NFL WEEK 4 .........................2024

Bounce Factor fade on the Vikings, playing on an unsustainable level of play. Vikings were no-where near as good as the final score suggested week 3.

And my other method using completely different method has a play on the Packers.

Getting this in early as looks line line is going up.

Packers -2.5 (-115) over Vikings --- 1.15 units

@theclaw

 Good luck this week. I thought this would open GB-3 but people are looking at the Vikings 3-0 start.

Malik Willis is better than Jordan Love 

@buffer

@theclaw

THK

Good luck Claw.  

Yea, I thought maybe public would come in on Vikings drive line down. Must be sharps on Packers I suspect driving it up.

Ha, good one Buffer.

Yea, Buffer he is a funny guy.

@Supat125..........

@D-Town..........

season to date --- 6-3 ATS, won 2.2 units

2 plays this week as of now. Haven't  gone over everything yet.

Last week there were 2 plays using 3 of 4 Bator method , 2-0 ATS

Fade Saints and back Panthers

Is there not a bounce factor on the Packers because they lost week 1?

They have been playing really well also.

Huge divisional game early in the season, who would of thunk it. 

I would probably have to side with you as Lambeau is a really tough place to play. But the Vikings have a lot going for themselves. Much tougher sos to date. Dvoa has Minny #3, GB #8

@undermysac

 Vikes best coached team in the league right now 

Can't argue that one bit

The last team I would bet against right now  is the O’Connell led Vikings.  There are better games on the slate.  

No not yet. My method requires at minimum 3 wins with  some big wins playing well over averages. GB has only 2 wins and 1 big win. Winning 16-10 is not an extreme level of play. Those type wins are easily sustainable.

Possible if the win big enough VS Vikes they could qualify next week.

Also Vikings play on the field, different  method, was not even close to the final score. Look at the boxscore, not even close. I had them winning by 14.5 pts not 27. Fluke final score.

While Packers should of win by 37 not 16, Packers were  far more impressive.

Could very well be but no team no matter who is the coach, or QB is immune to regression. 

It is the law of averages, not sustainable to play above averages for long. 

Teams do beat the BF but probabilities are against it.

@theclaw

 Gotcha 

Buy low, sell high.

You are buying Vikings high.

When you say you don't  want to bet against them that is telling you that you are buying high. 

You wouldn't  say that if you were buying low.

Just a thought...................

Just better games on the board IMO.  I try and stay away from divisional games as these teams know each other more than out of division / conference foes.  Aaron Jones should be chomping at the bit this Sunday.

Ravens -2.5 over Bills --- 1.1 units

Bator alert.........................

@theclaw

Feel buying high on green bay too they are super high thought of in market now - and have played worse competition. Colts/titans vs niners/texans is huge edge to vikings. i think if we were buying high on vikings this line would be more like a pickem. which i feel like it should be for as good as vikings been.

In some respects I agree but Vikings are off the hook in key areas, not Packers .............