Posted:
#1
"A pleasant good morning to everyone and welcome to Week 5's SUCKER BET brought to you by the fine folks at Tootsie Pop! For
those of you who are unfamiliar
with the SUCKER BET, each week I identify the games where the public
seems to be heavily favoring one side. Typically there are 3 or 4
choices each week. From those games, I choose one unpopular pick as
the SUCKER BET. Last week was not a good one for the SUCKER as the Raiders plus the points never had a chance. That brings our season tally to 3-1 ATS. This week is not an easy one to select a SUCKER BET. Ultimately we have 3 home dogs (IND, KC, JAX) to choose from. This won't be a popular pick, but I'm taking the Colts +7 hosting the Packers. There isn't a ton out there to support this pick. I'm thinking the Colts will be playing with raw emotion as coach Chuck Pagano was suddenly diagnosed with Leukemia. The Packers have been progressively getting better as the year goes on which doesn't trend nicely for my pick. But I look at their victory last week vs. the Saints and I can help but think what the outcome would have been if the Saints could only tackle. We've all seen those games where the Packers defense looks awful. I'm hoping that defense shows on Sunday along with the most penalized defensive unit in the league. The Colts have followed up their past 4 SU loses with an ATS win. They are well rested coming off their bye week in which they are 4-1 ATS L5. The Pack are both 1-4 ATS L5 overall and their L5 vs. a team with a losing record. I'm hoping a low scoring under game takes place here. Colts are 7-0 Under in their last 7 home games and 6-1 Under in their last 7 overall. Neither team has a lot of familiarity with each other which may or may not support my pick. One match-up I like is Colts D-Line vs. Pack O-Line. There you have it, Colts +7 hosting the Pack. Good luck to everyone this week and see you next week for Week 6's SUCKER BET brought to you by Tootsie Pop!"0
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