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Week 5

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Legend
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Posted: #51
Quote Originally Posted by amd:

Ytd  27-12      +84.6




San Francisco -6  -115    6.9/6

New England +1    4.4/4

Green Bay -9    4.4/4 



 
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Posted: #52
lmao to all these house dogs coming in to protect their Master AMD   

On a standard units system, your bankroll represents 100 units.
So yes, on a standard units system, 6% is 6 units.

Anyways, do your things and play "500" units on a game if you please.... 

But tell me, why New-England is a 4 units play, and San Fran is a 6 units play ?

How do you decide whether it's a 1, 3 or 6 units play ?

I think you're good at picking winners, but your lack of money management will get you broke soon enough...
 
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Posted: #53
Quote Originally Posted by tito40:




he didn't even say 6 units is what he averages…6% of his bankroll is what he said


and a unit means nothing if you don't know its worth, a unit can be $10 or $100, it's not a set number. you should just stop now one pick, you are confused...







Dude, YOU clearly doesn't understand the basic principle of an units system...

The system is set to help you counter the variance in sports betting.

The amount of each unit is set by the amount of money in your bankroll... 

This is funny how a member with nearly 20k posts on a Sports Betting Forum doesn't even get the basics   
 
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Posted: #54
I side with all three of your plays so far, although I doubt I'll actually play GB.  That's a big number to beat without seeing a bit more of Teddy B.  Good luck this week, man.
 
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Posted: #55
Who gives a rats a$$ how much he bets? I usually play 3 team 10 point teasers so I bet a lot more. Gonna put 500 on tomorrow & try to have 3K by Monday Night. Best 3 picks teased. I can't even imagine only betting 3% of my BR on one game. Fact is, he's 27-12 on the year...basically killing $hit.

Anyways, lets talk San Fran. Kansas City just blew out the Pats at home on Monday. Suckers will probably see that & take them getting 6 in a totally different spot. Chiefs are a different team at home w/ that crowd. The Chiefs rushing attack is 4th in the League at 145 YPG. Meanwhile, the Niners rushing defense is 2nd in the NFL surrending only 69 YPG. Neither team has much of a passing attack. Kaepernick scares me, but I think Harbaugh and company are starting to realize his strength is running the football. They need to run more QB sprints w/ him & less pocket passing, which I think they will. The Chiefs on a short week should come out flat after that blow out. Niners will pound the running on a team giving up about 120 on the ground per. Niners just shut down the Eagles offense & McCoy and Sproles did next to nothing. I think Alex Smith will be motivated for this game though...wanting to prove to the Niners they messed up. Still see a 27-17 game...if KC gets that high.
 
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Posted: #56
GL Buddy.  Got your PM and I will be in touch.  I am also on GB.
 
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Posted: #57
Always appreciate your picks and analysis AMD. GL
 
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Posted: #58
Quote Originally Posted by degengambler34:

The niners are due for a clean game and a blowout, i still think they have one of the best defenses in the nfl, and they definitely still have one of the best o lines. Kapernick scares the crap out of me, he can be amazing and then make horrendous decisions , but i like sf also. 

What makes you think the niners still have a great offensive line? Through four weeks, they have been straight garbage. 
 
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Posted: #59
Good luck amd. I like this play but may only play SF 1st half 
 
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Posted: #60
Quote Originally Posted by OnePickOneHit:


Dude, YOU clearly doesn't understand the basic principle of an units system...

The system is set to help you counter the variance in sports betting.

The amount of each unit is set by the amount of money in your bankroll... 

This is funny how a member with nearly 20k posts on a Sports Betting Forum doesn't even get the basics   




first, i'm not trying to protect amd. he is ok on his own. i was trying to make a point that you have no idea what his bankroll is or how much a unit is worth for him…thats all. And you don't have to explain how units work, thanks though. 




 
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Posted: #61
 
Rookie
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Posted: #62
Thanks for posting units amd! You da man
 
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Posted: #63
Quote Originally Posted by OnePickOneHit:


Dude, YOU clearly doesn't understand the basic principle of an units system...

The system is set to help you counter the variance in sports betting.

The amount of each unit is set by the amount of money in your bankroll... 

This is funny how a member with nearly 20k posts on a Sports Betting Forum doesn't even get the basics   

You clearly doesn't understand.... 
 
Legend
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Posted: #64
Quote Originally Posted by OnePickOneHit:

lmao to all these house dogs coming in to protect their Master AMD   

On a standard units system, your bankroll represents 100 units.
So yes, on a standard units system, 6% is 6 units.

Anyways, do your things and play "500" units on a game if you please.... 

But tell me, why New-England is a 4 units play, and San Fran is a 6 units play ?

How do you decide whether it's a 1, 3 or 6 units play ?

I think you're good at picking winners, but your lack of money management will get you broke soon enough...

You simply dont get it. He isnt posting "units". He is posting dollar amounts. Big difference.

 

Learn to read "more gooder".

 
Legend
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Posted: #65
I think we will get a better NE line and/or ML come saturday/sunday
 
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Posted: #66
I actually have SF as the largest play of the season thus far.  Good luck to us!!
 
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Posted: #67
I see your view on NE winning Sunday, but, Brady threw his offense under the bus, and they stink. Cinci is going to whip their azz. I can't see betting on NE right now
 
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Posted: #68
sorry to clog your thread amd…


curious to hear your thoughts on the Pats, I disagree and do not think they have the personnel to bounce back like in years past.

gl this week 
 
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Posted: #69
 
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Posted: #70
Quote Originally Posted by OnePickOneHit:

Betting more than 5 units on a single play is Ri-di-cu-lousss

Betting an average of 6 units on every play is a great recipe to get broke before week 10...


Even if you had a 500 unit bankroll and your parents were The Gates?

  
 
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Posted: #71
Hey AND just 1 game for now ?
 
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Posted: #72
Quote Originally Posted by mrdish33:

Hey AND just 1 game for now ?
my bad
 
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Posted: #73
BOL amd
 
Prospect
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Posted: #74
amd... gl luck this week.

What do you attribute the high lines to this week?  Teams that pulled upsets last week (aka the Bucs and Vikes) are huge dogs.  Do you stay away from these type of games?  Just seems like the Saints are sucking right now and the bucs +11.5 is a steal.
 
 
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Posted: #75
10 games at least a touchdown line...  Seems high

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