WEEK 6's SUCKER BET BROUGHT TO YOU BY TOOTSIE POP

"A pleasant good afternoon to everyone and welcome to Week 6's SUCKER BET brought to you by the fine folks at Tootsie Pop!  For those of you who are unfamiliar with the SUCKER BET, each week I identify the games where the public seems to be heavily favoring one side.  Typically there are 3 or 4 choices each week.  From those games, I choose one unpopular pick as the SUCKER BET.  Last week was another great week for the SUCKER BET as the Colts beating the Packers was this year's 4th outright win bringing our season tally to 4-1 ATS.  This week I'm on another home dog.  The Bengals are favored by 3 in Cleveland this Sunday and many seem to be heavily favoring Cincinnati.  Initially, it looks like Joe Public is on the right side as CIN has won 5 of their last 7 against CLE and are slightly better at each offensive and defensive category.  But we need to remember that these are 2 bad football teams.  Cincinnati struggles against divisional opponents (0-5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC North).  Conversely, the Browns have recently taken care of the divisional opponent (Browns are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC North).  The Bengals are relying on Green-Ellis this week, but he can't get it going.  He's averaging just 3.3 YPC this season and rushed for only 14 yards last week.  Brown's d-back Joe Haden in returning from suspension just in time to cover AJ Green.  If you're hesitant to put a couple shekels on a winless team, I don't blame you.  Just keep in mind that they are as motivated to win their first game as ATL is motivated to not lose their first game.  It's not going to be a pretty game, but I think it will be a close one that hopefully lands on the side of the home dog and perhaps another SUCKER BET outright win!  There you have it, Browns +3 this week.  Good luck to everyone this week and see you next week for WEEK 7's SUCKER BET brought to you by Tootsie Pop!"

I have a system that uses MATHEMATICS to predict a team's performance, based on how they performed in the previous game.

My system gives me the BROWNS as the BEST BET this week.   (The only other play that's nearly as good, is the CHARGERS over the Broncos)

Glad to see that we're in agreement on the BROWNS, demapples

GL  

Love the Browns this week...always great to read your analysis.

Keep up the great work!

Browns are soo banged up, I can't do it

I feel the same way. GL dem

Nice record, GL

 

rr 207...that chick in your picture has some big tiites

GL, mate.

Browns was the first game that jumped at my this week.. then KC.. will be on both

IMO the top 3 plays this week are fins, browns, cowboys.

Best of Luck 

Dqwell Jackson is now probable 

Already on it... always glad to be on the same page as u demapples!

I also use a mathematical system which strongly influences my picks. However, the system I developed (which has proven to be very reliable) predicts the Bengals to win by 3 :O (Actually 3.028 but whatever lol)

I'm definitely staying away from this one

Apples, I like your enthusiasm, unfortunately I dont like the Browns and I'll tell ya why; too many turnovers, inexperience at the QB position,lack of a true WR and no functional TE. Defense is stout which is why they stick around and keep games close, but you cant rely on Richardson on the ground and who's gonna step up in the passing game? This is one that I believe the Bengals are going to capitalize on the Browns errors and 3 aint much of a number to cover in this situation. Cinncinati is still sore about that loss to the Fins last week, I'm leavin this one alone. GL

who or what is Tootsie Pop??

Go get'em demapples

the tits are