@Indigo999 Regarding post 51 and 52 and rushing attempts A team leading in a game , especially in the 2nd half will usually run the ball more often to keep the clock moving...which would skew rushing attempts week to week If they up 20 in the 4th they probably not gonna throw the ball much, if at all...and just pound the run If they trailing by 10 in the 4th they usually go pass heavy Basically the result of the previous games rushing stats depends on if the team was winning or losing in the 2nd half Great info as always Don't week 1 games hit at like 66% under? Especially if total over 46.5 Week 1 lines out Initial gut leans Dal/cle under 44.5 Ten/chi under 44.0 Car/no under 41.0 Min/nyg under 42.0 Den/sea under 42.0 Wsh/tb under 42.0
61% since 2020
season >= 2020 and week = 1 and total < 46.5
28-48
0
Quote Originally Posted by dubz4dummyz:
@Indigo999 Regarding post 51 and 52 and rushing attempts A team leading in a game , especially in the 2nd half will usually run the ball more often to keep the clock moving...which would skew rushing attempts week to week If they up 20 in the 4th they probably not gonna throw the ball much, if at all...and just pound the run If they trailing by 10 in the 4th they usually go pass heavy Basically the result of the previous games rushing stats depends on if the team was winning or losing in the 2nd half Great info as always Don't week 1 games hit at like 66% under? Especially if total over 46.5 Week 1 lines out Initial gut leans Dal/cle under 44.5 Ten/chi under 44.0 Car/no under 41.0 Min/nyg under 42.0 Den/sea under 42.0 Wsh/tb under 42.0
Using numbers that only go back to 2015 I'm guessing you're about 30 years old.
If you handicap like you guess you're a loser, .....don't let your fat ugly ass dent my pretty exit door on your way out.
Possible week 1 picks
1) Jacksonville +.....fits a 55-18-1 ATS angle
2) NYJ +.........week 1 away dogs that missed the playoffs playing a team that made the playoffs last season 39-26 ATS,...away non-Thursday week 1 dogs that missed the playoffs LS playing a team that played in at least two playoff games the season prior have gone 12-3 ATS, 8-7 straight up, going 11-2 ATS, 8-5 straight up if the line is less than 10 points.
3) Colts +....there is a 23-7 ATS Hoody angle favoring Indy
4) Titans +.....week 1 away dogs that won 4, 5 or 6 games last season and won less games than their present opponent...61-30-4 ATS
5) Commanders +...... same angle as the Titans' angle...61-30-4 ATS
6) Cardinals +.............75% ATS angle (over 60 game sample size) on Arizona
7) Broncos +...........non-divisional week 1 away dogs playing a team that missed the playoffs last season 42-21, ATS, 22-7-1 ATS if the line is <=+6
8) Falcons -, possibly NYG - (if they are a favorite)....week 1 home favorites that had less wins the previous season than their present week 1 opponent 49-31 ATS
0
Quote Originally Posted by C-70Blues:
Using numbers that only go back to 2015 I'm guessing you're about 30 years old.
If you handicap like you guess you're a loser, .....don't let your fat ugly ass dent my pretty exit door on your way out.
Possible week 1 picks
1) Jacksonville +.....fits a 55-18-1 ATS angle
2) NYJ +.........week 1 away dogs that missed the playoffs playing a team that made the playoffs last season 39-26 ATS,...away non-Thursday week 1 dogs that missed the playoffs LS playing a team that played in at least two playoff games the season prior have gone 12-3 ATS, 8-7 straight up, going 11-2 ATS, 8-5 straight up if the line is less than 10 points.
