WEEK 13............................................

Question

WESTGATE FOOTBALL CONTEST....................31-24Boys &#x2B;1.5Falcons -3Bills &#x2B;8.5Browns &#x2B;14Seahawks &#x2B;6

theclaw · Answer

WESTGATE FOOTBALL CONTEST....................31-24Boys &#x2B;1.5Falcons -3Bills &#x2B;8.5Browns &#x2B;14Seahawks &#x2B;6

theclaw · Answer

BOUNCE FACTOR....................5-10, lost 34 units

Bills +9 over Pats --- 11 units to win 10 units

Falcons -3 (-105) over Vikes --- 10.5 units to win 10 units

Seahawks +6 (-115) over Eagles --- 17.25 units to win 15 units

Boys +1.5 over Skins --- 5.5 units

Browns +14 over Chargers --- 5.5 units

Seahawks over Eagles will likely be the biggest play of the year for the BF.

theclaw · Answer

60% METHOD .........................17-12, won 6.7 units

Very interesting week, week, I will post all the plays for this method 3 of which will be BF fades.

But we track the record of the method but our OFFICIAL PLAY WILL BE ON THE BF PLAYS.

To date the BF is 2-1 VS this method.

Zona + 7 over the Rams --- 5.5 units

Raiders -9 over NYG --- 5.5 units

Blls +9 over Pats --- 5.5 units

We also have plays on.........................

Vikes +3 over Falcons --- 5.5 units

Chargers -13.5 OVER Browns --- 5.5 units

Eagles -5.5 over Eagles

6 plays with this method but our official plays are on the BOUNCE FACTOR PLAYS and the first 3 plays of this method I only post these to track the record of the method.

I would expect the BF to win at least 2 and maybe all 3 of the plays.

theclaw · Answer

Eagles -5.5 over Seahawks --- 5.5 unitsAlso it is very important to have 2 or 3 books to shop lines and try and get the best available lines which can vary in different books and we take advantage of this when possible.

BeeRich · Answer

Your "Boys" have been at &#x2B;2 for the past 8 hours (-110).  Not saying they are the best book by any means but that line is very popular.  You only got &#x2B;1.5?  GL nevertheless...

theclaw · Answer

3 TEAM PARLAY ............................2 units to win 11.94 unitsFalcons -3 (-105)Bills &#x2B;9Seahawks &#x2B;6 (-115)We are 0-2 with parlays, lost 4 units

theclaw · Answer

I looked at the books I have and can only get &#x2B;1.5 if I found &#x2B; 2 would have taken it but I don&#x27;t have every book.&#x2B; 2 is not a big number, likely win is by 1 or 3, but I&#x27;d certainly take another half point if given the choice.

theclaw · Answer

The public has been on a major roll past 2 weeks, not likely they can repeat that again this week. And the beauty is most of our plays are against the public, can't help but think that a much needed very big week is coming.

Stay the course with the info.............................

theclaw · Answer

Looks like 70% on Skins, public likely going down whichs fits perfect with our play On Boys.LEAN OVER 47LEAN Boys Team Total over 23

monkeebooger · Answer

Good start bud, you&#x2019;re gonna kill it this week Love the Cleveland play. Gordon hype is real and chargers always overlook shittty teams. Chargers win by 7

Maukaboy · Answer

what a clown! Bol claw like your plays bol

theclaw · Answer

It&#x27;s very possible a big week is coming.........................

theclaw · Answer

How bout those Cowboys !!!!

Boys scored in single digits for 3 games in a row and then easily beat their TT of 23 and game total of 47.

Regression tends to do that.

Chargers are off a 54 and 28 off pt scored , their 2 largest points scored the entire season in back to back games, likely an under is coming for Chargers .

If I can do some research may start including points scored in the BF , seems to work well.

A make or break week for the BF , we can get everything back this week with a big week and the BF got off to a good start.

With 3 best bets very unlikely we lose 2 or all 3, with a great chance to win all 3 which would be a much needed time for the aBF to deliver.

I've seen it respond big time when it needs it the most many times over the years.

Cooler999 · Answer

Claw,Love your threads!!But would&#x27;t you say Skins losing most of their offensive linemen last night had more to do with Dallas domination of the game, than actual regression or BF?Or, do you take into account those injuries and possible loss&#x27;s during the game that particular game?Thanks for all you do.

Cooler999 · Answer

Sorry, should have read: Or, do you take into account those injuries and possible loss&#x27;s during that particular game?

Naturalart · Answer

Its easy. Lots of points in seattle and LA.Not a lot in Oakland and Tennessee cant beat anyone by 7

theclaw · Answer

Yes injuries have an effect but how do you measure that ? Is the problem.And could contribute to Boys scoring more but watch the weeks ahead, Boys will play better then scoring single digits for 3 weeks in row.I&#x27;ve seen many times teams with injuries even to QB and still covering and even winning SU as big dogs with back up QB playing one of better teams. When regression says they should play better.Alot of it is making adjustments, players being embarrassed from very poor play receiving asre whipping and bringing far more energy and effort to the game.Teams just do not play the same each week, that is called variance Effort and desire vary at times..Be they starters or back ups.Boys ran for over 180 yards without Elliot, blowing the Skins defense off the line. That is energy and effort and desire that was lacking in past 3 games.

theclaw · Answer

No because I can not measure the value. But the info does work even with injuries but maybe not as well.I have tried paying more attention to injuries with the info but have not had enough games to reach any conclusions yet.

theclaw · Answer

Panthers are easily the worst team of all the 8 win or better teams.

Last week they were taken to the cleaners by Jets, being out-played in PR I by almost 20 points.

PRI being more pass heavy , Panthers were badly beaten in QBPR and ave per pass, rarely can a team win the game being out-played the way Pantheres were unless they win the TO battle big and/or total yards battle which they lost by almost 100 yards.

They did win TO battle by 1. That was the largest amount any team was ouit-played and still won the game this season by far and a rarity over history of the method.

Always side with play on the field, not final score.

In key indicators like QBPR differential Panthers rank 23rd, yards per point diff rank 13th, easily the worst team with 8 wins or better.

But the champ of pathetic play from a team with a 7 wins goes to Titans, at the bottom of league in many indicators.

They rank 22cd in QBPR diff and 23rd in yds /pt diff.

There are many teams with losing records ahead of Titans. Every year produces such a team and generally they regress the following year and take beat-downs in the playoffs.

I don't see why they get so much respect from the linesmakers, some of those lines look silly to me. They are 4-6-1 ATS this year and 7 pt favs this week which I just cannot see how that big a line.

theclaw · Answer

Steelers 12th in QBPR diff, very few teams ever win title in NFL ranking below 10th and those that did were surprise teams not the stronger amoung the favorites type teams.

Pitt also ranks 13th in yds/pt diff at +.84, again we just do not find top bye teams considered amoung the favs winning the SB with this pathetic play.

Off ranks 21st in pts/yds, def only 10th which is not all that great for a top def.

This team does not have the make-up of SB chaMPS, JUST DON'T SEE IT.

Pitt does rank like 4th at FO but far down at CHFF.

Big Ben is the problem with far to many Int's.

theclaw · Answer

LEAN ---  Saints -5 over Panthers.

dr tony · Answer

clawdo u have a record for when bounce and 60 % have the same playie buffalo this week

theclaw · Answer

No. But we do make 2 plays on Bills, a best bet on BF and a 5.5 unit play on 60% method , is a to win 15 unit play.

WEEK 13............................................

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