Posted:
#1
Hello all, recently I have been crushing NFL specifically and I will only be sharing my picks with you on one condition:
I receive feedback.
I'm not looking for praise, I'm simply looking for acknowledgement that I exist. If I don't receive that I may as well keep my picks to myself because nobody is seeing them. I'd even appreciate if you post disagreeing with me because it at least sparks a conversation.
Without further adieu here is the picks.
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SF +6.5
OVER 42
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Analysis:
Colin Kaepernick has shown great progression throughout the season. For all intensive purposes his team should be much better than they are. The game against the Giants is one that they let slip away. The strength of SEA's defense right now is their LB corps. Their LB corps swarms to the ball, this means that Kaepernick likely won't be rushing the ball too much against SEA. This is alright since he has been smart with the football and thrown well down field.
SEA has had very poor defensive production recently. Russell Wilson has kept this team afloat recently and is the sole reason they are even competitive in most of their games. Russell Wilson has struggled greatly against defenses with speedy LB's (DET & GB). SF's front 7 are too slow to contain Wilson and he will be able to run the offense the way he likes. He will pass when the opportunity is there and rush when it isn't.
It is worth noting that the public has been slaughtered on every prime time game this season. I won't dive too far deep into this season however here are some recent memories.
- NYG @ PHI - Public lost on NYG & OVER.
- NE @ IND - Public lost on NE (backdoor Colts cover).
- ATL @ NO - Public lost on ATL.
- PITT @ SD - Public lost on SD.
- SF @ NYG - Public lost on NYG.
- IND @ HOU - Public took a historically bad beat on HOU hosting a IND team without Luck and a bacterially infected Hasselbeck.
Look for the public to like SEA in this spot. The public has short term memory loss when it comes to teams that they like. The fact that this line sits at a 6.5 could not be more obvious of a bait towards the SEA side. The books are begging you to take SEA and are even giving you the hook. Kaepernick will be motivated at home after hearing Clay Matthews comments in Week 4, "You ain't Russell Wilson bro." SF already plays SEA like it's their super bowl, the additional motivation is great.
Take the motivated Kaepernick led 49ers +6.5 and over 42 in this game that is sure to see some scoring.
Good luck all who are with me. 
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