their third win, so won’t be betting on Texans game this week. 

@jmpkcp44

 Don’t Hedge it the only game the Texans might win is against the Jags

I don't understand how so many are soo cut and dry about hedging.. hell most casual bettors look at me sideways when I tell them the possibility of hedging on a stupid long 7 plus teamer they shouldn't have done anyway that gets lucky.. comes down to the last game, and the math somehow makes no sense to them. If you are in this thing long term, taking guaranteed money at the right price is always a valid option.. 

As for this circumstance, I'd ride this one out and see what happens in this game today. 

Excellent summary and advice. Thank you! 

Houston 7-0 vs jax … just going to be updating here .. 

How dumb are you? You don’t think anyone else has access to a scoreboard? Hedging wasn’t necessary. Won’t be for the next two weeks either. It’s the last week that needs a hedge placed. 

@jmpkcp44

Score update Houston wins 30-16 ..

1k ML on Houston as i suggested profit 2400.  

 Houston at 3 wins now .. wouldve already had 2400 profit .. approximately 25% of original 10k ..  

 let me know if you want more hedging advice as the following emoji will represent your present state 

I guess you can be more stupid. Not protecting the 10k dumbass. That’s not at risk. The hedge is meant to protect the $8k. And that isn’t at risk until AFTER this win. Your hedge was useless. I know you’re too stupid to understand this so I won’t try to explain it to your tiny brain anymore. 

@jmpkcp44

 Lol dude u are hedging to protect the 10k not the 8k because your 10k isnt even secure .. thats why i said u shouldve bet 1k on the houston ml .. ud be 2400 less invested .. if houston wins one more game , i guarantee your next bet will be to protect the 10k and not to protect the 8k .. for example houston beats chargers next week you are at a push on your 10k … and u have two weeks left to possibly lose that 10k .. at that point you are protecting the 10k or the 8k ?  Let me know 

not trolling.....could you throw your ticket on prop swap and see if there is any interest?

Youre trolling. You think the Texans in any scenario could ever beat the Chargers? Or the 49ers in SF? STFU. The $10k is plenty secure. 

Nope, it’s a Nevada ticket. I asked a couple months ago just in case. 

@jmpkcp44

 “ you think the Texans in any scenario could ever beat the Chargers? “ 

well that didnt age well ….. 

Here i am my friend, back with an update on todays Houston Texans game … as a plus 500 underdog Houston wins ML .. 29-41… vs the Chargers . 

1k bet on Houston ML would have profit of 5k plus the the profit from the Houston ML vs Jaguars ($2400) = $7400… 

now Houston is 4-11 meaning you are currently at a Push on your 10k with the 49ers and Titans left .. hmmm sure that 10k is secure as. You mentioned above ??? 

now you have no other choice but to bet on the texans … shouldve listed to my suggestions to begin with 

ok i am done… 

What kind of asshole goes back to old threads and does “I told you so”s.  I’ll tell you. You. You are that kind of asshole. I sold the ticket after the jags game for $15k so you can talk into the wind all you want now, asshole. 

At this point the old saying goes, if you can’t beatem, joinem!!

money line then the last two and get back to where you once belong!

@jmpkcp44

 So some dumbass paid 15,000 for a 10,000 dollar losing ticket, I call bullshit, that makes no sense whatsoever.

Exactly!  No way that happened.

that is a solid investment by that person

omfg smfh 

the ticket he sold was worth 18k if it would have hit. 10k was the original bet plus the 8k he could have won. So it’s not impossible he sold the ticket. I don’t understand all the jokes?

@jmpkcp44

@Action_Junkee

 It is highly unlikely that it happened (I would say impossible), he only mentioned selling it after he got called out by someone for not hedging and Houston won the 4th game.

How many people do you know that would pay 15,000 for a 10,000 dollar ticket, that has to lose the last 3 games to cash in?

Unless he knew a rich moron, who doesn't follow sports, no way would someone do that.

The ticket is toilet paper now, the story was probably made up (just like the people who claim to bet 100,000 on games), nobody that has 10,000 to bet, would ask for advice and not take any advice.

He was calling someone names that gave him great advice, sounds legit to me.

You're right. These guys get an idea in their head and just assume they know everything. The odds were 68% that they would lose the last 3 games and 32% that they would win one or more. So the guy I sold to figured it was statistically worth $15,440 and paid $15000. It isn’t rocket science. No longer care about the bet so these guys can speculate/fantasize all they want. 

It's only worth $15,440 if you assume 0% likelihood of the ticket completely losing.

68% chance of it winning and 32% chance of it pushing makes it worth $15,440. But the numbers you gave in post #1 make it closer to 50% chance of them winning 1 of last 3. Sorry but I'm with the others, no way in fking hell some guy just handed you $15k for a ticket where he at best stands to win $3k and now could easily lose the whole $15k but has already lost $5k.

No, you saw they were 2-11 and thought it would surely win so you decided you bet $10k on it ( but of course made no mention of it until they were 2-11). Then you got into an argument and ended up being 100% wrong so of course you sold the ticket. By the way, in Nevada a $10k bet will have a screenshot of you when you bought the ticket, doesn't matter who you "sold" it to. It's your ticket. You tell them, hey I lost the ticket, they won't pay him, they will pay you. He is a real trusting guy with terrible math skills and $15,000. Lol. ROFLMAO.

You thought the Texans would go 3-14 or worse enough to put $10,000 on it but after they go 2-11, you get scared and want to hedge. Lol. Makes no sense at all.