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RAMS VS. PATRIOTS: There's no need to wait around two weeks to put a bet in. MEGA Write-UP!

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Posted: #151
2019 Record: 4-2

Cowboys over Seahawks 30 Units W
Raptors over Spurs 1 Unit L
Eagles over Saints 4 Units W
Lakers over Bulls 4 Units W
UMBC Over Vermont 2 Units L
Darth Bader over The Last Emporer 26 Units W

+40 Units
 
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Posted: #152
Achilles, I’m serious with the Pats winning 4 of 5 SB literally on the last play, 1.5/2/2.5 and in some places THREE is insane. That doesn’t even speak to the fact the Rams are the better team!

Bud, while i like the Bellagio book, I am all for the hole in the wall book on the strip with just the locals. It’s like you own the place with them. I’ve actually picked up some great tips on games there. One guy the Gold Coast game me a 7 team MLB parlay that hit. I’m serious!

 
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Posted: #153
If early money is on the Patriots, then who's to say late money is coming in on Rams. If public is hammering the patriots now, they will continue to hammer them up until kickoff. 

Public doesn't fly in early and bet, but SHARPS waited took the  +3 at one spot in Vegas, and they act like they got balanced action yeah right!!, 

they are setting up bettors to take as much money on the Patriots and then MAYBE move it the other way if necessary late. 
 
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Posted: #154
Quote Originally Posted by budwiser:

Imperial Palace was the place where i used to go quite a lot during the NFL postseasons. They gave you comp. for 200 bucks play, free dinner buffet just around the other side of the 2nd floor. Small book space but they had one of the best NFL playoff props in the Strip in the 80-90's.

Oh man I used to love that place...remember the tv's in the back?!  I could sit back there and watch games without the crowd. 

Course they tore it down for the Linq.

Venetian/red room is maybe the best place to watch games.  Not too crowded, big screens, great book.

Westgate is too scrupulous and penny-pinching for my tastes, and only one book far from the Strip.  But as far as watching the Super Bowl goes, the Elvis theatre USED to be the best-but now they have to limit who can go in there because so many people are trying now.

So many degenerate memories... an_roll_laugh


Nobody mentions Red Rocks resort. Nice as hell, huge screen but hard to get a seat sometimes. 
 
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Posted: #155
Thanks for making me aware of the Bader fight, I usually only follow UFC. Nice bet
 
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Posted: #156

Good luck my man. SCAL. 

 
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Posted: #157
35 second KO.  Easy work.  
 
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Posted: #158
It will NEVER get any easier than that.

What a sad ending to the most stories of careers.

And if he doesn’t retire? We wait at the betting window to fade Fedor again (as long as they don’t match him up against CM Punk).
 
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Posted: #159
THIS IS GREAT NEWS  YOU BEING ON LAR
 
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Posted: #160
Great write up scal.   Good luck
 
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Posted: #161
RAMS ml & under 57
 
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Posted: #162
Just left Arizona Charlie's N.E. is -3 right now.  First half N.E. -.5.  



 
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Posted: #163
It’d be great if scalabrine could keep his mouth shut. Tell enough people and now you’re not making a contrarian play. If money flies in on rams you give the NFL an easy excuse to flip the script. Stop telling the world 
 
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Posted: #164
Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:

Achilles, I’m serious with the Pats winning 4 of 5 SB literally on the last play, 1.5/2/2.5 and in some places THREE is insane. That doesn’t even speak to the fact the Rams are the better team!

Bud, while i like the Bellagio book, I am all for the hole in the wall book on the strip with just the locals. It’s like you own the place with them. I’ve actually picked up some great tips on games there. One guy the Gold Coast game me a 7 team MLB parlay that hit. I’m serious!


Cool story bro. On second thought everyone probably just assumes you’re small time, which you are hence the big mouth.
 
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Posted: #165
Quote Originally Posted by TruthIsLight7:

It’d be great if scalabrine could keep his mouth shut. Tell enough people and now you’re not making a contrarian play. If money flies in on rams you give the NFL an easy excuse to flip the script. Stop telling the world 

He has been very successful so far so I'm not sure what your problem is.
 
