NFL 2023 Picks+

Well ffs...was hoping for a favorable Jefferson line but the books sharp as fuck....

See where it goes

1 locked in

No/ne under 39.0 @1.97  0.5 to win 0.485

Teams combined 1-7 to the under

They are 3-4 to the total of 39.0

Both O struggling, especially in the passing game

Carr still  not 100%

2 good defenses

Only thing I don't like is judon  and Gonzalez injuries

Hard to see both teams over 20 points

Like a 20-16 type game

GL all

GL Dubs , I'm staying away from that game

@trainwreck66

 Cheers tw

Careful on that emoji  abuse

@Cyrax

 Due for an over but fuck it riding the gut

I am on an over tho!!

Henry over 74.5 rush yards on the previous page...crazy numbers vs colts in his career

leans went 3-2, shoulda added pit/balt under 39.0 

1-1 -0.015 units

Overall 5-4 +0.425 units

0-0 +0   1-unit plays 

5-4 +0.425    0.5-unit plays

week 6 early leans

ten/balt under 40.5

no/hou under 41.0

ten +4.0

More leans

Indy +4.0

Min/chi over 44.5

Sea/cin over 45.0

Mia/car over 48.0

Waiting on weather for a few

Looking like 3-5 potential props

GL this week DUBZ 

@Fuse

 Cheers fuser

More leans

Lamar under 225.5 pass yards @1.88

Hill over 6.5.receptions @2.10

Chase over 7.5 receptions @2.13

Pollard over 67.5 rush yards @1.88

Like ten/bal under 42.0 and ind +4.0 the most from the early  leans

1 locked in

Bal/ten under 43.0 @1.88  0.5 to win 0.44

Teams combined 2-8 to the under 

3 of last 4 between these 2 gone under 43.0

Both teams like to run the ball...should keep clock moving

2 good defenses

Hard to see both teams over 20 points

Like that I got 43.0 incase of 23-20 

Like that both teams had to travel far

Only thing I don't like is if nfl wants points for international game...Hopefully not a ton of drive extending penalties from refs

Looking for a 22-19 type game

GL all

1 locked in

Diggs over 6.5 receptions @1.85  0.5 to win 0.425

Over this in 4 of 5....The 1 under he had 6 receptions

Nyg secondary is trash

Pretty sure Diggs has good stats in primetime games 

Allens #1 target and Bills run a fairly pass heavy offence

Only worry is if buf gets huge lead and stops passing.  Or if weather acts up

Looking for 3-4 receptions a half

Like him in the 6-9 range

GL all

Sure enough flags are flying in the balt/tenn game...

DUBZ 

@Fuse

 Fuser

Under 43.0...bit lucky at the end ill take it

Let's go diggs

@Cyrax

diggs....mr.primetime hits for me again....probably should have played full unit there...

2-0 week

leans went 5-6 with pollard pending...glad i picked out 2 winners

Overall 7-4 +1.29 units

Leans

Jax/no under 40.5

Atl//tb under 37.5...missed 39.0 earlier so prob a no play

Cle/ind under 40.5

Lac/kc over 48.0...prob let this get bet down to 47.0

Det/bal over 43.0...missed 41.0 so prob a no play

 Atl/tb over 3.5 fg @2.12....gotta check weather

Jax/no over 3.5 fg @2.05

Waiting on props. Got 3 or 4 circled hopefully get favourable  lines released

1 locked in

Lac/kc over 47.0 @1.88  0.5 to win 0.44

Over this in 8 of last 10

Over this in 5 of 6 in Herbert era. Only under was Herbert 1st start vs kc

Over this in last 5

Like both teams to get 20+ here

Like that I waited for 47...gives me a push at 27-20

Only thing I don't like is kc d has been stingy this year but lac should get at least 17 here

Weathers looks good/decent

Like a 30-24  27-21 type game

GL all

Over 47.0 bit of a sweat after a crazy 2nd q

Leans went 5-2

Overall 8-4 +1.73 units

Flat 1-unit bettor would be up 3.46 units

8-4  +1.73  0.5-unit plays

0-0  +0  1-unit plays

Already looking over next week...kinda like the card for some reason

1 locked in

Atl/ten over 3.5 fg @2.27  0.5 to win 0.635

Both teams bottom 10 in RZ TD % . Ten 3rd worst at 33%. Atl 9th worst at 47%

Both teams top 5 in RZ TD % allowed. Ten 3rd at 30%. Atl 5th at 39% 

Atl should be telling Ridder  to protect ball in after 3 RZ turnovers last week

Only worry is if titans can't move the ball at all. Or if weather ends up way worse then they calling for. Or if refs call bunch of penalties in RZ and extend drives/TD oppos

Folk and woo pretty good kickers

Like both teams to kick 2+ fg or one team to get 3+

GL all

atl/ten ...1 field goal short....Vrabel cost me at end of 1st half by punting instead of attempting 56 yard fg...levis also played out of his mind and connected on some nice TD passes

Overall 8-5 +1.23 units

Flat 1-unit bettor would be up 2.46 units

8-5  +1.23  0.5-unit plays

0-0  +0  1-unit plays

Leans

Tb/hou under 40.5

Atl/min over 37.0

Chi/no over 41.0

Ind/car over 43.5

Kamara over 4.5 receptions 

Chase over 7.5 receptions

Aj brown over 6.5 receptions 

Gotta narrow these down