Pix teasers week 6 NFL

Ok….we have 40 teasers…….whether you followed week 5 NFL thread last week or week 6 college this week……I put in the Bronco’s over 35.5 in all teasers when the total opened @ 48.

40 teasers……160 slots…40 have broncos….120 slots remain:

Raiders +21.5 & over 27.5 :  Whoa Pix…you lost your mind, Chiefs are going to KILL the Raiders today!  They are 5-0, playing at home against the WORST passing and rushing defense in the NFL…..how can you back them today……very easily.   The two ‘blowout’ wins the chiefs have posted are against the 0-12 Jags and Giants (jags are 0-5, when they put their foot on the field today they will be 0-6) by a combined total of 59-7.  The first game was with Blaine Gabbert at the helm and the second game featured the “Eli” factor.  If you aren’t familiar with the Eli factor you are in for a real treat.  You bet against the Giants at watch Eli make mistake after mistake securing the easy cover.   For those who didn’t see the game with 1 minute left in the 3^rd Q the game was 10-7.  There was a punt return for a TD that really changed the game and led 17-7 going into the fourth.  An INT and two Eli fumbles sealed the game 31-7.   Fast forward to last week: Fitz LED THE TEAM IN RUSHING with 50 yards and passed for over 200…..yes they lost by 9 pts….Fitz rallied the team with his legs and arm and outgained the Chiefs in the third quarter….chiefs needed to score the last 13 pts of the game to make the final look respectable.  The angle I see here is that the chiefs do not play a complete game……..three quarters against the Giants they had 10 points…….against Tenn they did not score an offensive TD until 10 minutes left in the game.  Against a horrible philly team they spun their wheels when they had the ball and almost let philly win the game.  Raiders have scored: 17, 19, 21, 14, 17.   Even if they only score 14 that means the chief’s scoring 35 points is a COVER.   Over should be in by halftime.

Philly +10.5 & Over 31.5:  What can you say…..each week there is always one trap game that makes you say that it looks too easy.  If this is it, so be it.   I know about Foles, have seen him play numerous times in college and preseason and he is much much better than what TB has to offer.   Philly was up against the ropes last week in a hostile environment in NY desperate for a win.   I liked the fact that Philly was aggressive and went for the jugular instead of sitting back and milking the clock counting on their D.  Chip Kelly is my type of guy.  Running game is a push in this game, advantage goes to the TB def….but I like the QB play and WR play on the philly side of the ball to backdoor me into another genius pick.

Green back +10.5 & over 35.5:    Has Green Bay found a defense after last week’s strong showing against the Lions?  Hardly.   That game was scripted for Det to lay and egg and they are never to relied on in a road tilt.  Both these teams have porous defenses.  Balt gave up 23 last two weeks on the road against the bills and dolphins.  Truth be told Baltimore has an atrocious passing defense that ranks.  Don’t be fooled by their ranking of 16^th overall on def: they played two horrible passing teams in Cle and Houston at home which skews the 300 by peyton and tannehill.     Yes they are strong, but the rec core is adequate at best compared to GB, GB plays just enough D to prevent them from throwing up 30 pts, Flacco will be good for one or two turnovers and Rodgers is Rodgers……in his two losses he threw for 600 yards.  The two losses by GB are by an avg of 5 pts……more importantly in both losses they score 28+ points.  If they hit 21 points today that should be enough for the adjusted cover.

Houston +5.5 : tempted to take the under too in this one, but we will just still to the stronger play the side.  This one is cut and dry: if Schaub losses this game the season is practically over.  A heart breaker at home to seattle with the loss square on his shoulders and a ‘run out of the building’ loss that was predicated on his 1Q pick 6.   While he won’t throw for 400 yards, this is the game that turns their season around.   Betting it straight -7 and ML as well.

to anyone out there....what online betting site allows 13 pt teasers.....especially for over/unders-  my site only allows 3team 10 pt teasers- but does not allow the 10pt tease on the Total (over/under)  It's MUCH harder to make picks when you don't have the 2 TD lead way!