My other system ..............17-12
KC -2.5 (-115) over Steelers --- 1.15 units
the system was on KC last week as well and got the win.
I think the Steelers might be the play though. Especially if Watt and Pickens is back and healthy enough to contribute a good game.
I won't take any action on this game at this point anyway only posting the plays of the system.
Line seems to be going up so grab it now of you like KC but wait if you like Steelers.
Xmas day my new regression method has Ravens by under 5 pts.
1-13 ATS past 7 weeks with teams under 5 pt favorites.
Suggesting the play is on the Texans.
Texans 6-9 ATS but Stroud has been good ATS as a dog in his short career not this season but and this is the largest dog Texans have been this season.
Texans came into this season over-rated and were due a regression from last seasons success which supports their poor ATS record.
Maybe spreads now catching up to their true value.
I think play is on the Texans even without my new regression method.
I doubt I'll take action, maybe if the line goes up and I see those on you tube backing the Ravens for reasons that don't make sense.
Solid contribution to the board week in week out. Appreciated. Btw my plus money (5%) Houston to win division came home very early. Lucky Canuck.
Merry Xmas
@undermysac..........
@mandy1.................
@Buffalobob89074...............
@sportschat............
@Macwestie1............
@gambling-devil..........
@Supat125............
@insatiable.............
@umgmu................
@DogbiteWilliams..............
Thanks for all the kind words guys, very,very much appreciated.
I hope everyone had a great xmas and hopefully a happy new year.
Great job...............
I think next year could be the Texans year , they should make big improvements and Stroud as well.
My other system ...........18-12
Xmas day --- 1-0 ATS
KC rolled the Steelers. Back to back weeks this method came in on KC and they won and covered both.
Next week is a different story ,KC is closer to a fade then a play on team according to the system.
One more play this week ............
I won't take action only posting the systems plays. If it gets a win the system win % goes over 60% on the year.
Colts -7 over Giants
My new regression method did have Ravens favored less then 5 pts and for only the 2cd time a team under 5 has won ATS past 7 weeks.
I have 7 weeks of data now , this week makes 8. I'll try to post the results for 8 weeks.
The teams favored under 5 are 2-13 ATS, the only 2 teams to win ATS are Bills over KC and Ravens over Texans.
Both winning teams being 2 of the best teams in the league. So maybe fading weaker teamsvin this spot will prove to be strong plays. I'll have to check all the results.
This week there are 4 more teams favored under 5 pts.
Giants by 4.3 9ver Colts
Jags by 3.4 over Titans
Bucs by 1.7 over Panthers
Bills by 4.7 over Jets.
Fading these teams favored plays right into my other system play on Colts.
Well see how it goes this week.
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