3) Colts +....there is a 23-7 ATS Hoody angle favoring Indy
4) Titans +.....week 1 away dogs that won 4, 5 or 6 games last season and won less games than their present opponent...61-30-4 ATS
5) Commanders +...... same angle as the Titans' angle...61-30-4 ATS
6) Cardinals +.............75% ATS angle (over 60 game sample size) on Arizona
7) Broncos +...........non-divisional week 1 away dogs playing a team that missed the playoffs last season 42-21, ATS, 22-7-1 ATS if the line is <=+6
8) Falcons -, possibly NYG - (if they are a favorite)....week 1 home favorites that had less wins the previous season than their present week 1 opponent 49-31 ATS
Quote Originally Posted by dubz4dummyz: @Indigo999 Regarding post 51 and 52 and rushing attempts A team leading in a game , especially in the 2nd half will usually run the ball more often to keep the clock moving...which would skew rushing attempts week to week If they up 20 in the 4th they probably not gonna throw the ball much, if at all...and just pound the run If they trailing by 10 in the 4th they usually go pass heavy Basically the result of the previous games rushing stats depends on if the team was winning or losing in the 2nd half Great info as always Don't week 1 games hit at like 66% under? Especially if total over 46.5 Week 1 lines out Initial gut leans Dal/cle under 44.5 Ten/chi under 44.0 Car/no under 41.0 Min/nyg under 42.0 Den/sea under 42.0 Wsh/tb under 42.0 61% since 2020 season >= 2020 and week = 1 and total < 46.5 28-48
If you make the total less than 45.5 you:
season >= 2020 and week = 1 and total < 45.5
18-44 NICE!
I will be mixing some of these totals teased up and playing under in week 1.
0
Quote Originally Posted by jowchoo:
Quote Originally Posted by dubz4dummyz: @Indigo999 Regarding post 51 and 52 and rushing attempts A team leading in a game , especially in the 2nd half will usually run the ball more often to keep the clock moving...which would skew rushing attempts week to week If they up 20 in the 4th they probably not gonna throw the ball much, if at all...and just pound the run If they trailing by 10 in the 4th they usually go pass heavy Basically the result of the previous games rushing stats depends on if the team was winning or losing in the 2nd half Great info as always Don't week 1 games hit at like 66% under? Especially if total over 46.5 Week 1 lines out Initial gut leans Dal/cle under 44.5 Ten/chi under 44.0 Car/no under 41.0 Min/nyg under 42.0 Den/sea under 42.0 Wsh/tb under 42.0 61% since 2020 season >= 2020 and week = 1 and total < 46.5 28-48
If you make the total less than 45.5 you:
season >= 2020 and week = 1 and total < 45.5
18-44 NICE!
I will be mixing some of these totals teased up and playing under in week 1.
Quote Originally Posted by C-70Blues: Using numbers that only go back to 2015 I'm guessing you're about 30 years old. If you handicap like you guess you're a loser, .....don't let your fat ugly ass dent my pretty exit door on your way out. Possible week 1 picks 1) Jacksonville +.....fits a 55-18-1 ATS angle 2) NYJ +.........week 1 away dogs that missed the playoffs playing a team that made the playoffs last season 39-26 ATS,...away non-Thursday week 1 dogs that missed the playoffs LS playing a team that played in at least two playoff games the season prior have gone 12-3 ATS, 8-7 straight up, going 11-2 ATS, 8-5 straight up if the line is less than 10 points. 3) Colts +....there is a 23-7 ATS Hoody angle favoring Indy 4) Titans +.....week 1 away dogs that won 4, 5 or 6 games last season and won less games than their present opponent...61-30-4 ATS 5) Commanders +...... same angle as the Titans' angle...61-30-4 ATS 6) Cardinals +.............75% ATS angle (over 60 game sample size) on Arizona 7) Broncos +...........non-divisional week 1 away dogs playing a team that missed the playoffs last season 42-21, ATS, 22-7-1 ATS if the line is <=+6 8) Falcons -, possibly NYG - (if they are a favorite)....week 1 home favorites that had less wins the previous season than their present week 1 opponent 49-31 ATS
Handicapping the NFL requires a lot more than running simple queries. There are many, many intricacies to the sport that must be factored in that override these results.
