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WEEK 7 - NFL Breakdown Sheets

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Posted: #351
I just don't know Dav.  From my experience, usually the big name players have slightly inflated totals for prop yards.  I can only imagine that you're paying a premium against his true probability to the sportsbooks on this play.  Unless you really like AJ Green, I see no reason why to throw props into the mix.
 
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Posted: #352
I have AJ Green @ 88.5

 
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Posted: #353

Hey bro. I am on the worst losing streak I have seen in years. down -2165  I need this sunday night game real bad. When I first looked at this O/U it was screaming under to me. I repect you as a solid capper, But please tell me why u like the over. Thinking of placing a large wager on the total on this game b/c I just cant get myself to lean towards a side here. My book had 46

 
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Posted: #354
over 6.5 receptions is +120

5,7,9,6,9,7 are his catches this year

Yards

70,58,183,117,65,135
 
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Posted: #355
Quote Originally Posted by jroc1247:

Hey bro. I am on the worst losing streak I have seen in years. down -2165  I need this sunday night game real bad. When I first looked at this O/U it was screaming under to me. I repect you as a solid capper, But please tell me why u like the over. Thinking of placing a large wager on the total on this game b/c I just cant get myself to lean towards a side here. My book had 46


I'd never recommend going large on any play to crawl out of a hole or double down on a hot streak.. but my reason for the over play is we have two below average defenses with the Steelers missing some key players.  Neither team has much of a run game and both offenses are pass-intensive.  I don't think either defense will be capable of shutting down each other's top ranked passing offense.  I see a back and forth game with the team holding the ball at the last possession having a chance to win it.  It's not the Pittsburgh divisional battles of old, this team is transitioning into a vertical offense because their defense simply isn't that good anymore.
 
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Posted: #356
Benglas TT over 10.5 first half?

 
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Posted: #357

Thanks for the input!

 
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Posted: #358
Quote Originally Posted by FinzzFan_Utah:

Benglas TT over 10.5 first half?


Looks good, hope that hook doesn't screw you.
 
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Posted: #359


Direct link to the sunday night game:

 
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Posted: #360
I haven't locked in that team total yet.  I feel the Benglas score 34 in this game.  
 
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Posted: #361
NFL Breakdown Sheet

I know you don't like to go into individual team scores but your total is 51.  


 
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Posted: #362
Locked in:

Bengals game over 46


 
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Posted: #363
patriots make me sick, goodbye multi
 
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Posted: #364
Patriots can not close out games this year.
 
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Posted: #365
i had a multi with pats h2h fuck you really regret adding in those 1.15 options when they lose
 
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Posted: #366
put the last of my money on bengals +1.5/over 45.5 multi....do you like my chances si1ly?
 
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Posted: #367
I locked in Bengals +1 and over 45.5


GL

 
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Posted: #368
Quote Originally Posted by davopnz:

put the last of my money on bengals +1.5/over 45.5 multi....do you like my chances si1ly?

Yes I do.
 
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Posted: #369
Good luck everyone!
 
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Posted: #370
You like the over even at 46.5 correct?
 
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Posted: #371
Sill, I hope the over hits but a system I am tracking says CIN TT under.  Hope both bets win, how about 28-21 PIT! 
 
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Posted: #372
Quote Originally Posted by 5t4r5align:

found this in a reputable thread... just FYI

stat about BYE-week favorites.. They've won at 64% ATS clip since 2004

  See not a one week wonder 
 
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Posted: #373
thats more like it for the over, big ben makes up for his pick in the end zone by helping the bengals out with a 9 yard field
 
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Posted: #374
Running a lot more then I expected....

Kills the clock and our over
 
 
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Posted: #375
cinci blows!!
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