The 3.25 is an attempt to put out a fair line. The real line is a cheap 3 or an expensive 3.5. On covers - everyone puts out the line that is favorable to them - so all Colts bettors put out +3.5 and all Broncos bettors put out -3. The 3.25 I put out means half of my wager goes on +3, and the other half at +3.5.
I think the Colts will be able to run on the Broncos - which is the only way to keep Matt Ryan from turning over the ball. If the run is working - Ryan will have time in the pocket - and that is the only way he remotely resembles an NFL QB.
Small play on the Colts.
GL all
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8
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
NFL Season +21.5 units
Colts +3.25 (1.5 units)
The 3.25 is an attempt to put out a fair line. The real line is a cheap 3 or an expensive 3.5. On covers - everyone puts out the line that is favorable to them - so all Colts bettors put out +3.5 and all Broncos bettors put out -3. The 3.25 I put out means half of my wager goes on +3, and the other half at +3.5.
I think the Colts will be able to run on the Broncos - which is the only way to keep Matt Ryan from turning over the ball. If the run is working - Ryan will have time in the pocket - and that is the only way he remotely resembles an NFL QB.
Completely disagree. Backing Indy with no JT COLTS fan for over 2 decades. I wouldn’t back Matt with your cash. Broncos at home low line bought .5 just in case Denver-3
Nothing personal... But every week you come in my thread and tell me how I am making a bad play on a team and you never come back.
How about you come back after the game? Win or lose.
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7
Quote Originally Posted by xMORTICIANx:
Completely disagree. Backing Indy with no JT COLTS fan for over 2 decades. I wouldn’t back Matt with your cash. Broncos at home low line bought .5 just in case Denver-3
Nothing personal... But every week you come in my thread and tell me how I am making a bad play on a team and you never come back.
How about you come back after the game? Win or lose.
You mean you didn't pay 40 cents to get -2.5 and then act like it was the same play as -3 at 10 cents ?? kidding of course.... one of the few Pros around here, kids watching at home need take note Nice start to the year and BOL
Yeah. I have seen lots of people post Denver -2.5. Huh?
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0
Quote Originally Posted by getem9:
You mean you didn't pay 40 cents to get -2.5 and then act like it was the same play as -3 at 10 cents ?? kidding of course.... one of the few Pros around here, kids watching at home need take note Nice start to the year and BOL
Yeah. I have seen lots of people post Denver -2.5. Huh?
How are the Colts gonna run on the Broncos when they only had 1.8 yards oer carry last week against the Raiders and Taylor is hurt? Not even 2 yards per carry and that was easily the worst of any team in the NFL.
2.3 over the last 3 games so it wasn't even an aberration.
I don't feel like this is a good game to bet but of all the reasons to take the Colts that is a farfetched one IMO
0
How are the Colts gonna run on the Broncos when they only had 1.8 yards oer carry last week against the Raiders and Taylor is hurt? Not even 2 yards per carry and that was easily the worst of any team in the NFL.
2.3 over the last 3 games so it wasn't even an aberration.
I don't feel like this is a good game to bet but of all the reasons to take the Colts that is a farfetched one IMO
How are the Colts gonna run on the Broncos when they only had 1.8 yards oer carry last week against the Raiders and Taylor is hurt? Not even 2 yards per carry and that was easily the worst of any team in the NFL. 2.3 over the last 3 games so it wasn't even an aberration. I don't feel like this is a good game to bet but of all the reasons to take the Colts that is a farfetched one IMO
Well, the Colts didnt play the Raiders last week.
The Raiders played the Broncos, and ran all over them.
Wanna take another shot at that?
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5
Quote Originally Posted by NutinButtLove:
How are the Colts gonna run on the Broncos when they only had 1.8 yards oer carry last week against the Raiders and Taylor is hurt? Not even 2 yards per carry and that was easily the worst of any team in the NFL. 2.3 over the last 3 games so it wasn't even an aberration. I don't feel like this is a good game to bet but of all the reasons to take the Colts that is a farfetched one IMO
Well, the Colts didnt play the Raiders last week.
The Raiders played the Broncos, and ran all over them.
How are the Colts gonna run on the Broncos when they only had 1.8 yards oer carry last week against the Raiders and Taylor is hurt? Not even 2 yards per carry and that was easily the worst of any team in the NFL. 2.3 over the last 3 games so it wasn't even an aberration. I don't feel like this is a good game to bet but of all the reasons to take the Colts that is a farfetched one IMO
Assuming you mean the Titans, not the Raiders...
Did you watch the game? TN vs Indy? I did. Twice.
Here is the deal with the Colts. They have a great O Line, and a QB that is quite possibly the most predictable in the league. Ryan can make throws when he has time, and the run is working (defense isnt looking straight pass). Otherwise, he is less than a high school QB and a turnover machine.
So last week, the Colts fell behind early - and the defense of the Titans was looking pass from mid second quarter. The run wasnt working either - so Ryan was terrible and they had a terrible game.
If the Colts come out and are able to run tonight, which I think they will - based on the Broncos inability to stop the run so far this season - then Ryan will throw like 20 times and have a Jimmy G type of night. The Broncos offense has no weapons - no threats - and their coaching staff is literally a deer in headlights. Have you watched them or seen their coaching staff during key situaitons? I am not sure I have seen someone so outwardly clueless as their coaches when crunch time is on.
If the Colts can get the ground game going from the jump, they will get out in front and control the game. That is the most likely scenario tonight that I see. Not a lock, not a winner - just something I see as an edge.
