****The TRAIN69 Super Bowl Extravaganza****

Whats up boys & girls. Its been a fun year, as usual. Been reading a lot of posts on this site and watching a little espn. All people are talking about is Manning vs the Seattle defense. I shake my head. That is the obvious matchup that makes better tv.

Record setting HOFer Manning vs Sherman the thug!!! OMG!!!

However, the matchup people should be focusing on is RW vs the Denver defense. Thats where this game will be won.

Denver will most likely play its 4-3 defense and probably have a little safety help to stop Lynch. Now, Denvers 2 safeties and 2 CBs (Cromartie/Bailey) had a combined 4 ints this year. No big deal you say? Well, with as much as teams had to throw this year being down, I'd say it is. They are under sized and neither corner likes to tackle or get physical.

If you dig deeper you will find Denver was dead even in turnover ratio...Seattle was +20. No big deal? Well, kinda. Denver scored a lot this year, in case you didnt know. That means teams got the ball back on offense a lot. Now heres where the issue is....lets look at the AFC this year: Just horrific.

Texans

Jags

Oakland x2

SD x3

KC x2

Titans

Then they got the NFC East this year. Philly/Wash/Dallas/Giants. Brutal doesnt even describe it.

Yuck. 13 of Denvers 18 games this year have been against defenses ranked 20th or worse. Of course games vs the broncos have something to do with that. Yet, they still were dead even in turnovers and ranked 19th in total defense. Part understandable with a lot of bend but dont break, big lead defense. Problem arises when you need to make a play and reach down and find nothing.

Now, Denvers route to the SB. SD, a team they had seen twice already and who was basically playing its 5th playoff game and on b2b roadies, and shouldnt have even been in the playoffs. Then, you get a New England team that has become a "running" squad and the main offensive weapon is Julian Edelman. PUUUHLEEEZE

Manning simply cant move. That will obviously be a problem vs this defense. Of course, manning is the king of the quick release, but the AFC defenses were weak this year. Super freakin weak. Dont be surprised if you see Manning go to his second read and then fall to the ground like a cheap hooker who got punched in the stomach. He wants no part of being hit. This also means he will try to squeeze the ball in some tight windows. Not a good idea. Add to that, Peytons long ball is non existent (maybe worse if the weather is bad). His arm strenght and touch have dropped off considerably, and understandably. With the safeties being able to play a little looser, it will make manning think twice able ever throw over 10 yards.

iI'm not gonna bore you with stats you can google. However, Manning had a qb rating of 115 while Wilsons was 101.....but, Denver allowed a qb rating of 84 while Seattle allowed 63....RW will be playing weaker defense than hes used to.....Manning will be playing the best hes seen all season.

Ok. I'm done for now

Seattle +3.5 (-130)

Seattle ML +115

Manning to throw INT before a TD +190

RW O199.5 passing yds -110

RW O1.5 passing tds +130

RW scores a rushing td +300

Lynch O21.5 rushing attempts -105

Lynch O1.5 receptions -125

Golden Tate O45.5 rec yds -110

Doug Baldwin O37.5 rec yds -110

Zach Miller O24.5 rec yds -110

More props to follow.

Eagerly awaiting the total to keep dropping (at 46.5 right now)as it will surely do as everyone keeps watching espn and thinking its gonna be soooo cold and windy.

All thoughts welcome, even from the endless trolls on this site. 

Whats up boys & girls. Its been a fun year, as usual. Been reading a lot of posts on this site and watching a little espn. All people are talking about is Manning vs the Seattle defense. I shake my head. That is the obvious matchup that makes better tv.

Record setting HOFer Manning vs Sherman the thug!!! OMG!!!

However, the matchup people should be focusing on is RW vs the Denver defense. Thats where this game will be won.

Denver will most likely play its 4-3 defense and probably have a little safety help to stop Lynch. Now, Denvers 2 safeties and 2 CBs (Cromartie/Bailey) had a combined 4 ints this year. No big deal you say? Well, with as much as teams had to throw this year being down, I'd say it is. They are under sized and neither corner likes to tackle or get physical.

If you dig deeper you will find Denver was dead even in turnover ratio...Seattle was +20. No big deal? Well, kinda. Denver scored a lot this year, in case you didnt know. That means teams got the ball back on offense a lot. Now heres where the issue is....lets look at the AFC this year: Just horrific.

Texans

Jags

Oakland x2

SD x3

KC x2

Titans

Then they got the NFC East this year. Philly/Wash/Dallas/Giants. Brutal doesnt even describe it.

Yuck. 13 of Denvers 18 games this year have been against defenses ranked 20th or worse. Of course games vs the broncos have something to do with that. Yet, they still were dead even in turnovers and ranked 19th in total defense. Part understandable with a lot of bend but dont break, big lead defense. Problem arises when you need to make a play and reach down and find nothing.

Now, Denvers route to the SB. SD, a team they had seen twice already and who was basically playing its 5th playoff game and on b2b roadies, and shouldnt have even been in the playoffs. Then, you get a New England team that has become a "running" squad and the main offensive weapon is Julian Edelman. PUUUHLEEEZE

Manning simply cant move. That will obviously be a problem vs this defense. Of course, manning is the king of the quick release, but the AFC defenses were weak this year. Super freakin weak. Dont be surprised if you see Manning go to his second read and then fall to the ground like a cheap hooker who got punched in the stomach. He wants no part of being hit. This also means he will try to squeeze the ball in some tight windows. Not a good idea. Add to that, Peytons long ball is non existent (maybe worse if the weather is bad). His arm strenght and touch have dropped off considerably, and understandably. With the safeties being able to play a little looser, it will make manning think twice able ever throw over 10 yards.

iI'm not gonna bore you with stats you can google. However, Manning had a qb rating of 115 while Wilsons was 101.....but, Denver allowed a qb rating of 84 while Seattle allowed 63....RW will be playing weaker defense than hes used to.....Manning will be playing the best hes seen all season.

Ok. I'm done for now

Seattle +3.5 (-130)

Seattle ML +115

Manning to throw INT before a TD +190

RW O199.5 passing yds -110

RW O1.5 passing tds +130

RW scores a rushing td +300

Lynch O21.5 rushing attempts -105

Lynch O1.5 receptions -125

Golden Tate O45.5 rec yds -110

Doug Baldwin O37.5 rec yds -110

Zach Miller O24.5 rec yds -110

More props to follow.

Eagerly awaiting the total to keep dropping (at 46.5 right now)as it will surely do as everyone keeps watching espn and thinking its gonna be soooo cold and windy.

All thoughts welcome, even from the endless trolls on this site. 

Which reminds me, I forgot to mention Percy Harvin. Impossible to plan for simply because hes an unknown factor. He will play, and looked up to game speed vs NO, but took 2 brutal hits and sent the human pretzel packin. I think Seattle wants to use him, but just being on the field as the slot receiver is gonna get attention and force the LBs to pay attention to him when he goes in motion. That should be enough to allow Tate/Baldwin and Kearse a little more freedom, not to mention clearing out the box for RW to scramble. I actually think hes gonna have a big game. Hes the best receiver the hawks got if he can stay healthy.