NFL WEEK 16 ...............................2024

TC, your stellar year looks even better considering some other solid Covers handicappers are having down years.

I tip my Australian Bushmen's hat to you.

Thank you ......................

@theclaw

 Get it today Claw.....

Thurs --- 1-0, won 1 unit

Sat --- 0-1, lost 1.1 units

My other system ...............15-11

1-0 ......with KC SU & ATS win.

Ravens really took it to Steelers, according to my PR II Ravens won the game by 18.42 pts almost right on the margin of the game.

Unfortunately Wilson losses that fumble inside the 5. All told there were 3 fumbles, 2 by Ravens, Ravens recovered all 3 fumbles. 

And the pick-6 By Wilson was too much to over-come. It came after a Steelers INT and very possible for Steelers to cover the +7 at that point.

Terrible pass by Wilson.

My other system ..................15-11

As I mentioned this week is a good spot to play this method. Spot has come up twice this season and is 3-0 ATS.

Now off to a good start this week.

Remaining plays ......

Boys +4 over Bucs

Falcons -8 (-120) over Giants

Bills -14 over Pats

I won't take any action on these games.

The 1 game I take some reluctance to is Bills. Seems this could be a flat spot for them after 2 big scoring weeks and just beating the Lions who were thought by many  to be the best team.

We'll  see how this goes but this week being a good spot I roll with this method regardless of my opinion.

Hoping for at least a 3-1 week for this system.

Only the saints pending, correct?  No official bets for today?

Correct .......

My new regression method...........

Last week was a disaster with teams over a 17 mismatch going 1-5 ATS.

We will  see if these teams can bounce back this week. 

Teams over 17 mismatch ......

LAC over Denver by 25.3

Lions over Bears by 18.5

Zona over Panthers by 17.4

LAC are won as Denver a fade on this method last week VS Colts could not survive being in regression 2 weeks in a row. 

The Lions game I'd more then likely pass on because all the injuries are what makes it appear Lions are due to play better.

There are some games where reading between the lines I'd have to pass . The method is saying Lions due to play much better but it is the injuries make it look that way not actual regression. 

Teams favored under 5 pts..........

Jags over LV by 2.7

Jets over Rams  by 4.6

We fade these 2 teams favored under 5 pts.

I have 6 weeks of data now and these teams under 5 have 1 win ATS. Like 1-11 ATS.

interesting  the only team to cover was Bills VS KC. No way I would have faded the Bills in that game. 

With such a great record I'd expect this to regress actually, but we will see if it does.

I've seen on you tube guys saying sharps were pounding the 9ers over Dolphins.

I'd have to disagree  with that play. I don't see why they'd like 9ers so much. They aren't good. Terrible in the red zone, lack any scoring efficiency. 

I'd lean Dolphins here and would consider taking half a unit on them.

Buy I'll wait out this line to see if it continues to rise. Closer to game time I'll decide being a 4:25 start time.

Pending play .............

Saints +14.5 (-115) over Packers --- 1.15 units

My only play remaining this week unless I decide to play Dolphins closer to game-time.

App your time n efforts sir. 

[Quote: Originally Posted by Mskeets]App your time n efforts sir.[/Quote

My other system goes to 2-0 with Falcons big win.

2 more games to go.