GL
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6
Quote Originally Posted by NutinButtLove:
How are the Colts gonna run on the Broncos when they only had 1.8 yards oer carry last week against the Raiders and Taylor is hurt? Not even 2 yards per carry and that was easily the worst of any team in the NFL. 2.3 over the last 3 games so it wasn't even an aberration. I don't feel like this is a good game to bet but of all the reasons to take the Colts that is a farfetched one IMO
Assuming you mean the Titans, not the Raiders...
Did you watch the game? TN vs Indy? I did. Twice.
Here is the deal with the Colts. They have a great O Line, and a QB that is quite possibly the most predictable in the league. Ryan can make throws when he has time, and the run is working (defense isnt looking straight pass). Otherwise, he is less than a high school QB and a turnover machine.
So last week, the Colts fell behind early - and the defense of the Titans was looking pass from mid second quarter. The run wasnt working either - so Ryan was terrible and they had a terrible game.
If the Colts come out and are able to run tonight, which I think they will - based on the Broncos inability to stop the run so far this season - then Ryan will throw like 20 times and have a Jimmy G type of night. The Broncos offense has no weapons - no threats - and their coaching staff is literally a deer in headlights. Have you watched them or seen their coaching staff during key situaitons? I am not sure I have seen someone so outwardly clueless as their coaches when crunch time is on.
If the Colts can get the ground game going from the jump, they will get out in front and control the game. That is the most likely scenario tonight that I see. Not a lock, not a winner - just something I see as an edge.
Out of curiosity did you manual split your bet or does your book offer this line? You see other sports with .25 but I’ve never seen it on Football. Just curious. GL and on same side with -115 on the 3.5
0
Out of curiosity did you manual split your bet or does your book offer this line? You see other sports with .25 but I’ve never seen it on Football. Just curious. GL and on same side with -115 on the 3.5
Out of curiosity did you manual split your bet or does your book offer this line? You see other sports with .25 but I’ve never seen it on Football. Just curious. GL and on same side with -115 on the 3.5
Silky... It is just for posting and recordkeeping purposes. Think about this... Why should someone post plays?
A. To be able to brag about what line THEY were able to get B. To provide a pick at a current line that anyone can bet
I am a "B" guy. What I got is immaterial. I have a lot of books, and exchanges - where I can really squeeze juice.
For instance, Betfair currently has the Colts at +3.5 -106. I have Betfair as a book. What good would it do to anyone here if I posted that line? Last week, I posted the Saints +3.25. They lost by 3, but EVERYONE who bet it got +4. I only took a half win for that.
I split manually. A lot of times, I have a team at a whole bunch of lines. For instance, tonight I have the Colts at +3.5 all the way to -1.5. But it depends - week to week game to game. So I post the easiest digestible line for the Covers and Twitter masses.
*and yes, it is manual. Not offered by the books - although I am curious as to why they dont offer it.
GL
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1
Quote Originally Posted by Silkyjohnson2:
Out of curiosity did you manual split your bet or does your book offer this line? You see other sports with .25 but I’ve never seen it on Football. Just curious. GL and on same side with -115 on the 3.5
Silky... It is just for posting and recordkeeping purposes. Think about this... Why should someone post plays?
A. To be able to brag about what line THEY were able to get B. To provide a pick at a current line that anyone can bet
I am a "B" guy. What I got is immaterial. I have a lot of books, and exchanges - where I can really squeeze juice.
For instance, Betfair currently has the Colts at +3.5 -106. I have Betfair as a book. What good would it do to anyone here if I posted that line? Last week, I posted the Saints +3.25. They lost by 3, but EVERYONE who bet it got +4. I only took a half win for that.
I split manually. A lot of times, I have a team at a whole bunch of lines. For instance, tonight I have the Colts at +3.5 all the way to -1.5. But it depends - week to week game to game. So I post the easiest digestible line for the Covers and Twitter masses.
*and yes, it is manual. Not offered by the books - although I am curious as to why they dont offer it.
NFL Season +21.5 units Colts +3.25 (1.5 units) The 3.25 is an attempt to put out a fair line. The real line is a cheap 3 or an expensive 3.5. On covers - everyone puts out the line that is favorable to them - so all Colts bettors put out +3.5 and all Broncos bettors put out -3. The 3.25 I put out means half of my wager goes on +3, and the other half at +3.5. I think the Colts will be able to run on the Broncos - which is the only way to keep Matt Ryan from turning over the ball. If the run is working - Ryan will have time in the pocket - and that is the only way he remotely resembles an NFL QB. Small play on the Colts. GL all
Haha run it with who?
0
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:
NFL Season +21.5 units Colts +3.25 (1.5 units) The 3.25 is an attempt to put out a fair line. The real line is a cheap 3 or an expensive 3.5. On covers - everyone puts out the line that is favorable to them - so all Colts bettors put out +3.5 and all Broncos bettors put out -3. The 3.25 I put out means half of my wager goes on +3, and the other half at +3.5. I think the Colts will be able to run on the Broncos - which is the only way to keep Matt Ryan from turning over the ball. If the run is working - Ryan will have time in the pocket - and that is the only way he remotely resembles an NFL QB. Small play on the Colts. GL all
Running backs are plug and play in the NFL. Stop with the nonsense that Jonathan Taylor replacement value is somehow more than an offensive lineman or a punter.
Keep listening to those ESPN guys or the Fox pregame dummies.
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4
Running backs are plug and play in the NFL. Stop with the nonsense that Jonathan Taylor replacement value is somehow more than an offensive lineman or a punter.
Keep listening to those ESPN guys or the Fox pregame dummies.
One thing I have Learned is. These clowns always come to your thread to bash your plays but most the time u end up winning and then u don’t hear from them til your next posting……..Classic lol GL Van
1
@vanzack
One thing I have Learned is. These clowns always come to your thread to bash your plays but most the time u end up winning and then u don’t hear from them til your next posting……..Classic lol GL Van
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