0
Quote Originally Posted by Indigo999:
Quote Originally Posted by C-70Blues: Using numbers that only go back to 2015 I'm guessing you're about 30 years old. If you handicap like you guess you're a loser, .....don't let your fat ugly ass dent my pretty exit door on your way out. Possible week 1 picks 1) Jacksonville +.....fits a 55-18-1 ATS angle 2) NYJ +.........week 1 away dogs that missed the playoffs playing a team that made the playoffs last season 39-26 ATS,...away non-Thursday week 1 dogs that missed the playoffs LS playing a team that played in at least two playoff games the season prior have gone 12-3 ATS, 8-7 straight up, going 11-2 ATS, 8-5 straight up if the line is less than 10 points. 3) Colts +....there is a 23-7 ATS Hoody angle favoring Indy 4) Titans +.....week 1 away dogs that won 4, 5 or 6 games last season and won less games than their present opponent...61-30-4 ATS 5) Commanders +...... same angle as the Titans' angle...61-30-4 ATS 6) Cardinals +.............75% ATS angle (over 60 game sample size) on Arizona 7) Broncos +...........non-divisional week 1 away dogs playing a team that missed the playoffs last season 42-21, ATS, 22-7-1 ATS if the line is <=+6 8) Falcons -, possibly NYG - (if they are a favorite)....week 1 home favorites that had less wins the previous season than their present week 1 opponent 49-31 ATS
Handicapping the NFL requires a lot more than running simple queries. There are many, many intricacies to the sport that must be factored in that override these results.
Quote Originally Posted by Indigo999: Quote Originally Posted by C-70Blues: Using numbers that only go back to 2015 I'm guessing you're about 30 years old. If you handicap like you guess you're a loser, .....don't let your fat ugly ass dent my pretty exit door on your way out. Possible week 1 picks 1) Jacksonville +.....fits a 55-18-1 ATS angle 2) NYJ +.........week 1 away dogs that missed the playoffs playing a team that made the playoffs last season 39-26 ATS,...away non-Thursday week 1 dogs that missed the playoffs LS playing a team that played in at least two playoff games the season prior have gone 12-3 ATS, 8-7 straight up, going 11-2 ATS, 8-5 straight up if the line is less than 10 points. 3) Colts +....there is a 23-7 ATS Hoody angle favoring Indy 4) Titans +.....week 1 away dogs that won 4, 5 or 6 games last season and won less games than their present opponent...61-30-4 ATS 5) Commanders +...... same angle as the Titans' angle...61-30-4 ATS 6) Cardinals +.............75% ATS angle (over 60 game sample size) on Arizona 7) Broncos +...........non-divisional week 1 away dogs playing a team that missed the playoffs last season 42-21, ATS, 22-7-1 ATS if the line is <=+6 8) Falcons -, possibly NYG - (if they are a favorite)....week 1 home favorites that had less wins the previous season than their present week 1 opponent 49-31 ATS Handicapping the NFL requires a lot more than running simple queries. There are many, many intricacies to the sport that must be factored in that override these results.
You are in way over your head,sonny.
1
Quote Originally Posted by C-70Blues:
Quote Originally Posted by Indigo999: Quote Originally Posted by C-70Blues: Using numbers that only go back to 2015 I'm guessing you're about 30 years old. If you handicap like you guess you're a loser, .....don't let your fat ugly ass dent my pretty exit door on your way out. Possible week 1 picks 1) Jacksonville +.....fits a 55-18-1 ATS angle 2) NYJ +.........week 1 away dogs that missed the playoffs playing a team that made the playoffs last season 39-26 ATS,...away non-Thursday week 1 dogs that missed the playoffs LS playing a team that played in at least two playoff games the season prior have gone 12-3 ATS, 8-7 straight up, going 11-2 ATS, 8-5 straight up if the line is less than 10 points. 3) Colts +....there is a 23-7 ATS Hoody angle favoring Indy 4) Titans +.....week 1 away dogs that won 4, 5 or 6 games last season and won less games than their present opponent...61-30-4 ATS 5) Commanders +...... same angle as the Titans' angle...61-30-4 ATS 6) Cardinals +.............75% ATS angle (over 60 game sample size) on Arizona 7) Broncos +...........non-divisional week 1 away dogs playing a team that missed the playoffs last season 42-21, ATS, 22-7-1 ATS if the line is <=+6 8) Falcons -, possibly NYG - (if they are a favorite)....week 1 home favorites that had less wins the previous season than their present week 1 opponent 49-31 ATS Handicapping the NFL requires a lot more than running simple queries. There are many, many intricacies to the sport that must be factored in that override these results.
