For the current people dying to figure out how we get to the conclusion, read my 2nd to last post.
You write down the opening lines. Then at halftime, you write down what the true 2H lines should be according to the opening lines. So tonight Chicago was +5.
Green bay is up 13-0 at half. So we must assume since chicago was predicted to lose by 5 points, that they will out score Green Bay by 8 points in the 2nd half. So we now know the TRUE 2H line should be Chicago -8.
The real lines came out and Green Bay was a -2 point favorite. So that's a 10 point swing from what the true line should be so you can make a play on Green Bay -2 because they were the favorite to begin the game and have been on pace to cover. Now you stick with the favorite in the 2H if there's a 10 point difference.
The same logic is used for the Over/Under numbers. Which tonight, the under hit in the 1H so now you stick with the under in the 2H because there's over a 10 point differential. Get it? Now relax LOL
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For the current people dying to figure out how we get to the conclusion, read my 2nd to last post.
You write down the opening lines. Then at halftime, you write down what the true 2H lines should be according to the opening lines. So tonight Chicago was +5.
Green bay is up 13-0 at half. So we must assume since chicago was predicted to lose by 5 points, that they will out score Green Bay by 8 points in the 2nd half. So we now know the TRUE 2H line should be Chicago -8.
The real lines came out and Green Bay was a -2 point favorite. So that's a 10 point swing from what the true line should be so you can make a play on Green Bay -2 because they were the favorite to begin the game and have been on pace to cover. Now you stick with the favorite in the 2H if there's a 10 point difference.
The same logic is used for the Over/Under numbers. Which tonight, the under hit in the 1H so now you stick with the under in the 2H because there's over a 10 point differential. Get it? Now relax LOL
Khacta, I'm new to this so I hope I am right. I take the original line of 51. From that i take away the total half time score, 13, leaving 38. from that I take away the half time line of 24, leaving 14. Anytime the difference is 10+, it is a play. So the play is under 24. The confusing part for me is which side to take. But think of it this way, most people are thinking that if the spread was 51, and bookies are pretty accurate, then it has to be over 24. most times it's not. Anyone, help me out if I'm wrong. Thanks and BOL
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Khacta, I'm new to this so I hope I am right. I take the original line of 51. From that i take away the total half time score, 13, leaving 38. from that I take away the half time line of 24, leaving 14. Anytime the difference is 10+, it is a play. So the play is under 24. The confusing part for me is which side to take. But think of it this way, most people are thinking that if the spread was 51, and bookies are pretty accurate, then it has to be over 24. most times it's not. Anyone, help me out if I'm wrong. Thanks and BOL
Use common sense kid. If you read this thread from page 1, you would see who on here has been following the system and see that over 10 people said under. One random moron comes on here and post OVER not even knowing the logic behind the system and you are wondering why? You should not be betting.
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Quote Originally Posted by twjd:
So why did someone post that over was the play
Use common sense kid. If you read this thread from page 1, you would see who on here has been following the system and see that over 10 people said under. One random moron comes on here and post OVER not even knowing the logic behind the system and you are wondering why? You should not be betting.
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