Sorry folks, no excuses here. Will do everyone a favor and be done posting for the season, this was a big loss for me
"will be avoiding the bottom-feeders in the NFL from here on out. Although the Giants are a decent team, they are riddled with injuries this year and should have been avoided."
Giants +4 (3x)
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Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:
Sorry folks, no excuses here. Will do everyone a favor and be done posting for the season, this was a big loss for me
"will be avoiding the bottom-feeders in the NFL from here on out. Although the Giants are a decent team, they are riddled with injuries this year and should have been avoided."
I just don't get it, if you Don't like what he has to say or what he plays JUST LEAVE its his money. What a bunch cry babies . Pick your own games. Good Luck This Week LC
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I just don't get it, if you Don't like what he has to say or what he plays JUST LEAVE its his money. What a bunch cry babies . Pick your own games. Good Luck This Week LC
BOL this week LC. Glad to see your still posting!!! Stay postive and screw all the haters. Your well over due and I see a huge sunday coming your way. BTW I hope my colts put a beat down on your pats. Lol!
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BOL this week LC. Glad to see your still posting!!! Stay postive and screw all the haters. Your well over due and I see a huge sunday coming your way. BTW I hope my colts put a beat down on your pats. Lol!
It's amazing how you keep losing big money consistently but keep coming back each week throwing down thousands more. I just don't get how some cappers around here seem to have an endless bankroll.
You learn more from losing than winning. You learn how to keep going.
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It's amazing how you keep losing big money consistently but keep coming back each week throwing down thousands more. I just don't get how some cappers around here seem to have an endless bankroll.
The guy has won more units in the NFL and NBA the last few years then any of you loser haters will ever win in your degenerate lifetimes. He's having an off year through half the season thus far. I guarantee he's in the plus before all is said and done.
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The guy has won more units in the NFL and NBA the last few years then any of you loser haters will ever win in your degenerate lifetimes. He's having an off year through half the season thus far. I guarantee he's in the plus before all is said and done.
The guy has won more units in the NFL and NBA the last few years then any of you loser haters will ever win in your degenerate lifetimes. He's having an off year through half the season thus far. I guarantee he's in the plus before all is said and done.
Been following you for years LC - you are the F-cking man dude.
Keep your head up and lets right this ship!
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Quote Originally Posted by t6rider:
The guy has won more units in the NFL and NBA the last few years then any of you loser haters will ever win in your degenerate lifetimes. He's having an off year through half the season thus far. I guarantee he's in the plus before all is said and done.
Been following you for years LC - you are the F-cking man dude.
Another team that was in a great spot last week was the 49ers. I took them on the ML against the Saints because they were in a 18-3 ATS situational spot, and in a must-win game to stay in the division race as they were just 4-4 on the year. I’ve already shared how teams perform after playing in Seattle (Giants), however there is one stadium in the NFL that has a worse lingering ATS record the following game. And that is the only stadium that is more electric than Seattle – New Orleans. The 49ers need to win this game, but I have no idea how they will be able to muster up the same energy and intensity as they did last week in their must-win game as they had to do everything possible to win – in a stadium where the Saints havn’t lost for 20 straight under coach Payton.
The Giants were embarrassed against Seattle last week - the Seahawks set a franchise record for most rushing yards in a game. Dogs after giving up 270+ rushing yards are an astonishing 20-2 ATS since 2006, covering by an average of 7.85 points per game. I expect the Giants to sell out against the rush this week in order to not replicate last week’s performance, making Kapernick do more of the damage with his arm. Considering how his offensive line has played, and the fact that he only completed 44% of his passes against a terrible Saints defense (Yes, but how many dropped passes were there?), I give the edge to NY. I know they lost by 21 last week, but the Giants held tough for 3 quarters before some misfortune in the fourth. They had several chances to jump on consecutive turnovers after Eli threw a tipped interception but the ball just wasn’t bouncing their way. Eli also had to do everything on his own as they had no running game to speak of; however, they get their star RB Rashad Jennings back this week. This is a revenge game for the 49ers, but an absolutely terrible spot for them. The 49ers worst ATS record among the 32 teams in the NFL is also against the Giants as they are just 1-7 ATS over the past decade. I’m hoping they squeak out a 1 or 2 point victory because I have some futures on them, but I don’t see it happening this week."
