All Forums | NFL Betting

WEEK 5 - NFL Breakdown Sheets

...
Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 34305
Posts: 125
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2008
Posts: 12061
Posted: #51
Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

People are playing the Rams tonight just because they think it's a 'sharp' play or because Arizona is due to 'come back to earth'.  Neither of these are sound reasons to make a bet.  Handicap the match-up.  How many offensive touchdowns do the Rams have this season?

 

Not disagreeing with you bro, but you have to look at everything when betting on football. Letdowns, lookaheads, shorts weeks etc.....it all adds up. Its never as easy as simply looking at stat sheets.

 

bol


I definitely agree.  A team that gives 110% can overcome huge statistical disadvantages if their opponent is only giving 90%.  Determining who will want it more - is one of the toughest jobs in professional football handicapping.
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2012
Posts: 7986
Posted: #52
Did ARI came to play last night?  All I saw was Kolb on the ground most of the time.  He was running for his life throughout the game.  Kid gotta learn to throw the ball away every now and then....
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2012
Posts: 7986
Posted: #53
Quote Originally Posted by si1ly:

Few games I'm leaning on:

Indy +8
Denver +7 / ML
Baltimore -6
Cleveland +10 (-120)
Philadelphia +3.5 / ML
Seattle +3 / ML

I like the points for INDY.  I can't mess with NE.  This team is just crazy at times. 

Liking Cleveland a lot too. 

 

BOL to you, Si1ly. 

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2008
Posts: 1068
Posted: #54
Great work quantifying the data and presenting it in nice tabular format.  You could take it a step further by adding some graphics (see Tufte).  There's money to be made from those edges!
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2006
Posts: 5290
Posted: #55
Do you plan to have MLB playoff stat sheets? 
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2008
Posts: 12061
Posted: #56
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2010
Posts: 45
Posted: #57
Enjoy ur MLB play.. I c value on the wild card game last night.
I took two dogs and got paid $$$ .. All thx to ur sheets post on the regular season. Learn a lot and helpful too.  I looking forward on the nfl season ... Thx again .
Si1ly .... 
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2008
Posts: 12061
Posted: #58
Quote Originally Posted by kikkoman10:

Enjoy ur MLB play.. I c value on the wild card game last night.
I took two dogs and got paid $$$ .. All thx to ur sheets post on the regular season. Learn a lot and helpful too.  I looking forward on the nfl season ... Thx again .
Si1ly .... 

I just posted a thread in the MLB forums for my sheets during the postseason.  I have the play-in games uploaded and I will be adding games on a daily basis as needed.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2010
Posts: 45
Posted: #59
It work is greatly appreciate.... Thx 
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2010
Posts: 1084
Posted: #60
Been following since baseball, helped turn my season around. Looking forward to a profitable NFL season....
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2008
Posts: 12061
Posted: #61
Quote Originally Posted by NYBUILT:

Been following since baseball, helped turn my season around. Looking forward to a profitable NFL season....

14-2 on the season so far.  I'm looking over a few plays tomorrow.  Currently eyeing WASH +3.5, ATL@WAS Over, SEA ML, PHI +3.5, CLE +10 (-120), IND +8
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2007
Posts: 280
Posted: #62
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2010
Posts: 1084
Posted: #63
Already have Bmore ML on back end of parlay..Your sheet likes them, any reason its not one of your leans?
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2011
Posts: 40
Posted: #64
Can't wait to see your plays for today. Stay hot! BOL
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2010
Posts: 8547
Posted: #65
like em all but philly  gl bro 
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2008
Posts: 12061
Posted: #66
Still going over a few things.  I'll have my plays for the 1 o'clock games finalized in the next hour or so..


Somebody asked why Baltimore isn't a lean.. and it's because I don't like laying a touchdown of road chalk no matter what the numbers say.
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2008
Posts: 12061
Posted: #67


Locked in:

4:05 EST - Seattle Seahawks +3 (-115)
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2008
Posts: 2410
Posted: #68
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2007
Posts: 7413
Posted: #69
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2006
Posts: 4717
Posted: #70
Seahawks went down to +2 a little bit ago. Your local not very smart. Or you just moved the line!

GL

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2011
Posts: 265
Posted: #71
Intelligent and informative, thank you very much.
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2008
Posts: 12061
Posted: #72
Quote Originally Posted by Barnstorm:

Seahawks went down to +2 a little bit ago. Your local not very smart. Or you just moved the line!

GL


Bought in this morning around 7:00 EST.  He had the price at +2.5 (+105) so I bought the hook and played it at 3.  I almost played the moneyline here.. I don't think the spread will come into play.  Carolina doesn't have the run defense to contain Seattle's offense.  I also expect a let down after last weeks crushing last minute loss to the Falcons.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2007
Posts: 3214
Posted: #73
cross over sunday,,,will  the home teams win,,,hmmmm..   ck out the last 15 yrs
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2008
Posts: 12061
Posted: #74
What do you mean luckyly?  Elaborate..
 
 
Hall of Fame
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2008
Posts: 26899
Posted: #75
on the atl/wash over 51

wouldnt at all be surprised to see this reached midway through the third quarter

marshawn lynch will not be able to be contained today...
All Forums | NFL Betting
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Sports Betting
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
618,670
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2025 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.