It's a bit premature to compare Paxton Lynch to Osweiler. Lynch is a rookie with one start under his belt and doesn't have a feel for the pro game yet. Otherwise, great write-ups as usual, Suuma.
Brock Osweiler has 15 games under his belt and doesn't have a feel for the pro game yet
BOL this week!
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Quote Originally Posted by brewster:
It's a bit premature to compare Paxton Lynch to Osweiler. Lynch is a rookie with one start under his belt and doesn't have a feel for the pro game yet. Otherwise, great write-ups as usual, Suuma.
Brock Osweiler has 15 games under his belt and doesn't have a feel for the pro game yet
great write ups as usual suuma but i have to say im astonished you fancy seattle this week.
unbelievably new england are STILL undervalued in the market place. 2 weeks ago new england were laying 5.5 to buffalo on the road and won comfortably. last week seattle were laying 5.5 at home to the bills and fell over the line. that equates to this line being -8 on a neutral field and -11/12 at gillette so there is massive line value there.
throw in the situational spot as well new england rested and refreshed off the bye while meanwhile seattle on a short week going coast to coast and it all equates to what will be my 2nd biggest wager on the patriots (already locked in -7).
also worth noting that seattle has been in a couple of wars recently and their defense as good as it is was getting gashed by the bills running backs on monday night. they just look plain tired to me having been on the field so long.
so unless russell wilson plays out of his mind i dont see how seattle keeps this close. every edge in the game is in new englands favour and i think they re one fine bet.
apologies for cluttering up your thread with this post
Why cluttering? As long as it's Football talk, every comment is appreciated.
The lookahead line to this game was -2 in April. What has changed? I agree the Pats should be favored on a neutral field, but -7.5 against the Seahawks who have lost just two games by 8+ since 2012? Don't see that. I would have agreed with a -5. 7.5 with the Hawks in a massive statement game is value to me.
The Hawks defense was missing Kam Chancellor badly. He will have a crazy big impact on the game on SNF. They held McCoy to 4.0 YPC - his season average is 5.1. The Bills have the best running game in the league, the Pats don't come close to that. The Pats need to pass in this game and the Seahawks play a defensive style that limits big gains. The Pats have to outscore the Seahawks on MNF and I just bet that they don't outscore them by more than a TD. Russell Wilson had a phenomenal game. Do you remember last year? The Seahawks offense started to click around week 10 and they posted ridiculous numbers over the last 7-8 games. I see them having a good game.
I wouldn't be surprised if we saw an upset. But Hawks +7.5 is tasty. Bad juice now, will be patient. BOL with your card!
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Quote Originally Posted by topshow:
great write ups as usual suuma but i have to say im astonished you fancy seattle this week.
unbelievably new england are STILL undervalued in the market place. 2 weeks ago new england were laying 5.5 to buffalo on the road and won comfortably. last week seattle were laying 5.5 at home to the bills and fell over the line. that equates to this line being -8 on a neutral field and -11/12 at gillette so there is massive line value there.
throw in the situational spot as well new england rested and refreshed off the bye while meanwhile seattle on a short week going coast to coast and it all equates to what will be my 2nd biggest wager on the patriots (already locked in -7).
also worth noting that seattle has been in a couple of wars recently and their defense as good as it is was getting gashed by the bills running backs on monday night. they just look plain tired to me having been on the field so long.
so unless russell wilson plays out of his mind i dont see how seattle keeps this close. every edge in the game is in new englands favour and i think they re one fine bet.
apologies for cluttering up your thread with this post
Why cluttering? As long as it's Football talk, every comment is appreciated.
The lookahead line to this game was -2 in April. What has changed? I agree the Pats should be favored on a neutral field, but -7.5 against the Seahawks who have lost just two games by 8+ since 2012? Don't see that. I would have agreed with a -5. 7.5 with the Hawks in a massive statement game is value to me.
The Hawks defense was missing Kam Chancellor badly. He will have a crazy big impact on the game on SNF. They held McCoy to 4.0 YPC - his season average is 5.1. The Bills have the best running game in the league, the Pats don't come close to that. The Pats need to pass in this game and the Seahawks play a defensive style that limits big gains. The Pats have to outscore the Seahawks on MNF and I just bet that they don't outscore them by more than a TD. Russell Wilson had a phenomenal game. Do you remember last year? The Seahawks offense started to click around week 10 and they posted ridiculous numbers over the last 7-8 games. I see them having a good game.
I wouldn't be surprised if we saw an upset. But Hawks +7.5 is tasty. Bad juice now, will be patient. BOL with your card!
Long time reader, new to posting. I really appreciate your insights every week, which have led to a lot of my success this season.