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Posted: #166
Quote Originally Posted by TruthIsLight7:


Cool story bro. On second thought everyone probably just assumes you’re small time, which you are hence the big mouth.

Will you shu* the fu** up you lowlife troll

Go talk to someone with something other than a penis. 
 
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Posted: #167
Five time Super Bowl Champion Tom Brady leads “Were still here”chants at the Pats send-off rally (after they won as 4.5 favorites in the second round after a bye and then won as 3 pt dogs. How incredible!).

God can it get any worse than this???

 
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Posted: #168
Scal, You know I respect your capping immensely. And I'm never one to go against a great capper on a heater, but I disagree with you on this pick because I think the psychological factors favoring NE are too strong. I also don't trust this Rams defense as much as you do. Surely they are no Seattle, or the Eagles for that matter. And I don't think them getting to this stage with the help of the NFL will be any kind of advantage. In fact, I see it as a huge distraction. For once, it's not NE under the microscope in the SB. And for once, NE will be wearing the white cowboy hats, trying to right a wrong committed by the NFL and its lackeys (can you imagine the scrutiny the refs will be under not to show favoritism towards the Rams?). Perhaps nobody is betting on the Rams because nobody thinks they deserve to be here (not even the Rams themselves). And they also believe that come Sunday, justice/karmic retribution will be served.   

 
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Posted: #169
I love healthy disagreement BB.

Because I usually wade in the capping muck looking for obscure plays, it is unusual for me to cap a Super Bowl.

Ironically, something you said about the OKC Spurs series in 2016 got me thinking about this game, which ultimately lead me to capping the entire game.

It was when I was on the Spurs down 3-2 and took them to win the series and you came in my thread and simply said "They are too old."

It was a minimalist approach (sometimes all you need and ultimately the purest of pure capping) and you were proven correct the following game as OKC destroyed them right out of the gate.

Gronk was 'running' and down the field like Gene Wilder as Willy Wonka when Charlie Bucket first sees him, walking like a cripple with his cane, hitting each cobblestone with a pat, only to do a front somersault to applause. 

The problem with Gronk is, he doesn't do the front somersault. He really IS a gimp at this point in his career and it took the worst secondary in the entire NFL to provide him one last hurrah.

McVay will make sure Gronk is neutralized. As well as Edelman. And who's left? A revolving door of RB's who will have to get through Donald and Suh and the rest of the D line. 

That's not enough. Even with the Magician behind center (who I definitely don't apply the TOO OLD mantra to).

So what are we left with?

A team stacked from top to bottom that gobbled up all the prize free agents an signed all their stars vs. a Pats team, one year older off a loss to the Eagles last year, desperately trying to play the Bet Against Us Card in a game they are favored in (a psychological quirk that won't pay dividends imo). With the line only rising.

And I get the points? Ok. I will take every single one.

And I like to take an alternate universe angle. 

Meaning would I bet the Rams vs. KC? No. Not with revenge and a 54-51 thriller the last time out and a guy who plays QB like Derek Jeter at short in his prime.

Instead I get the Pats and points? Ok. I'll take that in this universe.

You do make a good point about the refs being harder on the Rams after the missed call, a call so bad it even carries over into this game. That is an astute observation.
 
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Posted: #170
It’s a redemption game for Brandin Cooks whom NE gave up on.

The tuck rule robbery ignited Pats dynasty in SB vs the Rams. Young unproven QB and coach against proven champion and veteran QB/coach.

Now it’s the Rams who some say should’nt be in the SB who have a chance at redemption vs the Pats. Young unproven QB against proven and champion veteran QB.

Once those dudes run out of that tunnel repping the NFC it’s game on. I don’t see any effects of last weeks missed call.
 
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Posted: #171
Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:

I love healthy disagreement BB.

Because I usually wade in the capping muck looking for obscure plays, it is unusual for me to cap a Super Bowl.

Ironically, something you said about the OKC Spurs series in 2016 got me thinking about this game, which ultimately lead me to capping the entire game.

It was when I was on the Spurs down 3-2 and took them to win the series and you came in my thread and simply said "They are too old."

