Posted:
#1
2012 NFL
ATS 0-0
SU: 0-0
O/U: 0-0
It's been a super long time since I've posted on these boards. 3-5 years ago I'd recognize almost everyone, but the usernames I see now don't look so familiar. Nobody's fault but my own. That's what happens when wife, kids, house, business, and so on enter into the picture. Nonetheless I'm sure the content and opinions are as rich as ever! GL to everyone this upcoming 2012 season and let's combine our heads to make some extra spending money this year.
I typically don't like betting the NFL in week one, or at least betting the "normal" amount. I try to not let the excitement take over my game plan. If you can find a nice opening day trend, by all means, play it (and post it to this thread!), but it's tough to get a solid handle on things until 2-3 weeks go buy.
One practice I always do, without fail, and I'm sure I'm not alone, is print out all the game without looking at the lines. I then try to guess and write down what the lines would be and see where the biggest difference is. This doesn't necessarily determine my plays, but it's a good starting point.
On that note, the only game that had a somewhat large differential was the BEARS hosting the Colts. I pegged this at Bears -5.5, but looks like the lines makers are not buying into the Andrew Luck hype like perhaps I am. But that's not why I like the Colts in this game. I like the Colts because they finished relatively strong in 2011 (4-1 ATS) and the Bears couldn't put it together on grass down the stretch (1-4 ATS L5). The under is hitting a combined 13-1 with these 2 teams. Under often translate to underdog.
I expect a slow start and a somewhat tight game.
CHI 20 IND 16
Bears + 9.5
Other plays include:
Giants -4
Giants just have their number especially in New York. Though I tend to like dogs more within a divisional rival. But not here.
Bills +4
Now a team that doesn't mind traveling the Big Apple is the Bills (5-1 ATS L6). Road team in (8-1 ATS L9). Have I mentioned that I tend to like dogs within a division rivalry?
ATL/KC Under 41.5
Neither teams have a great familiarity with each other. The under trends for KC are too prolific to ignore. The under is 6-2 in the Falcons L8 openers. Joe Public is all over that ATL offense.
For Old Times Sake.....
SUCKER BET OF THE WEEK
CARDINALS +3 (and counting)
Can't take ARI? Then let me be in the minority. After all, that's what the SUCKER BET is all about!!!! SEA is 1-5 ATS L6 in Arizona. If you're taking SEA, just don't get carried away.
Bears + 9.5
Giants -4
Bills +4
ATL/KC Under 41.5
CARDINALS +3
ATS 0-0
SU: 0-0
O/U: 0-0
It's been a super long time since I've posted on these boards. 3-5 years ago I'd recognize almost everyone, but the usernames I see now don't look so familiar. Nobody's fault but my own. That's what happens when wife, kids, house, business, and so on enter into the picture. Nonetheless I'm sure the content and opinions are as rich as ever! GL to everyone this upcoming 2012 season and let's combine our heads to make some extra spending money this year.
I typically don't like betting the NFL in week one, or at least betting the "normal" amount. I try to not let the excitement take over my game plan. If you can find a nice opening day trend, by all means, play it (and post it to this thread!), but it's tough to get a solid handle on things until 2-3 weeks go buy.
One practice I always do, without fail, and I'm sure I'm not alone, is print out all the game without looking at the lines. I then try to guess and write down what the lines would be and see where the biggest difference is. This doesn't necessarily determine my plays, but it's a good starting point.
On that note, the only game that had a somewhat large differential was the BEARS hosting the Colts. I pegged this at Bears -5.5, but looks like the lines makers are not buying into the Andrew Luck hype like perhaps I am. But that's not why I like the Colts in this game. I like the Colts because they finished relatively strong in 2011 (4-1 ATS) and the Bears couldn't put it together on grass down the stretch (1-4 ATS L5). The under is hitting a combined 13-1 with these 2 teams. Under often translate to underdog.
I expect a slow start and a somewhat tight game.
CHI 20 IND 16
Bears + 9.5
Other plays include:
Giants -4
Giants just have their number especially in New York. Though I tend to like dogs more within a divisional rival. But not here.
Bills +4
Now a team that doesn't mind traveling the Big Apple is the Bills (5-1 ATS L6). Road team in (8-1 ATS L9). Have I mentioned that I tend to like dogs within a division rivalry?
ATL/KC Under 41.5
Neither teams have a great familiarity with each other. The under trends for KC are too prolific to ignore. The under is 6-2 in the Falcons L8 openers. Joe Public is all over that ATL offense.
For Old Times Sake.....
SUCKER BET OF THE WEEK
CARDINALS +3 (and counting)
Can't take ARI? Then let me be in the minority. After all, that's what the SUCKER BET is all about!!!! SEA is 1-5 ATS L6 in Arizona. If you're taking SEA, just don't get carried away.
Bears + 9.5
Giants -4
Bills +4
ATL/KC Under 41.5
CARDINALS +3
0
....have a great year dude...........
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