Let’s face it: the Raiders‘ offense looks for real, but they got gifts on b2b games. Neither the Chargers nor the Jets could tackle - Jets missed more than 20 tackles!! Another point is that the Raiders’ offense benefited highly from the weak offenses of their opponents – the Chargers had a poor gameplan and play-calling in the first half which put the Raiders into a position to get a huge lead. The Jets lost Ryan Fitzpatrick after he completed 3/3 and ran for another first down. With Ivory being locked down, Geno Smith wasn’t able to keep the Raiders offense sidelind. The Steelers have another do-or-die game and will be fired against the Raiders after they beat two playoff-contenders of the AFC. Ben got another week to prepare and they are going to lean more on the passing game since Bell is out for the season. The Raiders can’t defend ABrown and MBryant. The Steelers front seven was able to give Dalton troubles and so will they against the Raiders, they are just starting to gel. Travelling across the country for a 1pm game after two big wins – I see a spot which favors the Steelers heavily.
Packers/Panthers:
The Packers are in a huge bounceback spot after the worst loss in years. Since week seven in 2010, Aaron Rodgers is 16-0 SU and 14-2 ATS off a loss. The Panthers come off an emotional MNF win in extra innings while the Packers had a full week to think about what was going wrong at Denver. The Broncos defense is playing lights out and they were in a huge spot, off a bye at home on primetime. They brought an extra intensity we cannot expect from the Panthers this week. People will say athletes should bring the same intensity each week, but this just isn’t the case. Look at the Jets last week – 20+ missed tackles. While I am very high on the Panthers defense, there is one problem: they aren’t battle-tested against the premium offenses. According to my numbers, I have them as the #6 defense, but they played the #27 schedule. They excel in NYPPA (5.1 #2) and DVOA pass (-24% #2), but their opponents average 6.3 NYPPA (#24) and 3.7% pass DVOA (#25) on offense. The Packers will join this game averaging 6.7 NYPPA (#10) and 40.2% DVOA Pass (#4) despite their injuries and the Broncos debacle. This week they are getting Ty Montgomery back which is a huge addition IMO to stretch the field. Another point is that I expect Eddie Lacy to have a solid game which puts Rodgers in better positions to be efficient through the air. The Panthers D is #21 in run DVOA at -6.1% while the Packers offense averages 2.6% (#8).
The Panthers offense is limited on quality, Cam Newton needs a good day to carry this offense and they had a lot of help from their defense for defensive scores and short fields. With a focused Rodgers, I expect Cam Newton to be confronted with longer drives as usual against a very solid playing defense (6.3 NYPPA #12 & 8% pass DVOA #6) on a very poor schedule. Are the Panthers going to score? Yes for sure, but they will have a more difficult task than usual which should lead to more three-and-outs as usual.
Falcons/Niners:
The Falcons should have covered against the Redskins, Titans & Bucs. They were moving the chains and containing opposing offenses just like a playoff-contender does, but there was one problem: they couldn’t execute in the red zone and lost a lot of fumbles. They were phenomenal in the red zone during the first few games, so you can expect their RZ performance and turnover issues to regret to the standard over the next few games and if they don’t execute against the worst team in the league, against who else? Blaine Gabbert is getting the start over Colin Kaepernick. Gabbert himself is a replacement level QB and I keep telling it: Dan Quinn knows how to defend against replacement level QBs. But what’s even more important – Dan Quinn knows the Niners in and out and there are still some players left. Hoyer was shut out in the first half, Mettenberger was held to 7 points, Cousins benefited from turnovers and penalties same as Jameis. None of those QBs was able to shred the Falcons, NONE. Falcons are off an overtime loss against a divisional underdog – they are pissed like hell and they are willing to put a lot of frustration on the Niners’ defense. If Gabbert doesn’t deliver like I expect him to, the Niners team is going to be in disarray. I am seeing a 34-13 type of game. But instead of taking them straight I will try my luck with two teasers!