It was a minimalist approach (sometimes all you need and ultimately the purest of pure capping) and you were proven correct the following game as OKC destroyed them right out of the gate.

Gronk was 'running' and down the field like Gene Wilder as Willy Wonka when Charlie Bucket first sees him, walking like a cripple with his cane, hitting each cobblestone with a pat, only to do a front somersault to applause. 

The problem with Gronk is, he doesn't do the front somersault. He really IS a gimp at this point in his career and it took the worst secondary in the entire NFL to provide him one last hurrah.

McVay will make sure Gronk is neutralized. As well as Edelman. And who's left? A revolving door of RB's who will have to get through Donald and Suh and the rest of the D line. 

That's not enough. Even with the Magician behind center (who I definitely don't apply the TOO OLD mantra to).

So what are we left with?

A team stacked from top to bottom that gobbled up all the prize free agents an signed all their stars vs. a Pats team, one year older off a loss to the Eagles last year, desperately trying to play the Bet Against Us Card in a game they are favored in (a psychological quirk that won't pay dividends imo). With the line only rising.

And I get the points? Ok. I will take every single one.

And I like to take an alternate universe angle. 

Meaning would I bet the Rams vs. KC? No. Not with revenge and a 54-51 thriller the last time out and a guy who plays QB like Derek Jeter at short in his prime.

Instead I get the Pats and points? Ok. I'll take that in this universe.

You do make a good point about the refs being harder on the Rams after the missed call, a call so bad it even carries over into this game. That is an astute observation.

Excellent points, my man. I may rue the day. The line about Gronk is so comically true. He looks like a guy in his 50s with bad knees. But the Pats have always been a smoke and mirrors team, using unathletic white guys who can't run or jump to beat much more athletic teams. BTW, though I like your analogy, the difference between basketball and football is that 1) It's not a seven game series 2) coaching  plays a much bigger factors,, and 3) the QB is advantage is often decisive. 



 
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Posted: #172
That it is. But thank god it’s not a 7 game playoff where only the cream rises to the top for severely depressed series odds (except when the 73 win warriors can’t make a shot for the last 2 minutes. Simply put, if Lebron James doesn’t decide to step over Draymond Green (a move of disrespect that Iverson did to Tyrone Lue (ironically) when they were WINNING the game...the Cavs were losing by 20), Draymond never grazes his shorts with his hand, and never gets suspended and the Cavs don’t win 3 in a row). 

And Lebron doesn’t sel-proclaim himself the GOAT because no title comes to Cleveland.

But I digress. Only ranting because you understand...
 
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Posted: #173
Quote Originally Posted by ActionMagnet:

It’s a redemption game for Brandin Cooks whom NE gave up on.

The tuck rule robbery ignited Pats dynasty in SB vs the Rams. Young unproven QB and coach against proven champion and veteran QB/coach.

Now it’s the Rams who some say should’nt be in the SB who have a chance at redemption vs the Pats. Young unproven QB against proven and champion veteran QB.

Once those dudes run out of that tunnel repping the NFC it’s game on. I don’t see any effects of last weeks missed call.

The refs WILL see an effect. And I see the DB’s having to deal with an overreacting PI call early or worse late, because the refs will have their whistles out. They have no choice.
 
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Posted: #174
Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:

  

McVay will make sure Gronk is neutralized. As well as Edelman. And who's left? A revolving door of RB's who will have to get through Donald and Suh and the rest of the D line. 


Patriots have plenty of options. James White can play a very big role in the receiving game, Hogan can get things done, occasionally Patterson/Dorsett can step up when needed on certain plays. I don't believe they will be able to neutralize both Gronk and Edelman, they'll just limit their impact to some extent. 

The most overlooked thing is that thanks to their great scheming and having precise Brady delivering the ball this team can make a lot out of a receiving corps that definitely lacks talent. Combine that with Michel who is doing a really awesome job running the ball, they're quite a tough offense to stop. Every team knows who they need to stop on this Patriots offense, but do they pull it off?

Don't underestimate what Patriots have been doing on defense either. They have been quite tough, it's just nearly impossible to hold back that KC offense. 
 
 
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Posted: #175
I feel like Goff would have serious struggles against this NE defense.
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