Posted:
#1
"A
pleasant good afternoon to everyone and welcome to Week 10's SUCKER BET
brought to you by the fine folks at Tootsie Pop! For
those of you who are unfamiliar
with the SUCKER BET, each week I identify the games where the public
seems to be heavily favoring one side. Typically there are 3 or 4
choices each week. From those games, I choose one unpopular pick as
the SUCKER BET. Last week the Ravens did what they always seem to do; which is stop the bottom from falling out and not only salvage their season, but prepare to execute a potentially deep playoff push. The Browns did not cover, thus my season total is now 6-3 ATS. This week I'm doing something I do rarely; which is cap an Eagles game. The Eagles are my favorite team and I typically don't evaluate their match-ups from a betting standpoint, even though their is no other team in the league I feel I have a better pulse on and can comprehend their ebbs and flows more so than the Birds. Allow me to articulate a lament that is a fact that you are already well aware of. The Eagles are awful. They have more weaknesses than Lindsay Lohan's self control. They have no leadership, no cohesiveness, and no concrete confidence in each other. Their team statistics will tell you that they are a middle of the road team, a dozen or so teams that are clear-cut better than them and worse than them. I say bullshit. There are only a few teams worse than them. The amount of Andy Reid's future games coached for the Eagles I could count on one hand if I had 7 fingers on one hand. Michael Vick only knows how to play the game one way and he can't physically perform like that anymore and has no mental attributes to compensate. LeSean McCoy is a bright spot which the offensive coaching staff refuses to utilize. Most importantly, their offensive line has more holes in it than golf course. They are 0-3-1 ATS in their L4 Home games and are 1-6-1 ATS in their L8 overall. With all that being said, I'm taking the Eagles this week +1.5. Why? The biggest reason is that they tend to play well within the division. Conversely, the Cowboys tend to fall short within the division. The Eagles are 5-0-1 ATS in ther L6 NFC East games. The Cowboys are 1-7 ATS in their L8 NFC East games. These games between the Eagles and Cowboys are like many divisional rivalries. Close and low-scoring. The underdog is 11-5 ATS in their last 16 meetings between these 2 teams. The Under has hit 5 out of the L7. Enough solid numbers, how about more derogatory based ranting. The Cowboys are almost as flawed as the Eagles. If their fans really think they are a playoff caliber team than they are as mislead as Bill Clinton at an pro-abstinence convention. I think their situation in more dire than the Eagles as their main issue is situated right at the very top in Jerry Jones. Compound the fact the Tony Romo is the exact opposite of Ben Rothlisberger in the sense that he is weak and the bigger the moment the smaller the performance. And make no mistake, the players on both team think is game is a big moment and an opportunity to remain in the playoff hunt. Don't think the coaches aren't reminding them where the Giants were this time last season. Regardless, this will be an ugly, sloppy game and I think the Eagles will somehow prevail even though their fan base in wise enough to know that the Philadelphia Eagles won't be competitive again for a few years after Andy Reid and company are kicked to the curb (fingers crossed). There you have it, Eagles +1.5. Good Luck to everyone this week and see you next week for Week 11's SUCKER BET brought to you by Tootsie Pop!" 0
Im taking dallas
..........I like your pick.....but the Eagle's Offensive line has Vick running and getting destroyed. I don't know if the Eagles line will be able to protect Vick. Everyone points to Reid and Vick as to why they are sucking......but it's the Offensive Line and their over-payed corners that are the cause ...IMO.
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