Quote Originally Posted by jowchoo: Quote Originally Posted by dubz4dummyz: @Indigo999 Regarding post 51 and 52 and rushing attempts A team leading in a game , especially in the 2nd half will usually run the ball more often to keep the clock moving...which would skew rushing attempts week to week If they up 20 in the 4th they probably not gonna throw the ball much, if at all...and just pound the run If they trailing by 10 in the 4th they usually go pass heavy Basically the result of the previous games rushing stats depends on if the team was winning or losing in the 2nd half Great info as always Don't week 1 games hit at like 66% under? Especially if total over 46.5 Week 1 lines out Initial gut leans Dal/cle under 44.5 Ten/chi under 44.0 Car/no under 41.0 Min/nyg under 42.0 Den/sea under 42.0 Wsh/tb under 42.0 61% since 2020 season >= 2020 and week = 1 and total < 46.5 28-48 If you make the total less than 45.5 you: season >= 2020 and week = 1 and total < 45.5 18-44 NICE! I will be mixing some of these totals teased up and playing under in week 1.
Dividing record by 2 gets (9-22) same ATS %
0
Quote Originally Posted by jowchoo:
Quote Originally Posted by jowchoo: Quote Originally Posted by dubz4dummyz: @Indigo999 Regarding post 51 and 52 and rushing attempts A team leading in a game , especially in the 2nd half will usually run the ball more often to keep the clock moving...which would skew rushing attempts week to week If they up 20 in the 4th they probably not gonna throw the ball much, if at all...and just pound the run If they trailing by 10 in the 4th they usually go pass heavy Basically the result of the previous games rushing stats depends on if the team was winning or losing in the 2nd half Great info as always Don't week 1 games hit at like 66% under? Especially if total over 46.5 Week 1 lines out Initial gut leans Dal/cle under 44.5 Ten/chi under 44.0 Car/no under 41.0 Min/nyg under 42.0 Den/sea under 42.0 Wsh/tb under 42.0 61% since 2020 season >= 2020 and week = 1 and total < 46.5 28-48 If you make the total less than 45.5 you: season >= 2020 and week = 1 and total < 45.5 18-44 NICE! I will be mixing some of these totals teased up and playing under in week 1.
Quote Originally Posted by jowchoo: Quote Originally Posted by dubz4dummyz: If you make the total less than 45.5 you: season >= 2020 and week = 1 and total < 45.5 18-44 NICE! I will be mixing some of these totals teased up and playing under in week 1.
Yessir 70% . What if u move back to 2016. Add 4 seasons worth of data
League been pass heavy since then so it fits
0
Quote Originally Posted by jowchoo:
Quote Originally Posted by jowchoo: Quote Originally Posted by dubz4dummyz: If you make the total less than 45.5 you: season >= 2020 and week = 1 and total < 45.5 18-44 NICE! I will be mixing some of these totals teased up and playing under in week 1.
Yessir 70% . What if u move back to 2016. Add 4 seasons worth of data
Quote Originally Posted by C-70Blues: Using numbers that only go back to 2015 I'm guessing you're about 30 years old. If you handicap like you guess you're a loser, .....don't let your fat ugly ass dent my pretty exit door on your way out. Possible week 1 picks 1) Jacksonville +.....fits a 55-18-1 ATS angle 2) NYJ +.........week 1 away dogs that missed the playoffs playing a team that made the playoffs last season 39-26 ATS,...away non-Thursday week 1 dogs that missed the playoffs LS playing a team that played in at least two playoff games the season prior have gone 12-3 ATS, 8-7 straight up, going 11-2 ATS, 8-5 straight up if the line is less than 10 points. 3) Colts +....there is a 23-7 ATS Hoody angle favoring Indy 4) Titans +.....week 1 away dogs that won 4, 5 or 6 games last season and won less games than their present opponent...61-30-4 ATS 5) Commanders +...... same angle as the Titans' angle...61-30-4 ATS 6) Cardinals +.............75% ATS angle (over 60 game sample size) on Arizona 7) Broncos +...........non-divisional week 1 away dogs playing a team that missed the playoffs last season 42-21, ATS, 22-7-1 ATS if the line is <=+6 8) Falcons -, possibly NYG - (if they are a favorite)....week 1 home favorites that had less wins the previous season than their present week 1 opponent 49-31 ATS
On today's episode of ESPN Bet Live Erin Dolan aired this fade SF nugget: In week 1 last season's Super Bowl losers are just 5-19 ATS.