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Raiders/Steelers:
Let’s face it: the Raiders‘ offense looks for real, but they got gifts on b2b games. Neither the Chargers nor the Jets could tackle - Jets missed more than 20 tackles!! Another point is that the Raiders’ offense benefited highly from the weak offenses of their opponents – the Chargers had a poor gameplan and play-calling in the first half which put the Raiders into a position to get a huge lead. The Jets lost Ryan Fitzpatrick after he completed 3/3 and ran for another first down. With Ivory being locked down, Geno Smith wasn’t able to keep the Raiders offense sidelind. The Steelers have another do-or-die game and will be fired against the Raiders after they beat two playoff-contenders of the AFC. Ben got another week to prepare and they are going to lean more on the passing game since Bell is out for the season. The Raiders can’t defend ABrown and MBryant. The Steelers front seven was able to give Dalton troubles and so will they against the Raiders, they are just starting to gel. Travelling across the country for a 1pm game after two big wins – I see a spot which favors the Steelers heavily.
Packers/Panthers:
The Packers are in a huge bounceback spot after the worst loss in years. Since week seven in 2010, Aaron Rodgers is 16-0 SU and 14-2 ATS off a loss. The Panthers come off an emotional MNF win in extra innings while the Packers had a full week to think about what was going wrong at Denver. The Broncos defense is playing lights out and they were in a huge spot, off a bye at home on primetime. They brought an extra intensity we cannot expect from the Panthers this week. People will say athletes should bring the same intensity each week, but this just isn’t the case. Look at the Jets last week – 20+ missed tackles. While I am very high on the Panthers defense, there is one problem: they aren’t battle-tested against the premium offenses. According to my numbers, I have them as the #6 defense, but they played the #27 schedule. They excel in NYPPA (5.1 #2) and DVOA pass (-24% #2), but their opponents average 6.3 NYPPA (#24) and 3.7% pass DVOA (#25) on offense. The Packers will join this game averaging 6.7 NYPPA (#10) and 40.2% DVOA Pass (#4) despite their injuries and the Broncos debacle. This week they are getting Ty Montgomery back which is a huge addition IMO to stretch the field. Another point is that I expect Eddie Lacy to have a solid game which puts Rodgers in better positions to be efficient through the air. The Panthers D is #21 in run DVOA at -6.1% while the Packers offense averages 2.6% (#8).
The Panthers offense is limited on quality, Cam Newton needs a good day to carry this offense and they had a lot of help from their defense for defensive scores and short fields. With a focused Rodgers, I expect Cam Newton to be confronted with longer drives as usual against a very solid playing defense (6.3 NYPPA #12 & 8% pass DVOA #6) on a very poor schedule. Are the Panthers going to score? Yes for sure, but they will have a more difficult task than usual which should lead to more three-and-outs as usual.
Falcons/Niners:
The Falcons should have covered against the Redskins, Titans & Bucs. They were moving the chains and containing opposing offenses just like a playoff-contender does, but there was one problem: they couldn’t execute in the red zone and lost a lot of fumbles. They were phenomenal in the red zone during the first few games, so you can expect their RZ performance and turnover issues to regret to the standard over the next few games and if they don’t execute against the worst team in the league, against who else? Blaine Gabbert is getting the start over Colin Kaepernick. Gabbert himself is a replacement level QB and I keep telling it: Dan Quinn knows how to defend against replacement level QBs. But what’s even more important – Dan Quinn knows the Niners in and out and there are still some players left. Hoyer was shut out in the first half, Mettenberger was held to 7 points, Cousins benefited from turnovers and penalties same as Jameis. None of those QBs was able to shred the Falcons, NONE. Falcons are off an overtime loss against a divisional underdog – they are pissed like hell and they are willing to put a lot of frustration on the Niners’ defense. If Gabbert doesn’t deliver like I expect him to, the Niners team is going to be in disarray. I am seeing a 34-13 type of game. But instead of taking them straight I will try my luck with two teasers!
There is one thing we know about Teddy Bridgewater: he can shred weak defenses, but he can’t beat good defenses – yet. Their offense ranks bottom-five and they are going to face the best defense in the league (or Denver? You decide) – mismatch. The Rams’ DL is going to be in the backfield very often to disrupt the passing lanes for Teddy and stop Adrian Peterson. The Vikes come off a last-minute comeback win on the road against a mediocre defense. This defense is going to be too tough for them. On the other side Todd Gurley looks unstoppable, which highly benefits the weak pass protection of the Rams. Opposing teams have to respect the run which leads to less guys in coverage and roll-out opportunities for Nick Foles. The OL of the Rams will have problems against the Vikings’ blitzes, but they are balanced enough to overcome that. The OL of Detroit is piss-poor in picking up blitzes and because they don’t have a running game to force lesser blitzes, they got shredded twice by the Rams. This is a different matchup which favors the Rams overall X’ and O’s wise more than the Vikings. I don’t expect a big win, but a win for the Rams. I can see a 14-7 halftime lead and a lot of Gurley action in the second half to milk the clock and force Bridgewater staying longer in the pocket for 10+ yd throws. Then the Rams would benefit from their deep DL rotation which could secure a 20-10 type of win.