How much weight do you put on the letdown angle with Baltimore and Pittsburgh off the division rivalry game, especially with Baltimore on a short week? The Browns are desperate for a win this week to avoid continuing the winless season, so they will play hard.
Good luck with all your plays! I'll be tailing several.
I think the Boys and Ravens games have shown that we can put all letdown angles aside when teams are playing the Browns.
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Quote Originally Posted by MudPhud3:
Long time reader, new to posting. I really appreciate your insights every week, which have led to a lot of my success this season.
How much weight do you put on the letdown angle with Baltimore and Pittsburgh off the division rivalry game, especially with Baltimore on a short week? The Browns are desperate for a win this week to avoid continuing the winless season, so they will play hard.
Good luck with all your plays! I'll be tailing several.
I think the Boys and Ravens games have shown that we can put all letdown angles aside when teams are playing the Browns.
Would love hear your thoughts on 2 games I posted on early in the week
Play on Vikes+3 at Skins
Play on NYG-2 vs Cinci
I like both. The playcalling of the Vikes was an improvement last week as Bradford threw most of his passes under 2.5 seconds. With a full week, they should work out a solid gameplan against a mediocre Skins defense.
It really helps that Desean Jackson is out this week, because I believe he is one of the best route runners in the league and he would have been a terrible matchup for a guy like Trae Waynes. Floyd and Joseph out hurts the Vikes every game and as soon as both come back, that defense is gonna be on a SB level again. I think their current personnel is enough to contain the run and make Kirk Cousins air it out. The Vikes are one of three teams that hasn't gotten up a TD to a TE. Opponents are 1/6 when targeting a TE in the Vikes red zone. All in all, I like the matchup for the Vikes.
Will have more thoughts on NYG on Monday. I don't think the Bengals should lay -4 on a neutral field, that's laughable. Locked in Giants pk +100
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Quote Originally Posted by jroc1247:
Suma
Would love hear your thoughts on 2 games I posted on early in the week
Play on Vikes+3 at Skins
Play on NYG-2 vs Cinci
I like both. The playcalling of the Vikes was an improvement last week as Bradford threw most of his passes under 2.5 seconds. With a full week, they should work out a solid gameplan against a mediocre Skins defense.
It really helps that Desean Jackson is out this week, because I believe he is one of the best route runners in the league and he would have been a terrible matchup for a guy like Trae Waynes. Floyd and Joseph out hurts the Vikes every game and as soon as both come back, that defense is gonna be on a SB level again. I think their current personnel is enough to contain the run and make Kirk Cousins air it out. The Vikes are one of three teams that hasn't gotten up a TD to a TE. Opponents are 1/6 when targeting a TE in the Vikes red zone. All in all, I like the matchup for the Vikes.
Will have more thoughts on NYG on Monday. I don't think the Bengals should lay -4 on a neutral field, that's laughable. Locked in Giants pk +100
I gotta know why. DAL is clicking on all cylinders right now. They're gonna turn the chemistry upside down Suuma. But JJ is itching to insert him. My guess: he's waiting as long as possible, so once they make the playoffs, he will yank Dak and cite Romo's experience. Agree ? oR DO YOU THINK HE'LL DO IT WITH THEIR NEXT LOSS?
clicking on all cylinders? They just played the Browns, and before that were about to lose the Eagles game. You must watch a lot of ESPN.
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Quote Originally Posted by DRIBBLE4LIFE:
I gotta know why. DAL is clicking on all cylinders right now. They're gonna turn the chemistry upside down Suuma. But JJ is itching to insert him. My guess: he's waiting as long as possible, so once they make the playoffs, he will yank Dak and cite Romo's experience. Agree ? oR DO YOU THINK HE'LL DO IT WITH THEIR NEXT LOSS?
clicking on all cylinders? They just played the Browns, and before that were about to lose the Eagles game. You must watch a lot of ESPN.
Summa, I appreciate your valuable service for all the readers of your posts. I have this question I asked you in another person's thread, but you probably didn't read it.
Last week, you said when Pouncey, Albert, and James start and finish games together, Miami is 8-0 ATS, now 9-0 ATS. Do you think Miami has a chance to win ATS in San Diego this Sunday? Thank you for answering this somewhat square question.
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Summa, I appreciate your valuable service for all the readers of your posts. I have this question I asked you in another person's thread, but you probably didn't read it.
Last week, you said when Pouncey, Albert, and James start and finish games together, Miami is 8-0 ATS, now 9-0 ATS. Do you think Miami has a chance to win ATS in San Diego this Sunday? Thank you for answering this somewhat square question.
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