There is a couple of very near BF Fades this week. I could make a case to play them.
Denver is one such team. And another method which does have a fade on Denver I heard online. I reported this method before but they never said the exact parameters, well this time they did.
Team covering the spread by over 5 points on the season after week 5. 57-59% fading these teams.
Denver qualified as a fade last week. Denver beat the method and won by well over 5 pounts so they qualify again this week as a fade.
LAC is the play.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
There is a couple of very near BF Fades this week. I could make a case to play them.
Denver is one such team. And another method which does have a fade on Denver I heard online. I reported this method before but they never said the exact parameters, well this time they did.
Team covering the spread by over 5 points on the season after week 5. 57-59% fading these teams.
Denver qualified as a fade last week. Denver beat the method and won by well over 5 pounts so they qualify again this week as a fade.
Denver is not only close to BF Fade but using the same method I used to take Rams over Bills, win 4 straight scoring 30 or better in all 4 games Denver is a very near fade with this. Scoring 30 or more 3 times and 29 the other game.
The play is on LAC.
2 other very near fades that I could make a case to play, Vikings and Bucs.
And Bears are very close to a twin peaks reverse play missing by 1 point.
Teams scoring 30 back to back and giving up 12 back to back.
Bears gave-up 30 back to back and scored 12 and 13 missing by 1 point.
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Denver is not only close to BF Fade but using the same method I used to take Rams over Bills, win 4 straight scoring 30 or better in all 4 games Denver is a very near fade with this. Scoring 30 or more 3 times and 29 the other game.
The play is on LAC.
2 other very near fades that I could make a case to play, Vikings and Bucs.
And Bears are very close to a twin peaks reverse play missing by 1 point.
Teams scoring 30 back to back and giving up 12 back to back.
Bears gave-up 30 back to back and scored 12 and 13 missing by 1 point.
Bucs very close to a BF Fade and now this method is on Boys. Interesting.
Bills would be a little concerning backing them to me. Coming off 8 straight games scoring 30 points or better.
Never been done 9 straight
And scoring g a ridiculous 48 points and then 42 pts in back to back. And throw on top of that Bills off playing Lions regarded as the best team so we know they brought a very big game.
It just feels like the perfect spot to let up and being a divisional game which turns out being closer then expected quite often.
But the system is what it is, we'll see how it does. The spot this week is historically a very good spot for the system.
It is 3-0 in this same spot to date. But like I've said before, I don't like coming in off wins, had I played this spot I'd be 3-0 right now so if I lose and go for example 1-3 that wouldn't be good considering had I played this spot I would be 3-2 and have a winning record.
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My Other System ...................14-11
4 plays this week......
KC -3.5 over Texans
Falcons -8 (-120) over Giants
Bills -14 over Pats
Boys +4 over Bucs
Bucs very close to a BF Fade and now this method is on Boys. Interesting.
Bills would be a little concerning backing them to me. Coming off 8 straight games scoring 30 points or better.
Never been done 9 straight
And scoring g a ridiculous 48 points and then 42 pts in back to back. And throw on top of that Bills off playing Lions regarded as the best team so we know they brought a very big game.
It just feels like the perfect spot to let up and being a divisional game which turns out being closer then expected quite often.
But the system is what it is, we'll see how it does. The spot this week is historically a very good spot for the system.
It is 3-0 in this same spot to date. But like I've said before, I don't like coming in off wins, had I played this spot I'd be 3-0 right now so if I lose and go for example 1-3 that wouldn't be good considering had I played this spot I would be 3-2 and have a winning record.
The Broncos have had 3 defensive touchdowns in their last 2 games.
I'm wondering how this affects your systems, if at all? Maybe it makes the play stronger as scoring 30+ in their last 2 wasn't achieved by the offense alone. So we kind of get a false sense in that regard.
Or could it possibly null your parameters? The offense alone hasn't been over achieving, and maybe here they could have a good showing.
Just interested.
Keep up the good work
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@theclaw
The Broncos have had 3 defensive touchdowns in their last 2 games.
I'm wondering how this affects your systems, if at all? Maybe it makes the play stronger as scoring 30+ in their last 2 wasn't achieved by the offense alone. So we kind of get a false sense in that regard.
Or could it possibly null your parameters? The offense alone hasn't been over achieving, and maybe here they could have a good showing.
@theclaw The Broncos have had 3 defensive touchdowns in their last 2 games. I'm wondering how this affects your systems, if at all? Maybe it makes the play stronger as scoring 30+ in their last 2 wasn't achieved by the offense alone. So we kind of get a false sense in that regard. Or could it possibly null your parameters? The offense alone hasn't been over achieving, and maybe here they could have a good showing. Just interested. Keep up the good work
No I don't really take that into consideration offensive or defensive scoring but all scoring contributes.
But interesting u brought that up. I was on a site and by accident I came onto defensive scoring. Denver lead the league so I looked back over a number of years and teams defense scoring like Denvers did not do well in the playoffs.
In 2019 when Ravens roared into the playoffs going 14-2 they lead the league or maybe 2cd but we're scoring on defense almost the same as Denver right now and lost in opening playoff game.
Something I found very interesting and needs more looking into..................
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Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:
@theclaw The Broncos have had 3 defensive touchdowns in their last 2 games. I'm wondering how this affects your systems, if at all? Maybe it makes the play stronger as scoring 30+ in their last 2 wasn't achieved by the offense alone. So we kind of get a false sense in that regard. Or could it possibly null your parameters? The offense alone hasn't been over achieving, and maybe here they could have a good showing. Just interested. Keep up the good work
No I don't really take that into consideration offensive or defensive scoring but all scoring contributes.
But interesting u brought that up. I was on a site and by accident I came onto defensive scoring. Denver lead the league so I looked back over a number of years and teams defense scoring like Denvers did not do well in the playoffs.
In 2019 when Ravens roared into the playoffs going 14-2 they lead the league or maybe 2cd but we're scoring on defense almost the same as Denver right now and lost in opening playoff game.
Something I found very interesting and needs more looking into..................
It will be interesting to see how well the Bills do this week because they are the only team in the NFL History(Super Bowl era) to score and allow 42+ points in consecutive weeks…I think the Bills roll but 14 is a lot of points..GL
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@theclaw
It will be interesting to see how well the Bills do this week because they are the only team in the NFL History(Super Bowl era) to score and allow 42+ points in consecutive weeks…I think the Bills roll but 14 is a lot of points..GL
@theclaw The Tampa Bay Bucs are still in the wild card race you sure that's a fade?
Bucs not an official fade, only pointing out they are close to a fade which indicates they are playing on a high level that may be difficult to sustain.
No play for me
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Quote Originally Posted by KingBet50:
@theclaw The Tampa Bay Bucs are still in the wild card race you sure that's a fade?
Bucs not an official fade, only pointing out they are close to a fade which indicates they are playing on a high level that may be difficult to sustain.
@theclaw It will be interesting to see how well the Bills do this week because they are the only team in the NFL History(Super Bowl era) to score and allow 42+ points in consecutive weeks…I think the Bills roll but 14 is a lot of points..GL
Wow incredible. Yea I think game goes under. Bills team TT Under as well. Bills scoring at too high of a pace. It's ridiculous
If it does then 14 pts is alot for sure.
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Quote Originally Posted by Mcmanus:
@theclaw It will be interesting to see how well the Bills do this week because they are the only team in the NFL History(Super Bowl era) to score and allow 42+ points in consecutive weeks…I think the Bills roll but 14 is a lot of points..GL
Wow incredible. Yea I think game goes under. Bills team TT Under as well. Bills scoring at too high of a pace. It's ridiculous
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