Titans/Saints
I like the Titans here getting more than a TD. Mariota has been practicing the last three weeks, he should be in good shape. The Saints defense can’t stop anybody plus they don’t have enough tape of Mariota. The offensive style with Mariota at QB is familiar to the Eagles and the Saints struggled to defend that. The Saints just come off one of the greatest wins in recent history, scoring 52 points and winning on a last-minute FG. I can’t expect all players to be completely focused on the 1-6 Titans. The Titans also have been one of the better teams to defend the pass this season, thanks to blitzing schemes by Person LeBeau and solid CB play by Sensabaugh, part-time McCourty and Perrish Cox. They just had issues against the deep ball. Drew Brees had a field day against a non-existing pass rush and non-existing secondary against the G-Men, this is a different matchup and a worse spot for New Orleans. The Titans offense should have a variable gameplan and should be competitive enough to stay in the game until late 4th Q. I can see this game coming down to the wire. When I remember right, the Saints had issues against young/rookie QBs in the past. It seems like Rob Ryan wants to send a lot of pressure against unexperiencd QBs which leaves a lot of holes in the secondary. If Mariota reads the blitzes well, they can score a lot of points in this game to keep it within a TD. Plus I like the new-coach angle... every Titans play should give some percent of extra intensity.
Broncos/Colts
First of all, this is a very emotional game for the Broncos, especially for Peyton Manning. Last season in the playoffs, the team that gave up on him to get Andrew Luck won 24-13 at Mile High to destroy Peyton’s dream of another Super Bowl ring. And it wasn’t because the Broncos were worse, it was because Peyton was hurt. So the QB his former team took over him walked away from Denver with a playoff win. It’s like when your wife breaks up with you and her new, younger boyfriend would beat you in something you have put a lof of effort in. What would you feel? Aside from that, it’s probably Manning’s last season, so one thing on his retirement list would be to walk into his old living room and show that franchise they did wrong in giving him up. Everyone has been questioning Peyton’s ability to play at the highest level from weeks 1-7, the media, the fans, just everybody. The Colts are in disarray, so what feeling could be more satisfying than not only getting revenge on that playoff loss, but also to put the Colts and Andrew Luck in a worse situation than they already are? Plus, the Colts come off a long MNF overtime thriller while the Broncos were able to slow down in the 4Q against GB.
During the bye week, the Broncos offense worked on a lot of things. Their OL played a lot better and Kubiak and Manning finally seem to be on the same page. The Colts struggle to defend the pass which starts on their non-existing pass rush - #31 in adjusted sack rate. The only way to slow Manning down is getting pressure on him, like most teams this season were able to, that’s why the Broncos offense struggled big time. If the Colts can’t get pressure, they are lost. Vernon Davis is a huge addition, a veteran productive TE and I expect Kubiak to work him into several passing plays for Sunday. The Broncos are going to be productive on offense.
Colts offense vs. Broncos defense? Edge goes to Broncos and it’s not even close. In week 2 I had a thread on the Jets/Colts game and I listed Luck’s historic stats against good coverage teams (I had a specific filter). He is flat out bad. You just saw it this season against Jets, Bills & Panthers – Luck combined for 8 or 9 interceptions? They got lucky the Panthers played prevent mode in the fourth quarter to let the Colts come back. The Indy OL plays awful, I still don’t know why they didn’t upgrade this unit in recent drafts/off-seasons. They will get totally crushed by the Broncos’ pass rush and the Broncos secondary will have a tight coverage once again (#1 in NYPPA, #1 in DVOA Pass) to make Lucks’ life uncomfortable and force him to turnovers and three-and-outs.
The Broncos won’t be in a letdown spot here – they are on revenge and this game just cannot be close.