So this is the reasoning, eh, LC. I know your system has been profitable for you over the years, but the problem with this style of capping (i.e., applying league wide trends, etc) is that there are always going to be exceptions (like a Geno Smith, who is historically bad). This is what I meant last week when I said you gotta take a more holistic approach to some of these games. You say teams playing at the Superdome don't play well the following week (or have a poor ats record). But how many teams actually win at the Superdome? And what effect does a team beating the Saints at home (under Payton) have on that team's confidence/psyche going into the next game? Are there any stats that tell us this? To go further, what happens to teams (who are in a must win situation) that end another teams 20 game win streak at home, under a certain head coach (Payton), the following week? Is there any data for this? To go further, what happens to teams in the above mentioned scenario, when they get one of their defensive studs back after a nine game suspension and, at the same time, lose another one of their stars (Willis) to a season ending injury? Is there any data for this? To go even further, what happens to teams in the above mentioned scenarios if they are coached by a man (Harbaugh) who is a force of nature and is not only seeking revenge against a team that has beaten his the team the last two times but is also trying to prove all the doubters wrong? Finally, and I don't know if you've noticed this but I have; the Niners have been getting a lot of favorable calls the past few weeks (even game changing calls). They also got those calls last year against the Panthers in the playoffs when you backed the Panthers. You know why? Because the Niners are a great story. Harbaugh is a lightning rod. The games they play against Seattle are epic. In short, the Niners are good for business. Now is there any data/trend/stat that can take into account all the anomalies I've just mentioned? You see what I'm getting at, my friend?
Best of luck!
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"San Francisco 49ers @ New York Giants
Another team that was in a great spot last week was the 49ers. I took them on the ML against the Saints because they were in a 18-3 ATS situational spot, and in a must-win game to stay in the division race as they were just 4-4 on the year. I’ve already shared how teams perform after playing in Seattle (Giants), however there is one stadium in the NFL that has a worse lingering ATS record the following game. And that is the only stadium that is more electric than Seattle – New Orleans. The 49ers need to win this game, but I have no idea how they will be able to muster up the same energy and intensity as they did last week in their must-win game as they had to do everything possible to win – in a stadium where the Saints havn’t lost for 20 straight under coach Payton.
The Giants were embarrassed against Seattle last week - the Seahawks set a franchise record for most rushing yards in a game. Dogs after giving up 270+ rushing yards are an astonishing 20-2 ATS since 2006, covering by an average of 7.85 points per game. I expect the Giants to sell out against the rush this week in order to not replicate last week’s performance, making Kapernick do more of the damage with his arm. Considering how his offensive line has played, and the fact that he only completed 44% of his passes against a terrible Saints defense (Yes, but how many dropped passes were there?), I give the edge to NY. I know they lost by 21 last week, but the Giants held tough for 3 quarters before some misfortune in the fourth. They had several chances to jump on consecutive turnovers after Eli threw a tipped interception but the ball just wasn’t bouncing their way. Eli also had to do everything on his own as they had no running game to speak of; however, they get their star RB Rashad Jennings back this week. This is a revenge game for the 49ers, but an absolutely terrible spot for them. The 49ers worst ATS record among the 32 teams in the NFL is also against the Giants as they are just 1-7 ATS over the past decade. I’m hoping they squeak out a 1 or 2 point victory because I have some futures on them, but I don’t see it happening this week."
So this is the reasoning, eh, LC. I know your system has been profitable for you over the years, but the problem with this style of capping (i.e., applying league wide trends, etc) is that there are always going to be exceptions (like a Geno Smith, who is historically bad). This is what I meant last week when I said you gotta take a more holistic approach to some of these games. You say teams playing at the Superdome don't play well the following week (or have a poor ats record). But how many teams actually win at the Superdome? And what effect does a team beating the Saints at home (under Payton) have on that team's confidence/psyche going into the next game? Are there any stats that tell us this? To go further, what happens to teams (who are in a must win situation) that end another teams 20 game win streak at home, under a certain head coach (Payton), the following week? Is there any data for this? To go further, what happens to teams in the above mentioned scenario, when they get one of their defensive studs back after a nine game suspension and, at the same time, lose another one of their stars (Willis) to a season ending injury? Is there any data for this? To go even further, what happens to teams in the above mentioned scenarios if they are coached by a man (Harbaugh) who is a force of nature and is not only seeking revenge against a team that has beaten his the team the last two times but is also trying to prove all the doubters wrong? Finally, and I don't know if you've noticed this but I have; the Niners have been getting a lot of favorable calls the past few weeks (even game changing calls). They also got those calls last year against the Panthers in the playoffs when you backed the Panthers. You know why? Because the Niners are a great story. Harbaugh is a lightning rod. The games they play against Seattle are epic. In short, the Niners are good for business. Now is there any data/trend/stat that can take into account all the anomalies I've just mentioned? You see what I'm getting at, my friend?
Jeff Fisher is a great coach with one of the best ATS records in
the league as an underdog. He always performs well against divisional opponents
and teams he knows very well. His team despite having far less talent, beat the
49ers SU and Seahawks SU as big dogs, almost beat the 49ers a second time, and
came very close to beating the Cardinals as well. One angle that no one is
talking about in this game – no coach in the league has played against Peyton
Manning more in their career than Jeff Fisher (titans v colts). The Rams have
the defense to contain the Broncos offense especially since Denver will be
playing in its third straight road game. I’m thinking this will be a close
matchup. Too much to ask for an upset?