1
Quote Originally Posted by Indigo999:
Quote Originally Posted by C-70Blues: Using numbers that only go back to 2015 I'm guessing you're about 30 years old. If you handicap like you guess you're a loser, .....don't let your fat ugly ass dent my pretty exit door on your way out. Possible week 1 picks 1) Jacksonville +.....fits a 55-18-1 ATS angle 2) NYJ +.........week 1 away dogs that missed the playoffs playing a team that made the playoffs last season 39-26 ATS,...away non-Thursday week 1 dogs that missed the playoffs LS playing a team that played in at least two playoff games the season prior have gone 12-3 ATS, 8-7 straight up, going 11-2 ATS, 8-5 straight up if the line is less than 10 points. 3) Colts +....there is a 23-7 ATS Hoody angle favoring Indy 4) Titans +.....week 1 away dogs that won 4, 5 or 6 games last season and won less games than their present opponent...61-30-4 ATS 5) Commanders +...... same angle as the Titans' angle...61-30-4 ATS 6) Cardinals +.............75% ATS angle (over 60 game sample size) on Arizona 7) Broncos +...........non-divisional week 1 away dogs playing a team that missed the playoffs last season 42-21, ATS, 22-7-1 ATS if the line is <=+6 8) Falcons -, possibly NYG - (if they are a favorite)....week 1 home favorites that had less wins the previous season than their present week 1 opponent 49-31 ATS
On today's episode of ESPN Bet Live Erin Dolan aired this fade SF nugget: In week 1 last season's Super Bowl losers are just 5-19 ATS.
"Everyone is an expert in the offseason, and it is ok to disagree without taking things personal. I've talked about this before....in sports betting you should want people to disagree with you!....it gives you better lines and ups your profit return on investment."
"If you handicap like you guess you're a loser, .....don't let your fat ugly ass dent my pretty exit door on your way out."
It sure looks like you took my disagreeing with you personally. The point I was making is running queries is not real handicapping. Anyone can enter info into a database and have it spit out results but you must be aware of the intricacies at the pro level it you want to succeed. Good luck to you.
0
"Everyone is an expert in the offseason, and it is ok to disagree without taking things personal. I've talked about this before....in sports betting you should want people to disagree with you!....it gives you better lines and ups your profit return on investment."
"If you handicap like you guess you're a loser, .....don't let your fat ugly ass dent my pretty exit door on your way out."
It sure looks like you took my disagreeing with you personally. The point I was making is running queries is not real handicapping. Anyone can enter info into a database and have it spit out results but you must be aware of the intricacies at the pro level it you want to succeed. Good luck to you.
"And, in my go-against the grain opinion, almost everyone thinks that Justin Fields will go to the Falcons, which is fine, it is probably a good place for him. I think the Vikings should cut bait with Cousins and sign Fields.
Absurd???!!!
Totally non-risky move...they can coach him up like he hasn't been, and if he sucks you release him next season...it costs you what?...is it 4 million?.....not 40 million that Cousins will get. The Vikings won't do it, and no one else will agree with me. Put me in charge of the Vikings for a year, and if they go 2-15 with Fields as their quarterback and me as your general manager you can fire the both of us.....lol."
Don't take this personally but why would a technical handicapper waste time predicting which player will go to which team in the off-season? There is nothing technical about that. Your time could be better spent dealing with the facts rather than your guesses. At least that's how I approach the off-season.
0
"And, in my go-against the grain opinion, almost everyone thinks that Justin Fields will go to the Falcons, which is fine, it is probably a good place for him. I think the Vikings should cut bait with Cousins and sign Fields.
Absurd???!!!
Totally non-risky move...they can coach him up like he hasn't been, and if he sucks you release him next season...it costs you what?...is it 4 million?.....not 40 million that Cousins will get. The Vikings won't do it, and no one else will agree with me. Put me in charge of the Vikings for a year, and if they go 2-15 with Fields as their quarterback and me as your general manager you can fire the both of us.....lol."
Don't take this personally but why would a technical handicapper waste time predicting which player will go to which team in the off-season? There is nothing technical about that. Your time could be better spent dealing with the facts rather than your guesses. At least that's how I approach the off-season.
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