WHY SHOULDN'T I BET THE HOUSE ON SAN FRAN VS JETS?

Question

As soon as I saw the 49ers lose n Jets win I knew I would get a lower line this week for this match up. Especially with Revis out I think this has blow out written all over. Here are some trends

49errs are 12-0 ATS off a SU favorite loss

49ers are 5-0 ATS as a September favorite of 13 or less points off a SU favorite loss

49ers are 1-6 ATS in September vs a .500 or better non-conference opponent

Jets are 0-6 ATS in September vs non-division opponent off a double digit SU loss

Jets are 0-7 ATS as non-conference dogs of 4 or less points

And shiva seven posted this as well

As for SFR vs the JETS, I was thinking about Bellichick's fantastic ATS record post losing so I checked out how Harbaugh did last year in these situations:

L DAL 24-27
W CIN 13-8

L BAL 6-16
W STL 26-0

L ARZ 19-21
W PIT 20-3

Harbaugh POST LOSS 3-0 ATS but even more interesting all of these games went under the number with SFR allowing a meager 11 points in all of these games combined. I haven't read the STATS for the game but I get the impression they were gouged a little bit on defense last week which makes me think Harbaugh will be spitting fire this week. Revis is out so the OU might be a little bit higher than expected and you know what teams do when they lose a superstar like REVIS they buckle down and concentrate harder and collectively play better. I don't think the JETS offense creates the same problems for SFR as a mobile Ponder, AP running the ball, and an electrifying Harvin. The Jets don't have a blue chip running back and they have the youngest, and one of the weakest, sets of receivers in the league. I gotta HUNCH this thing smells like an under. Jets have gone over the total in 2 of their 3 games but I had half a unit on the under last week and that game should have went under the numbers - sometimes the ball bounces the wrong way. Anyways - GOOD LUCK!

Can you guys give me your opinions please and maybe other inside info. Thanks

RusRus · Answer

As soon as I saw the 49ers lose n Jets win I knew I would get a lower line this week for this match up. Especially with Revis out I think this has blow out written all over. Here are some trends

49errs are 12-0 ATS off a SU favorite loss

49ers are 5-0 ATS as a September favorite of 13 or less points off a SU favorite loss

49ers are 1-6 ATS in September vs a .500 or better non-conference opponent

Jets are 0-6 ATS in September vs non-division opponent off a double digit SU loss

Jets are 0-7 ATS as non-conference dogs of 4 or less points

And shiva seven posted this as well

As for SFR vs the JETS, I was thinking about Bellichick's fantastic ATS record post losing so I checked out how Harbaugh did last year in these situations:

L DAL 24-27
W CIN 13-8

L BAL 6-16
W STL 26-0

L ARZ 19-21
W PIT 20-3

Harbaugh POST LOSS 3-0 ATS but even more interesting all of these games went under the number with SFR allowing a meager 11 points in all of these games combined. I haven't read the STATS for the game but I get the impression they were gouged a little bit on defense last week which makes me think Harbaugh will be spitting fire this week. Revis is out so the OU might be a little bit higher than expected and you know what teams do when they lose a superstar like REVIS they buckle down and concentrate harder and collectively play better. I don't think the JETS offense creates the same problems for SFR as a mobile Ponder, AP running the ball, and an electrifying Harvin. The Jets don't have a blue chip running back and they have the youngest, and one of the weakest, sets of receivers in the league. I gotta HUNCH this thing smells like an under. Jets have gone over the total in 2 of their 3 games but I had half a unit on the under last week and that game should have went under the numbers - sometimes the ball bounces the wrong way. Anyways - GOOD LUCK!

Can you guys give me your opinions please and maybe other inside info. Thanks

htrain34 · Answer

I am thinking exactly like you on this one. I want to lay the wood to the Niners in this spot. Niners covered after a loss every time last year.

Only reason I haven't bet this yet is they are on B2B road trips playing early games. I hate that angle. Other than that everything points to the Niners winning and covering.

Riceboi · Answer

teasing niners and under looks good

CoverLane · Answer

I locked in 49ers -3.5 at &#x2B;100 early...the jets might be the sharp play but the 49ers are the better football team offensively, defensively, coaching and on special teams. semi buy-high/sell-low scenario on the 49ers. It&#x27;s a tough situation because you know they will be a public bet.the total is tough too, i dont think the jets score more than 20....so will the 49ers? they are known to grind it out and stall in the red zone...tough game to cap

DRJ63 · Answer

Someone posted that niners stayed in Ohio after Minny game, not sure though.

wizardofvig · Answer

uhhhh, maybe because the replacement refs and the way the upstairs reviews as late will be in full force but gl anyway

Plisskin76 · Answer

yes,niners stayed east also last year before eagles game.i dont remember who they played prior week.someone in midwest.

Niners13 · Answer

You did not get a lower line, you got a higher one.

xanthax · Answer

Leaning jets, SF will be the public play and the team will rally in Revis injury absence. Short them next week.

kn0wn · Answer

GL leaning niners also but yea the thing i dont like is that it is going to be pounded by the public

Digital_High · Answer

Niners did stay in Ohio. Akers ball went into hall of fame so they stuck around for their own little ceremony.

htrain34 · Answer

Fact that they are staying in Ohio is a big handicapping angle. I like them big now that they don&#x27;t have to travel from east to west two weeks in a row.

gorays45 · Answer

Did you just see Christian Ponder pick apart their defense while Alex Smith looked lost?

dillon24 · Answer

Cannot wait to bet on the jets this week

Teaser78 · Answer

ONLY THING THAT WOULD WORRY ME IS THAT FUCKING LINE AINT MOVING .... THAT SHIT SHOULD BE AT 6 ALREADY ... PUBLIC GONNA POUND THE SHIT OUT OF THAT LINE AND IF IT DOESNT MOVE OR GOES DOWN THEN SOMETHING IS UP

Europa · Answer

i like Niners to bounce back but hate 72% cappers on them. Will probably parlay their money line with Pats money line later in the week when my book opens money line.

vi3tboi09 · Answer

Good luck. But when it looks to easy. Thats when it" ISNT". Espescially with Revis going down.... which is a big public perception. Last time i checked it took 11 players on the D. I believe Jets steal one as well as Buffalo this week.

vi3tboi09 · Answer

Also just because a team was good last year, doesnt mean they will be good this year!! Dont let what a team has done in the past (i.e last year) affect your bet! New Season , ANYTHING IS POSSIBLE

GunShard · Answer

49ers should win but be aware that Home Field advantage is critical.

DRJ63 · Answer

Niners had reality check, they will b ready to play.

Ch33z · Answer

Bc u dont have a house lol jk

LRM704 · Answer

Don&#x27;t we have enough homeless already ?&#xD;&#xA;I will surely bump this Sunday night.

Digital_High · Answer

Niners been practicing at Youngstown State

LRM704 · Answer

Stick with the under, both teams are going to take the air out of the ball

avaLOS · Answer

Suprised line has only move 1/2 pt w/ 80% of public on 49ers. Waiting till closer to game time to put my money on the Jets.

WHY SHOULDN'T I BET THE HOUSE ON SAN FRAN VS JETS?

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