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NFL Playoff Thread....

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Posted: #76
damn, brutal loss for minnesota.


maybe some seattle +6 or so next week though. 
 
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Posted: #77
Wow...   that's more unbelievable than Cincy losing having the ball inside the Steelers 20 with under 90 seconds left and the lead.
 
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Posted: #78
Walsh can always tell his family "If it weren't for me, we would have been shut out anyways." 
 
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Posted: #79
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

Up 9-0, kicking off to start the 4th qtr - and I can get Minny ML for -300?

Jeesh.


Tough one van (well tough one isn't even acceptable but you still profited) but I wanted to say I also saw some very weird lines during this game.

At the half 5Dimes was over 'neither team scores 20+' for -250!!! This was it 3-0 at the half and temperature dropping. How was that not free money!???


 
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Posted: #80
Quote Originally Posted by ClubDirt:

damn, brutal loss for minnesota.


maybe some seattle +6 or so next week though. 

I dont think it will be 6 honestly.

I think most people will chalk this game up to the weather and fluky conditions.

I am guessing 4.  Maybe I am way off - but I think the lack of belief in Carolina and an overconfidence in Seattle makes it 4.
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Posted: #81
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:


I dont think it will be 6 honestly.

I think most people will chalk this game up to the weather and fluky conditions.

I am guessing 4.  Maybe I am way off - but I think the lack of belief in Carolina and an overconfidence in Seattle makes it 4.


i think you are right.  6 is wishful thinking on my part.  but if i see it, i'll probably take it. 
 
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Posted: #82
Quote Originally Posted by BWS77:

Wow...   that's more unbelievable than Cincy losing having the ball inside the Steelers 20 with under 90 seconds left and the lead.

I dont think so.  This was ONE PLAY -  a missed FG - yes it was a very high percentage NFL FG - but it was just one play.

Yesterday - the Bengals needed several high percentage plays to go against them.

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Posted: #83
Quote Originally Posted by BWS77:

Wow...   that's more unbelievable than Cincy losing having the ball inside the Steelers 20 with under 90 seconds left and the lead.



some people out there had Cincy ml last night and Minn ml today and are wondering if gambling is right for them. 
 
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Posted: #84
Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:


Tough one van (well tough one isn't even acceptable but you still profited) but I wanted to say I also saw some very weird lines during this game.

At the half 5Dimes was over 'neither team scores 20+' for -250!!! This was it 3-0 at the half and temperature dropping. How was that not free money!???



Yeah - this is why I feel really like I underachieved today.

You are always a potential victim to one game - this game being played right now.  To say that differently - if I had made the same ingame wagers and this game was played identically 100 times, I would win much more than I did today - and that is why I am pissed.  I know I had value in those ingame wagers - but I lost overall anyway - which sucks.

I still was profitable though.  It is funny how if you go up early and get beat late - it feels so much worse than if you go down early and come back late - even though you end up at the same place.

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Posted: #85
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:


I dont think it will be 6 honestly.

I think most people will chalk this game up to the weather and fluky conditions.

I am guessing 4.  Maybe I am way off - but I think the lack of belief in Carolina and an overconfidence in Seattle makes it 4.

Based on the carolina futures prices, I'd be shocked if it's 4. I'd guess lower for sure. 
 
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Posted: #86
Quote Originally Posted by ClubDirt:



i think you are right.  6 is wishful thinking on my part.  but if i see it, i'll probably take it. 

CAROLINA -2 OPENER

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Posted: #87
-2.5 just released on pinny. 
 
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Posted: #88
Quote Originally Posted by rangerz2478:


Based on the carolina futures prices, I'd be shocked if it's 4. I'd guess lower for sure. 

You are right.

-2
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Posted: #89
Quote Originally Posted by rangerz2478:


Based on the carolina futures prices, I'd be shocked if it's 4. I'd guess lower for sure. 

Me too. It will be extremely difficult for the public to warm up to the Panthers at anything more than -2.5. 
 
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Posted: #90
Quote Originally Posted by rangerz2478:

-2.5 just released on pinny. 

On the move up fast...

Opened -2, and I am seeing (apples to apples) -2.5 -120 now.  That is in about 3 minutes.
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Posted: #91
wow, i was way off.  i don't like them much, but i thought carolina would get more respect than that. 
 
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Posted: #92
Quote Originally Posted by ClubDirt:

what are CG videos?


best thing on the interwebs!!!.....pure........comedy........gold.
 
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Posted: #93
Carolina beats Seattle in Seattle and open under a FG fav @ home??
 
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Posted: #94
Quote Originally Posted by melossinglet:



best thing on the interwebs!!!.....pure........comedy........gold.



well, this is certainly a promising introduction: 

There is this former poster at covers named college gambler who calls me out on youtube videos because he went 43-41 in the westgate contest this year and I went 42-43. 


so i'll try and spend some time in there tomorrow. 
 
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Posted: #95
NFL Kickers were 188 of 190 to this point on FGs of 28 yards or less this season.

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Posted: #96
Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

Carolina beats Seattle in Seattle and open under a FG fav @ home??

The volume of bets will be heavy on Seattle. If smart money likes Carolina, they have a good line to start with. The public doesn't believe in that team. 
 
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Posted: #97
Quote Originally Posted by Getty3:


The volume of bets will be heavy on Seattle. If smart money likes Carolina, they have a good line to start with. The public doesn't believe in that team. 

No one does. They were +200 to win the NFC at 14-0. 
 
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Posted: #98
At -2.5, I am going to believe in them for sure.
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Posted: #99
I got them at -2.5 already.

But it is going to be -3 here in a matter of minutes, and I dont think you will see under 3 again.

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Posted: #100
ML is at -150.  That is a -3 ML.  And it still might go up from there.

I am thinking it will settle on 3 and stay there.

I got two nice chunks in at -2 (-120) and -2.5.
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