Honestly, the Dolphins moneyline at 2 to 1 seems overpriced. They looked like shit last week, but Mahomes' receivers have looked like shit all year. The Chiefs probably win and don't cover, but 2 to 1 seems like good value for an event that isn't completely out of the realm of reality.
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Honestly, the Dolphins moneyline at 2 to 1 seems overpriced. They looked like shit last week, but Mahomes' receivers have looked like shit all year. The Chiefs probably win and don't cover, but 2 to 1 seems like good value for an event that isn't completely out of the realm of reality.
Hey LAGOI, are your Cleveland plays individual plays with the ML play the big one? Thanks and appreciate your work. BOL
Yes, they are all individual plays. But I'll probably foolishly triple tease them too as I think the lines are tight. For today...
CLEVELAND (-130)
OVER 43.5 (CLE/HOU)
UNDER 44 (MIA/KC)
I just think that the game might be tight so I opted for the ML here. I can see like a 24-21 final, obviously hoping in Clevelands favor. I can why people like Houston but it's also a play on Flacco and coach Stefanski.
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Quote Originally Posted by Handballplayer:
Hey LAGOI, are your Cleveland plays individual plays with the ML play the big one? Thanks and appreciate your work. BOL
Yes, they are all individual plays. But I'll probably foolishly triple tease them too as I think the lines are tight. For today...
CLEVELAND (-130)
OVER 43.5 (CLE/HOU)
UNDER 44 (MIA/KC)
I just think that the game might be tight so I opted for the ML here. I can see like a 24-21 final, obviously hoping in Clevelands favor. I can why people like Houston but it's also a play on Flacco and coach Stefanski.
whatever happens can't complain to the start of this game based on selections and analysis. of course will be much cooler if we win both sides, but already sense we won't be totally left behind.
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whatever happens can't complain to the start of this game based on selections and analysis. of course will be much cooler if we win both sides, but already sense we won't be totally left behind.
I can't think of any reason to go over in this game with this kind of weather. I believe this game will be tight the whole way through and field position will be key. Hopefully some good defense with long fields help the cause.
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@LAGameofInches
I can't think of any reason to go over in this game with this kind of weather. I believe this game will be tight the whole way through and field position will be key. Hopefully some good defense with long fields help the cause.
Not 3-0 but I'll take 2-1 with those BIG PLAYS!!! I was totally wrong about Flacco tonight, I apologize for that. Just really believed in these totals too and it helped me rebound pretty substantially. I guess 67% is a good start, still have the LAR tomorrow.
I'll start a new thread tomorrow and MIGHT also have a play on the GB/DAL game. It's tricky but I can't imagine the Dallas D isn't up for this one. Anyways, hope everyone had a solid day. I'm finishing off some sake myself.
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Not 3-0 but I'll take 2-1 with those BIG PLAYS!!! I was totally wrong about Flacco tonight, I apologize for that. Just really believed in these totals too and it helped me rebound pretty substantially. I guess 67% is a good start, still have the LAR tomorrow.
I'll start a new thread tomorrow and MIGHT also have a play on the GB/DAL game. It's tricky but I can't imagine the Dallas D isn't up for this one. Anyways, hope everyone had a solid day. I'm finishing off some sake myself.
[Quote: Originally Posted by LAGameofInches]Adding…. UNDER 44 (MIA/KC): Part of why I did so well this year was by backing unders vs inflated totals that really just take public sentiments and not true analytics. Tonight is another example as KC has been really puzzling all year on offense given the inept receivers including Kelce. Instead they have turned to a run first team with Pacheco and even Mahomes scrambling to extend drives. Tonight will be ICE cold and that’s no pun intended. If you’ve ever played football in the cold you know that ball feels like a rock and even with gloves and warmers will be tough to catch. Add in the KC drops and Mostert back for a Miami team that will face a really good KC defense and I can’t see how the running game doesn’t take front and center. Sure there will also be missed tackles but I’m gonna let these teams prove to me that the cold is no hindrance to scoring. Play this confidently, I just did. Quote]
GREAT CALL, and Travis Kelce dropped two more passes tonight.
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[Quote: Originally Posted by LAGameofInches]Adding…. UNDER 44 (MIA/KC): Part of why I did so well this year was by backing unders vs inflated totals that really just take public sentiments and not true analytics. Tonight is another example as KC has been really puzzling all year on offense given the inept receivers including Kelce. Instead they have turned to a run first team with Pacheco and even Mahomes scrambling to extend drives. Tonight will be ICE cold and that’s no pun intended. If you’ve ever played football in the cold you know that ball feels like a rock and even with gloves and warmers will be tough to catch. Add in the KC drops and Mostert back for a Miami team that will face a really good KC defense and I can’t see how the running game doesn’t take front and center. Sure there will also be missed tackles but I’m gonna let these teams prove to me that the cold is no hindrance to scoring. Play this confidently, I just did. Quote]
GREAT CALL, and Travis Kelce dropped two more passes tonight.
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