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Rams/Vikes:
There is one thing we know about Teddy Bridgewater: he can shred weak defenses, but he can’t beat good defenses – yet. Their offense ranks bottom-five and they are going to face the best defense in the league (or Denver? You decide) – mismatch. The Rams’ DL is going to be in the backfield very often to disrupt the passing lanes for Teddy and stop Adrian Peterson. The Vikes come off a last-minute comeback win on the road against a mediocre defense. This defense is going to be too tough for them. On the other side Todd Gurley looks unstoppable, which highly benefits the weak pass protection of the Rams. Opposing teams have to respect the run which leads to less guys in coverage and roll-out opportunities for Nick Foles. The OL of the Rams will have problems against the Vikings’ blitzes, but they are balanced enough to overcome that. The OL of Detroit is piss-poor in picking up blitzes and because they don’t have a running game to force lesser blitzes, they got shredded twice by the Rams. This is a different matchup which favors the Rams overall X’ and O’s wise more than the Vikings. I don’t expect a big win, but a win for the Rams. I can see a 14-7 halftime lead and a lot of Gurley action in the second half to milk the clock and force Bridgewater staying longer in the pocket for 10+ yd throws. Then the Rams would benefit from their deep DL rotation which could secure a 20-10 type of win.
Titans/Saints
I like the Titans here getting more than a TD. Mariota has been practicing the last three weeks, he should be in good shape. The Saints defense can’t stop anybody plus they don’t have enough tape of Mariota. The offensive style with Mariota at QB is familiar to the Eagles and the Saints struggled to defend that. The Saints just come off one of the greatest wins in recent history, scoring 52 points and winning on a last-minute FG. I can’t expect all players to be completely focused on the 1-6 Titans. The Titans also have been one of the better teams to defend the pass this season, thanks to blitzing schemes by Person LeBeau and solid CB play by Sensabaugh, part-time McCourty and Perrish Cox. They just had issues against the deep ball. Drew Brees had a field day against a non-existing pass rush and non-existing secondary against the G-Men, this is a different matchup and a worse spot for New Orleans. The Titans offense should have a variable gameplan and should be competitive enough to stay in the game until late 4th Q. I can see this game coming down to the wire. When I remember right, the Saints had issues against young/rookie QBs in the past. It seems like Rob Ryan wants to send a lot of pressure against unexperiencd QBs which leaves a lot of holes in the secondary. If Mariota reads the blitzes well, they can score a lot of points in this game to keep it within a TD. Plus I like the new-coach angle... every Titans play should give some percent of extra intensity.
Broncos/Colts
First of all, this is a very emotional game for the Broncos, especially for Peyton Manning. Last season in the playoffs, the team that gave up on him to get Andrew Luck won 24-13 at Mile High to destroy Peyton’s dream of another Super Bowl ring. And it wasn’t because the Broncos were worse, it was because Peyton was hurt. So the QB his former team took over him walked away from Denver with a playoff win. It’s like when your wife breaks up with you and her new, younger boyfriend would beat you in something you have put a lof of effort in. What would you feel? Aside from that, it’s probably Manning’s last season, so one thing on his retirement list would be to walk into his old living room and show that franchise they did wrong in giving him up. Everyone has been questioning Peyton’s ability to play at the highest level from weeks 1-7, the media, the fans, just everybody. The Colts are in disarray, so what feeling could be more satisfying than not only getting revenge on that playoff loss, but also to put the Colts and Andrew Luck in a worse situation than they already are? Plus, the Colts come off a long MNF overtime thriller while the Broncos were able to slow down in the 4Q against GB.
During the bye week, the Broncos offense worked on a lot of things. Their OL played a lot better and Kubiak and Manning finally seem to be on the same page. The Colts struggle to defend the pass which starts on their non-existing pass rush - #31 in adjusted sack rate. The only way to slow Manning down is getting pressure on him, like most teams this season were able to, that’s why the Broncos offense struggled big time. If the Colts can’t get pressure, they are lost. Vernon Davis is a huge addition, a veteran productive TE and I expect Kubiak to work him into several passing plays for Sunday. The Broncos are going to be productive on offense.
Colts offense vs. Broncos defense? Edge goes to Broncos and it’s not even close. In week 2 I had a thread on the Jets/Colts game and I listed Luck’s historic stats against good coverage teams (I had a specific filter). He is flat out bad. You just saw it this season against Jets, Bills & Panthers – Luck combined for 8 or 9 interceptions? They got lucky the Panthers played prevent mode in the fourth quarter to let the Colts come back. The Indy OL plays awful, I still don’t know why they didn’t upgrade this unit in recent drafts/off-seasons. They will get totally crushed by the Broncos’ pass rush and the Broncos secondary will have a tight coverage once again (#1 in NYPPA, #1 in DVOA Pass) to make Lucks’ life uncomfortable and force him to turnovers and three-and-outs.
