@theclaw
tried finding PR II, didn't see it anywhere recently. any updates on that by chance?
Last year's nuggets included the following:
"Interesting facts on PR II & PR I ......................... 2009 -2021
8 TEAMS rated 12 or more IN PR II 6 made the SB. Only 2009 Vikings and the 2019 Ravens did not. But 2009 Vikes 13.83 did lose to no. 1 team in PR I Saints 14.04
Three times no. 1 teams in each PR played each other, 2015 Panthers 15.29 NO. 1 in PR II beat no. 1 in PR I Seahawks 12.86. And the 2014 Seahawks 13.29 beat the Packers 11.21 under 12, in each case the higher rated no.1 team won.
If we throw those out then PR II is 6 of 7 teams making SB rated 12 or better.
PR I is 5 of 7 no. teams rated 12 or better making the SB.
No. 1 in both PR I & II LIKE the 9ers 4-1 Making the SB but each team rated 12 or better in one PR or both which 9ers don't. 3 of 4 rated 12 or better in both.
Teams that didn't rate 12 or better in PR II ........................
2016 Boys 10.83 , lost opening game
2018 Texans 9.7, lost 1st game
2020 Saints 9.14 , lost
2021 Packers 9.95 lost
You can see all these teams very weak, All weakest teams rated under 11, so maybe teams over 11.5 could be good teams to back like the 9ers this year. I made the number 12 but that number is not etched in stone. When we look at PR I we see the same result, all weakest teams are under 11, except 2020 Packers 11.03, barely above and the 2014 Packers 11.21 was the best of the weakest rated teams BUT THEY lost to NO.1 rated Seahawks in PR II.
So just maybe the number could be around 11.5, I don't know but something worth considering since 2014 Packers led the Seahawks into I think the final minute when Wilson throws like a 40 yard TD pass so those Packers came very close as a 11.21 rated no. 1 team, maybe 11.5 is a good solid team to make the SB.NO. 1
No. 1 rated teams in PR II rated 12 or better have been spectacular ATS going 7-2 in opening playoff game with one of those losses being 2013 Seahawks losing by .5 pt when Saints scored on 4th down with 28 seconds left. Still remember that loss."