NFL 2023 Picks+

GL tonight 

@Fuse

 Thanks for the luck fuser I needed it

Leans went 8-5...qb unders went 4-0 but I didn't touch em...will look at these more closely as season finishes

Leans 68-51-1 on year

Lamb...10 targets 4 catches....catch da ball

Kelce ...hooked....of course mahomes finds some rookie WR for a career day...exactly what i worried about

Fields...goes over in the 4th q

Overall 11-7 +1.775 units

Flat 1-unit bettor would be up 3.55 units

11-7  +1.775  0.5-unit plays

0-0  +0  1-unit plays

Early leans

Den +3.5...like their d

Sf -2.0...Eagles beat up

Car/tb under 38.0...hard to see both teams over 17

Not seeing a ton of props that pop out. Def 1 or 2 tho depending on lines released

More leans

 Tenn +1.5

Bijan over 58.5 rush yards @1.88

Henry over 62.5 rush yards @1.88

Ind/ten over 3.5 fg @1.95

Car/tb over 3.5 fg @2.05

Waiting on bit more props

Other leans

Ridder under 173.5 pass yards @1.88

Brian Robinson over 39.5 rush yards @1.85

Every line posted moved against me except the 2 fg props.....

Leans

Olave  over 5.5 receptions @1.93

Trying to find value but getting outta my usual comfort zone searching ...which usually is a sign to not make a play 

Leans

Hill over 7.5 receptions @2.10

St.brown over 7.5 receptions @2.10

Liking

Brian Robinson over 39.5 rush yards

olave over 5.5 receptions 

Ten/ind over 3.5 fg

Not sure if any will get locked in

Robinson and ridder odds both nuked....fuck  me

Looking into olive. Don't like concussion status

I wont let you down 

@trainwreck66

 you fucked me good!!  gotta pass on bry.rob his odds nuked to fuck now

1 locked in

Olave over 5.5 receptions @1.92   0.5 to win 0.46

over this in 8 of 11 this year

over this in 3 of 4 at home this year

over this in 5 of last 6

averages 9.4 targets per game

other 2 starting WRs for saints out, potential for his targets to go up

like that saints at home

carr 30+ pass attempts in 7 of 10 full games

carr 20+ completions in 7 of 10 full games

if saints have any chance of winning this game carr is gonna have to air it out

lions corners not great, jacobs allowed 40 catches on 61 targets. sutton allowed 38 catches on 60 targets

only worry is if lions double/triple him, or if he gets rocked and leaves with concussion. or if saints somehow get a big lead and go run heavy

looking for 3+ catches a half

like him in the 5-8 range

GL all

fuck me, hooked again, twice in last 4 picks

winston has him wide open twice late and fucks me with bad throws 

olave

record 11-8 detail update after more picks

You'll get it back 

leans went 5-8, glad i went light...like usual mediocre/average season so far

Leans 73-59-1 on year

@Cyrax

  cant win em all

Leans

Ne/pit under 30.0 @1.92

Trubisky under 181.5 pass yards @1.88

Tb/atl over 3.5 fg @1.92

Ridder under 195.5 pass yards @1.88

BoL tonight if you end up betting those.  They look decent

@fubah2

 Not sure. Kinda like Trubisky.  Prefer if he was on road tho

@fubah2

 Wow glad I passed on trubisky....potential  all-time beat for under bettors ...worst of the worst beat without a doubt...

Leans

Fields over 60.5 rush yards @1.80

Collins over 5.5 receptions @2.15

LaPorta over 4.5 receptions @1.80

Don't like the board at all probably no plays...might try tb/atl over 3.5 fg

GL today. 

Good luck dub 

Fields over 60.5 rush yards @1.80

This looks good

@Cyrax

 Ya that was my fave play of the bunch

....and he lost on kneel downs

leans went 0-7

My spidey senses were tingling i guess...glad they said the board was shit

@Fuse

@Zeus4par

@Cyrax

Thanks for popping in fellers

Record 11-8

Leans 73-66-1

Like the board a bit more this week...Hopefully find value somewhere