The Broncos won’t be in a letdown spot here – they are on revenge and this game just cannot be close.
This game looks like one of the “easier” ones. The Eagles have had a very good defense this season despite a few injuries on their front seven: -19.3% Pass DVOA #3, -18.6% run DVOA #5, good on third downs, solid in the red zone. Their pass rush is outstanding and their run defense has been in shutdown-mode of which their new secondary highly benefited from. Their safeties are one of the better tandems in the league while young guys like Eric Rowe play as high as the moonlight. They are very well rested against the Cowboys who just played the Seahawks the week before. The Seahawks play very physically and teams tend to a letdown spot after playing an Ex-Super Bowl team. The Eagles defense had two weeks to prepare for the one-dimensional Cowboys offense. The only reason the Cowboys stayed in the games against the Giants was the success of DMC on the ground. Running the ball doesn’t put you points on the board (as proven by their scoring outcome) but it takes away pressure off the QB and puts him in more comfortable second and third down situations. Matt Cassel wasn’t really forced to put his team on his shoulders. When Murray was locked down in 2014, Romo was able to destroy opposing secondaries through the air with a healthy Dez Bryant. You won’t get that from Matt Cassel. DMC will have less success on the ground than in recent games against this front seven which will put Matt Cassel in uncomfortable situations because he will be robbed by another dimension: screen passes and short passes to the RB. The Saints are superior in that category and they got stomped by the Eagles who cover the short passes very well. The Cowboys will be limited on offense, probably more than against the Seahawks. It’s on the Eagles to score points but if their OL is healthy and Jason Peters can line up against Hardy, they should have some quite success. Lane Johnson isn't necessarily a huge downgrade. Murray against his former team should have a huge motivation boost. Chip Kelly had two weeks to get Sam Bradford to the next level.
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Eagles/Cowboys
This game looks like one of the “easier” ones. The Eagles have had a very good defense this season despite a few injuries on their front seven: -19.3% Pass DVOA #3, -18.6% run DVOA #5, good on third downs, solid in the red zone. Their pass rush is outstanding and their run defense has been in shutdown-mode of which their new secondary highly benefited from. Their safeties are one of the better tandems in the league while young guys like Eric Rowe play as high as the moonlight. They are very well rested against the Cowboys who just played the Seahawks the week before. The Seahawks play very physically and teams tend to a letdown spot after playing an Ex-Super Bowl team. The Eagles defense had two weeks to prepare for the one-dimensional Cowboys offense. The only reason the Cowboys stayed in the games against the Giants was the success of DMC on the ground. Running the ball doesn’t put you points on the board (as proven by their scoring outcome) but it takes away pressure off the QB and puts him in more comfortable second and third down situations. Matt Cassel wasn’t really forced to put his team on his shoulders. When Murray was locked down in 2014, Romo was able to destroy opposing secondaries through the air with a healthy Dez Bryant. You won’t get that from Matt Cassel. DMC will have less success on the ground than in recent games against this front seven which will put Matt Cassel in uncomfortable situations because he will be robbed by another dimension: screen passes and short passes to the RB. The Saints are superior in that category and they got stomped by the Eagles who cover the short passes very well. The Cowboys will be limited on offense, probably more than against the Seahawks. It’s on the Eagles to score points but if their OL is healthy and Jason Peters can line up against Hardy, they should have some quite success. Lane Johnson isn't necessarily a huge downgrade. Murray against his former team should have a huge motivation boost. Chip Kelly had two weeks to get Sam Bradford to the next level.
