Bounce Factor fade on the Vikings, playing on an unsustainable level of play. Vikings were no-where near as good as the final score suggested week 3. And my other method using completely different method has a play on the Packers. Getting this in early as looks line line is going up. Packers -2.5 (-115) over Vikings --- 1.15 units
Steelers regression?
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Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:
Bounce Factor fade on the Vikings, playing on an unsustainable level of play. Vikings were no-where near as good as the final score suggested week 3. And my other method using completely different method has a play on the Packers. Getting this in early as looks line line is going up. Packers -2.5 (-115) over Vikings --- 1.15 units
This week we have a new leader in yards per point margin. We talked about this last week.
No.1 Vikings.........19.4
The 85 Bears one of if not the single best team in history was 8.
Are the Vikings almost 2.5 times better then the best team in History ?
Vikes just played 34.2 last game, in other words indicative of a peak. Not sustainable and when teams fall from that peak they will fall hard and far
Not very likely Vikes end the season above 6, they will very likely be a decent amount below 6 which 6 would be a strong season for any team. I doubt Vikes will be at 6 by end of season.
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This week we have a new leader in yards per point margin. We talked about this last week.
No.1 Vikings.........19.4
The 85 Bears one of if not the single best team in history was 8.
Are the Vikings almost 2.5 times better then the best team in History ?
Vikes just played 34.2 last game, in other words indicative of a peak. Not sustainable and when teams fall from that peak they will fall hard and far
Not very likely Vikes end the season above 6, they will very likely be a decent amount below 6 which 6 would be a strong season for any team. I doubt Vikes will be at 6 by end of season.
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw: Bounce Factor fade on the Vikings, playing on an unsustainable level of play. Vikings were no-where near as good as the final score suggested week 3. And my other method using completely different method has a play on the Packers. Getting this in early as looks line line is going up. Packers -2.5 (-115) over Vikings --- 1.15 units Steelers regression?
No. They way the Steelers are playing is sustainable. Play like this can win and cover many games in a row.
I'm not saying they will but when teams do cover many in a row the Steelers play is mostly how it is done.
Teams don't string many covers in a row off big blowout wins, they can however do it off smaller wins. It does not mean they will but when it is done this is the most common way it is done. So I would not count out Steelers from stringing a good number of covers together.
Historically how it is done. Of course there will be exception to any rule.
I would not bet against the Steelers because you might think they might regress, I'd pass myself.
I've already see guys I follow on the Colts +2.5 they play the number.
That is one game I disagree with them.
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Quote Originally Posted by SportsIntuition:
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw: Bounce Factor fade on the Vikings, playing on an unsustainable level of play. Vikings were no-where near as good as the final score suggested week 3. And my other method using completely different method has a play on the Packers. Getting this in early as looks line line is going up. Packers -2.5 (-115) over Vikings --- 1.15 units Steelers regression?
No. They way the Steelers are playing is sustainable. Play like this can win and cover many games in a row.
I'm not saying they will but when teams do cover many in a row the Steelers play is mostly how it is done.
Teams don't string many covers in a row off big blowout wins, they can however do it off smaller wins. It does not mean they will but when it is done this is the most common way it is done. So I would not count out Steelers from stringing a good number of covers together.
Historically how it is done. Of course there will be exception to any rule.
I would not bet against the Steelers because you might think they might regress, I'd pass myself.
I've already see guys I follow on the Colts +2.5 they play the number.
@theclaw, I played against NOR and ARI last week based on them scoring 40+ in a win the previous week and they both hit, parlayed them too. What angle is the CAR play? And what are these 4 Bator methods you speak of? I would appreciate your input. Thanks,
No angle on Carolina.
There is only 1 Bator method, play is on Ravens.
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Quote Originally Posted by Joe_Cool:
@theclaw, I played against NOR and ARI last week based on them scoring 40+ in a win the previous week and they both hit, parlayed them too. What angle is the CAR play? And what are these 4 Bator methods you speak of? I would appreciate your input. Thanks,
I looked up points per plays margin going back to 2017 but not including 2020 & 21 the covid 1st 2 years.
every year but 1 at least 4 of top 5 made playoffs after week 3.. Every year but 1 at least 1 SB team was in the top 5, that was 2017 with both Eagles and Pats around 17th to 20th.
So looking at post 46 we can see this seasons top 5.
Was also some big surprises came out of top 5.
Jags in 2017 was one such team they ranked 3rd, beat Big Ben and Steelers in Pittsburgh and held close to Pats for the cover.
Rams ranked no.1 in 2018 the year they faced Pats in SB.
Top 5 this season will very likely produce some surprises come playoff time.
Trying add in more indicators to get down to which teams might have the best shots.
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PTS PER PLAYS TOP 5 ................
I looked up points per plays margin going back to 2017 but not including 2020 & 21 the covid 1st 2 years.
every year but 1 at least 4 of top 5 made playoffs after week 3.. Every year but 1 at least 1 SB team was in the top 5, that was 2017 with both Eagles and Pats around 17th to 20th.
So looking at post 46 we can see this seasons top 5.
Was also some big surprises came out of top 5.
Jags in 2017 was one such team they ranked 3rd, beat Big Ben and Steelers in Pittsburgh and held close to Pats for the cover.
Rams ranked no.1 in 2018 the year they faced Pats in SB.
Top 5 this season will very likely produce some surprises come playoff time.
Trying add in more indicators to get down to which teams might have the best shots.
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on your plays respectfully @theclaw 
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