Posted:
#51
Quote Originally Posted by si1ly:
Just like I did with Tampa Bay last week, I'll tease the Falcons off the ugly opening number of +2 and bump them past the key numbers of 3,4,7,8 while I still can. I expect this game to close at PK. While the opening price of +8 is still good on the Bears, I'll spend the other half of this teaser bringing the Bears back the other way across 8,7,4,3 down to what is essentially a pick'em spread. My numbers are showing 13 points of value for the Falcons and 11.5 points of value for the Bears at these adjusted numbers.. hard to pass up value like that.
Just like I did with Tampa Bay last week, I'll tease the Falcons off the ugly opening number of +2 and bump them past the key numbers of 3,4,7,8 while I still can. I expect this game to close at PK. While the opening price of +8 is still good on the Bears, I'll spend the other half of this teaser bringing the Bears back the other way across 8,7,4,3 down to what is essentially a pick'em spread. My numbers are showing 13 points of value for the Falcons and 11.5 points of value for the Bears at these adjusted numbers.. hard to pass up value like that.
Si1ly....I know u go off of numbers and value. But sometimes it's good to look at gameplay and other aspects. Sure that was a bs cover for the lions last night ( in which I was luckily on the right side of) but the bears play calling was terrible. They should have won that game by 20+ Carolina is a desperate team and I feel will have some fire on Sunday. Bears get to stay home and get comfy. Don't see them getting up for this game just like the lions game. Just my 2 cents but I'd grab the tease the other way. Gl to you bro. I read your stuff all time time.
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