Great write up as always Summa, appreciate it!! I am also loving Gb this week. Just a few question for you. Raiders Steelers: You don't buy into the success Del Rio has had against the steelers? or Mike struggling against the Raiders? and now the Raiders are a much better team then before. I mean who will shut down Cooper? Like you said no one will shut down drown or Bryant so how do you feel about the over in this game? Rams: Injury report had Quinn sidelined today. does this effect how you see the game playing out? and you don't have a problem with it being in Viking country? Again man appreciate your insights. I had a rough week 8 as well! Bounce back time! BOL
The Mill
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Great write up as always Summa, appreciate it!! I am also loving Gb this week. Just a few question for you. Raiders Steelers: You don't buy into the success Del Rio has had against the steelers? or Mike struggling against the Raiders? and now the Raiders are a much better team then before. I mean who will shut down Cooper? Like you said no one will shut down drown or Bryant so how do you feel about the over in this game? Rams: Injury report had Quinn sidelined today. does this effect how you see the game playing out? and you don't have a problem with it being in Viking country? Again man appreciate your insights. I had a rough week 8 as well! Bounce back time! BOL
Good looking card brother Good luck this week for some reason the Denver game has me on edge I'm just not s believer in this Denver offense and know that luck is capable of putting points in the board plus the fact the way Denver defense played last Sunday night can they repeat that performance I'm gonna stay clear Rest of the plays and teaser looks point on. Pitt game scares me being a die hard I know Oakland no matter what there record is always plays Pitt tough same as does Tennessee.
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Good looking card brother Good luck this week for some reason the Denver game has me on edge I'm just not s believer in this Denver offense and know that luck is capable of putting points in the board plus the fact the way Denver defense played last Sunday night can they repeat that performance I'm gonna stay clear Rest of the plays and teaser looks point on. Pitt game scares me being a die hard I know Oakland no matter what there record is always plays Pitt tough same as does Tennessee.
Great write up as always Summa, appreciate it!! I am also loving Gb this week. Just a few question for you. Raiders Steelers: You don't buy into the success Del Rio has had against the steelers? or Mike struggling against the Raiders? and now the Raiders are a much better team then before. I mean who will shut down Cooper? Like you said no one will shut down drown or Bryant so how do you feel about the over in this game? Rams: Injury report had Quinn sidelined today. does this effect how you see the game playing out? and you don't have a problem with it being in Viking country? Again man appreciate your insights. I had a rough week 8 as well! Bounce back time! BOL
The Mill
Del Rio: I thought about that but came to the conclusion that I don't pass on this game because he had success against different rosters years back!
Rams: Their injury report is what's still holding me back. I think Teddy Bridgewater will be slowed down as well as Adrian Peterson.
BOL to you as well!
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Quote Originally Posted by M0neyMillsMark:
Great write up as always Summa, appreciate it!! I am also loving Gb this week. Just a few question for you. Raiders Steelers: You don't buy into the success Del Rio has had against the steelers? or Mike struggling against the Raiders? and now the Raiders are a much better team then before. I mean who will shut down Cooper? Like you said no one will shut down drown or Bryant so how do you feel about the over in this game? Rams: Injury report had Quinn sidelined today. does this effect how you see the game playing out? and you don't have a problem with it being in Viking country? Again man appreciate your insights. I had a rough week 8 as well! Bounce back time! BOL
The Mill
Del Rio: I thought about that but came to the conclusion that I don't pass on this game because he had success against different rosters years back!
Rams: Their injury report is what's still holding me back. I think Teddy Bridgewater will be slowed down as well as Adrian Peterson.
Well done man. Great analysis as always. I'm on the Rams but am not super confident about it. I think it comes down to a FG for either team.
The Vikings have been sort of an enigma to me this year. Their DVOA ratings are poor, and their SOS is weak. Yet they manage to keep winning SU and ATS.
I capped this one down to special teams and the kicker. The rams kicker has 15 attempts and only 9 made.
Vikings kicker has 19 attempts and 17 made.
If you look at both teams punt/kick return yardage you will see a significant edge for the vikings as well. Feild possition will be important in this game IMO.
The Vikings are also the least penalized team in the league. Averaging 5.6 per game. I like coach Zimmer a lot, he comes from a good tree w/ Marvin Lewis. Norv Turner is a true pro when it comes to play calling. He has Bridgewater playing very well on 3rd downs. But the Rams specialty is putting teams in 3rd n long. Strength vs strength if you will, I'll back the rams there.
Adrian Peterson will go nowhere sunday, period.
BOL this weekend
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Well done man. Great analysis as always. I'm on the Rams but am not super confident about it. I think it comes down to a FG for either team.
The Vikings have been sort of an enigma to me this year. Their DVOA ratings are poor, and their SOS is weak. Yet they manage to keep winning SU and ATS.
I capped this one down to special teams and the kicker. The rams kicker has 15 attempts and only 9 made.
