**SAINTS -3**

Quote Originally Posted by Boa33:

@slomotion I haven’t posted on Browns game; no worries. Browns game is a tough one. I originally leaned Browns +10. KC is 0-8 in their last 8 games in the regular season ATS. The more I have given it thought, if KC goes up early on the Browns double digits, it will take the Browns out of their game plan (running the ball) and I don’t trust Baker throwing. I can’t go against Mahomes and Reid with this much time and rest at home. It’s either the Chiefs or a pass for me. GL.

Quote Originally Posted by Boa33:

TB Bucs vs. NO Saints Write- Up: A quick overview of what team has the current edge in my opinion when it comes to this game: QB: Bucs RB: Saints WR: Bucs OL: Saints DL: Saints LB: Bucs Secondary: Saints Coaching: Saints Special Teams: Push This game will be a great one as we watch Brady vs. Brees in what will be their last stand. This season has been interesting for both teams because they both have had to overcome changes, illnesses, and adversity. I understand many individuals are very passionate about their opinion on his game so I do not mean to offend anyone with my position. I believe there is value in the Saints in this game (-3) for the following reasons: 1. Coaching and consistency: When it comes to playing football in the big games, I believe coaching is everything and I give the edge to the Saints. Sean Payton and his staff have been together a long time. Sean Payton was hired in 2006, Pete Carmichael OC's 12th year, and Dennis Allen DC's 5th year; his Defense has ranked in the NFL's top 5 the past two seasons in both run defense and sacks. Bruce Arians hired in 2019, has with him Todd Bowles DC and Bryan Leftwich both in their 2nd season. I have the upmost respect for TB12 as he is the GOAT but it is very hard to come into a complete new system and beat the great teams in your first year under a somewhat new coaching staff with a completely new roster. 2. Bucs OL: This year the Bucs OL has gotten plagued with injuries. AQ Shipley, Ryan Jenson, Ali Marpet, and now Alex Cappa. (Jenson and Marpet are back but still has been inconsistent having to move everyone around.) Alex Cappa starting RG fractured his ankle last week and is being replaced by Aaron Stinne in his first career start.  Seems like no one is really talking about this. Again, TB12 is amazing and has all the weapons at his disposal but how great can a QB be without an OL. I look for 6 time probowler (LE) Cameron Jordan to have a field day on the right side of this OL as Alex Cappa is done for the season and RT Tristan Wirfs is a rookie. 3. Saints Defensive: This is the most underrated defense in the league. This defensive is the reason why I have them in the SB. They have it all, DL (Cameron Jordan, Marcus Davenport; Secondary (J. Jenkins, M. Jenkins, P. Williams, M.Lattimore). They are lacking at LB but I think everything else does make up for it, especially their DC Allen. This is the best secondary that Brady has seen all season and they are hungry. 4. Brees: I understand that Brees is old and doesn't have the arm strength but when you have one of the best OL and run game with Kamara you don't need the deep balls. The Bucs struggle to play zone coverage and that is one of Bree's strength. This offensive has truly never been 100% with M. Thomas being out and Brees, but they finally have M. Thomas back which opens things up.  Take the -3 Saints as I see them covering the spread at home because of the coaching, offensive line, run game, and defensive.