Hello LC. First of all, this is not a bashing post. I've been following your threads for years and have much respect for you. I don't care whether you are on a winning streak or not, I will always read your write-ups.
Last week I posted a small analysis in your thread about the DEN@OAK matchup on why the Raiders can't stay within 14 and you didn't even respond. I will try again this week:
I can't find any reasonable argument on why to back the Rams in this game. You said the Rams have the defense to contain the Broncos, especially since they play their third consecutive road game. What does that mean ? You like trends a lot: Since 2005, road favorites playing their third consecutive road game are 11-3 ATS and won by a margin of 7.8 points. Of those 11 wins, 8 have been by 10 points or more.
The Rams give up 7.5 YPPA (#28) and have faced only ONE offense that ranks in the top 10 of that offensive category. Tampa Bay, Minnesota, San Fran (2x), Seattle, KC, Arizona - all these teams rank in the bottom half in throwing the ball. Rams even have a bottom ten run defense, so why should they have the defense to contain the Broncos ?? Oakland only was in the game for 25 minutes because Peyton Manning started sloppy and the Raiders have a good o-line. Even their solid run D allowed 4.4 YPC against C.J. Anderson and company. The result could have been 48-10 on another day.
How will they protect Shaun Hill ? They have a soft o-line and give up 3.3 sacks per game (#29) and now face one of the best d-lines in the league - Hill will be scrambling for his life. Broncos defense will have a field day.
My conclusion is the same like last week: Rams can't stay within 14. Would be nice to get a respond from you. Good luck for your card this week, you made some good points about the other matchups.
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Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:
Denver
Broncos @ St Louis Rams
Jeff Fisher is a great coach with one of the best ATS records in
the league as an underdog. He always performs well against divisional opponents
and teams he knows very well. His team despite having far less talent, beat the
49ers SU and Seahawks SU as big dogs, almost beat the 49ers a second time, and
came very close to beating the Cardinals as well. One angle that no one is
talking about in this game – no coach in the league has played against Peyton
Manning more in their career than Jeff Fisher (titans v colts). The Rams have
the defense to contain the Broncos offense especially since Denver will be
playing in its third straight road game. I’m thinking this will be a close
matchup. Too much to ask for an upset?
Hello LC. First of all, this is not a bashing post. I've been following your threads for years and have much respect for you. I don't care whether you are on a winning streak or not, I will always read your write-ups.
Last week I posted a small analysis in your thread about the DEN@OAK matchup on why the Raiders can't stay within 14 and you didn't even respond. I will try again this week:
I can't find any reasonable argument on why to back the Rams in this game. You said the Rams have the defense to contain the Broncos, especially since they play their third consecutive road game. What does that mean ? You like trends a lot: Since 2005, road favorites playing their third consecutive road game are 11-3 ATS and won by a margin of 7.8 points. Of those 11 wins, 8 have been by 10 points or more.
The Rams give up 7.5 YPPA (#28) and have faced only ONE offense that ranks in the top 10 of that offensive category. Tampa Bay, Minnesota, San Fran (2x), Seattle, KC, Arizona - all these teams rank in the bottom half in throwing the ball. Rams even have a bottom ten run defense, so why should they have the defense to contain the Broncos ?? Oakland only was in the game for 25 minutes because Peyton Manning started sloppy and the Raiders have a good o-line. Even their solid run D allowed 4.4 YPC against C.J. Anderson and company. The result could have been 48-10 on another day.
How will they protect Shaun Hill ? They have a soft o-line and give up 3.3 sacks per game (#29) and now face one of the best d-lines in the league - Hill will be scrambling for his life. Broncos defense will have a field day.
My conclusion is the same like last week: Rams can't stay within 14. Would be nice to get a respond from you. Good luck for your card this week, you made some good points about the other matchups.
BOL this week LC. Glad to see your still posting!!! Stay postive and screw all the haters. Your well over due and I see a huge sunday coming your way. BTW I hope my colts put a beat down on your pats. Lol!
Definitely a possibility although Brady on Primetime has been MONEY! Will be a good game to watch
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Quote Originally Posted by Bettin-Blaine:
BOL this week LC. Glad to see your still posting!!! Stay postive and screw all the haters. Your well over due and I see a huge sunday coming your way. BTW I hope my colts put a beat down on your pats. Lol!
Definitely a possibility although Brady on Primetime has been MONEY! Will be a good game to watch
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....got it 4.5
Local is Big fan of Cleveland Browns
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