Vikings kicker has 19 attempts and 17 made.
If you look at both teams punt/kick return yardage you will see a significant edge for the vikings as well. Feild possition will be important in this game IMO.
The Vikings are also the least penalized team in the league. Averaging 5.6 per game. I like coach Zimmer a lot, he comes from a good tree w/ Marvin Lewis. Norv Turner is a true pro when it comes to play calling. He has Bridgewater playing very well on 3rd downs. But the Rams specialty is putting teams in 3rd n long. Strength vs strength if you will, I'll back the rams there.
Great write-ups. What's got you leaning Bears? I think it comes down to whether they can establish Langford against that bad rush D. Thinking they can to overcome the California dreaming factor.
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Great write-ups. What's got you leaning Bears? I think it comes down to whether they can establish Langford against that bad rush D. Thinking they can to overcome the California dreaming factor.
My faves are Pack, Titans, Steelers and Rams...in that order.
FYI - Peters was out of practice again today for Eagles. As you alluded to...Johnson (if they were to move him to LT, which they haven't done when Peters got injured in game, but may do with xtra practice time) isn't much of a downgrade. Their OL depth is very thin. BUT...they have looked better lately and gotta think that with Peters not practicing atalll they've had time to get comfortable a bit with a reshuffled line. Not sure if it's been nagging injuries or old age, but Peters has looked old/slow this season...may even be better without him (as long as new guys can gel together - and no more injuries).
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I'm liking 'em all, niiiiice! Good luck.
My faves are Pack, Titans, Steelers and Rams...in that order.
FYI - Peters was out of practice again today for Eagles. As you alluded to...Johnson (if they were to move him to LT, which they haven't done when Peters got injured in game, but may do with xtra practice time) isn't much of a downgrade. Their OL depth is very thin. BUT...they have looked better lately and gotta think that with Peters not practicing atalll they've had time to get comfortable a bit with a reshuffled line. Not sure if it's been nagging injuries or old age, but Peters has looked old/slow this season...may even be better without him (as long as new guys can gel together - and no more injuries).
I know you saw them vs. the Falcons and last week vs the awful Texans where they had trouble even crossing the 50 yard line.
Mario is an upgrade obviously but the 'lay-down' factor in a now hopeless season prevents me from even considering the Titans until I see some fire somewhere...
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Suuma you have stones taking the Titans.
I know you saw them vs. the Falcons and last week vs the awful Texans where they had trouble even crossing the 50 yard line.
Mario is an upgrade obviously but the 'lay-down' factor in a now hopeless season prevents me from even considering the Titans until I see some fire somewhere...
If both Cam Heyward and Tuitt both do not play for Pitt on the line I would be very ..... Tuitt missed the last two and it showed ... Now without possibly Heyward they will have to outscore the Raiders.. Their backups are dogs.... But IMO they could outscore the Raiders...If No Cam or Tuitt they will have to.. . Without those two the run game will roll for the Raiders which will open the pass game up especially with very little pressure.. If both play or even just Cam I love them ..... without both well.... no bet for me.. gl...
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If both Cam Heyward and Tuitt both do not play for Pitt on the line I would be very ..... Tuitt missed the last two and it showed ... Now without possibly Heyward they will have to outscore the Raiders.. Their backups are dogs.... But IMO they could outscore the Raiders...If No Cam or Tuitt they will have to.. . Without those two the run game will roll for the Raiders which will open the pass game up especially with very little pressure.. If both play or even just Cam I love them ..... without both well.... no bet for me.. gl...
Good Luck SUUMA! With you on many of the games, but I lean DAL right now, that impressive D you been mentioning all year will play KEY in this game, and I actually like how DAL have McFadden running the rock now. Besides this game, love GB DEN and see PIT winning at home.
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Good Luck SUUMA! With you on many of the games, but I lean DAL right now, that impressive D you been mentioning all year will play KEY in this game, and I actually like how DAL have McFadden running the rock now. Besides this game, love GB DEN and see PIT winning at home.
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..... Tuitt missed the last two and it showed ... Now without possibly Heyward they will have to outscore the Raiders.. Their backups are dogs.... But IMO they could outscore the Raiders...If No Cam or Tuitt they will have to.. . Without those two the run game will roll for the Raiders which will open the pass game up especially with very little pressure.. If both play or even just Cam I love them ..... without both well.... no bet for me.. gl...
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