I wouldn't overthink the Lions here either, I am in at -3.
I am a huge Lions' fan and that is probably the case with most pro football fans. They are playing a brand of football so superior that they are blowing good teams out. So when you see the line Lions -3 versus a dysfunctional Texans' team, in your mind you think, JACKPOT???
All I am saying is that you might want to hold your horses and ponder that juicy and tempting line, it could be fools' gold.
"You can't fool all of the people all of the time" Abraham Lincoln
0
Quote Originally Posted by buckubad:
I wouldn't overthink the Lions here either, I am in at -3.
I am a huge Lions' fan and that is probably the case with most pro football fans. They are playing a brand of football so superior that they are blowing good teams out. So when you see the line Lions -3 versus a dysfunctional Texans' team, in your mind you think, JACKPOT???
All I am saying is that you might want to hold your horses and ponder that juicy and tempting line, it could be fools' gold.
@Buffalobob89074 Now that we are the halfway point of the season, you need to do your homework. It’s effin tedious, but it can be rewarding. You need to look at the differential of cover/ not cover versus the game time spread. Example….team A is favored by 4.5. They win by 17. They get a +12.5. Example….team B is a dog by 8.5. They lose by 3. They get a +5.5. Example…team C is favored by 4. They lose by 10. They get a -14. Add up every teams differential to this point. For all their games. Any team that has a huge differential with a “plus” …fade them. Any team that has a huge differential with a “minus”…consider in your plays. Hope this turns on a lightbulb….
Do you keep a running year to date of your covers' wins and losses predictions? If you did, then that would be living proof that it works. Seeing is believing, otherwise it is just another unproven theory IMO. My current YTD is 14-15. That being said, all the best. Even though Pauly deserved it (for betrayal), that has to be one of the most brutal scenes in film history.
"You can't fool all of the people all of the time" Abraham Lincoln
0
Quote Originally Posted by takethecannolis:
@Buffalobob89074 Now that we are the halfway point of the season, you need to do your homework. It’s effin tedious, but it can be rewarding. You need to look at the differential of cover/ not cover versus the game time spread. Example….team A is favored by 4.5. They win by 17. They get a +12.5. Example….team B is a dog by 8.5. They lose by 3. They get a +5.5. Example…team C is favored by 4. They lose by 10. They get a -14. Add up every teams differential to this point. For all their games. Any team that has a huge differential with a “plus” …fade them. Any team that has a huge differential with a “minus”…consider in your plays. Hope this turns on a lightbulb….
Do you keep a running year to date of your covers' wins and losses predictions? If you did, then that would be living proof that it works. Seeing is believing, otherwise it is just another unproven theory IMO. My current YTD is 14-15. That being said, all the best. Even though Pauly deserved it (for betrayal), that has to be one of the most brutal scenes in film history.
@ undermysac Where the betting public pays attention to these lines is during the week of the game. Few people will be betting these games back in August but I get your point, a betting line can have a multi month history.
On November 3rd it opened Detroit -5, that's all I'm saying. Early bettors took the Texans at that #, at 4.5, at 4, and at 3.5. It got to 3, now it's back at 3.5.
The market sets itself.
0
Quote Originally Posted by Buffalobob89074:
@ undermysac Where the betting public pays attention to these lines is during the week of the game. Few people will be betting these games back in August but I get your point, a betting line can have a multi month history.
On November 3rd it opened Detroit -5, that's all I'm saying. Early bettors took the Texans at that #, at 4.5, at 4, and at 3.5. It got to 3, now it's back at 3.5.
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on
this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide
any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in
your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner
of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.
Hot Forum Topics
