As I'm losing money on Totals this weekend betting into UNDERS between Divisional opponents, a very interesting trend popped up....
Since the move to single bye / 7 team playoff format, WC matchups between divisional opponents have now gone 6-0 to the OVER....something to bookmark for next year
Also crazy to see all weekend games go OVER the total.....will it continue tonight???
America First
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
As I'm losing money on Totals this weekend betting into UNDERS between Divisional opponents, a very interesting trend popped up....
Since the move to single bye / 7 team playoff format, WC matchups between divisional opponents have now gone 6-0 to the OVER....something to bookmark for next year
Also crazy to see all weekend games go OVER the total.....will it continue tonight???
"Since the move to single bye / 7 team playoff format, WC matchups between divisional opponents have now gone 6-0 to the OVER....something to bookmark for next year"
2024 there were no intra divisional games.
This year we have Ravens / Steelers OV/43.5 -105
America First
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"Since the move to single bye / 7 team playoff format, WC matchups between divisional opponents have now gone 6-0 to the OVER....something to bookmark for next year"
Good info, buddy. Now I am truly concerned for my Chargers futures of an AFC title game, which I had hopes for. If they get by Houston, I think they can surprise the Chiefs who will not have played meaningful football for 3 weeks. Harbaugh was in a similar spot, although with a championship caliber team, when he lost to the Seahawks in the NFC title game. They won their last regular season game on the road in Arizona, then went to frigid GB against Rodgers and won, then beat a very good Carolina team on the road and finally dropped that 4th road game in Seattle in a game they could have and should have won.
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@kcblitzkrieg
Good info, buddy. Now I am truly concerned for my Chargers futures of an AFC title game, which I had hopes for. If they get by Houston, I think they can surprise the Chiefs who will not have played meaningful football for 3 weeks. Harbaugh was in a similar spot, although with a championship caliber team, when he lost to the Seahawks in the NFC title game. They won their last regular season game on the road in Arizona, then went to frigid GB against Rodgers and won, then beat a very good Carolina team on the road and finally dropped that 4th road game in Seattle in a game they could have and should have won.
2 regular season roads plus 2 playoff roads = loss in 3rd matchup, the Divisional round. Titans were in similar spot vs. KC back in their first SB run but only 1 regular season road to finish then went road WC and road Division wins. Lost and failed to cover on road at KC in Conference Title game.
Situation doesn't come up very often but odds are not looking good for any Charger AFC title futes.
America First
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@begginerboy
2 regular season roads plus 2 playoff roads = loss in 3rd matchup, the Divisional round. Titans were in similar spot vs. KC back in their first SB run but only 1 regular season road to finish then went road WC and road Division wins. Lost and failed to cover on road at KC in Conference Title game.
Situation doesn't come up very often but odds are not looking good for any Charger AFC title futes.
Frigid weather in Baltimore (no surprise) with a chance of snow and never certain about the wind conditions. Derrick Henry gashed the Steelers for 162 three weeks ago.
With Zay Flowers either out or not 100%, I have a feeling that the Steeler D will focus on shutting down Henry. I look for a regression to the mean. The final in their last encounter with the Ravens was a 34-17 loss but the score doesn't indicate the closeness of that game. Usually the games between these two are closer score wise.
The Sunset Kid drove to the beach at sundown. Watching the sun go down brought him luck.
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Frigid weather in Baltimore (no surprise) with a chance of snow and never certain about the wind conditions. Derrick Henry gashed the Steelers for 162 three weeks ago.
With Zay Flowers either out or not 100%, I have a feeling that the Steeler D will focus on shutting down Henry. I look for a regression to the mean. The final in their last encounter with the Ravens was a 34-17 loss but the score doesn't indicate the closeness of that game. Usually the games between these two are closer score wise.
@begginerboy 2 regular season roads plus 2 playoff roads = loss in 3rd matchup, the Divisional round. Titans were in similar spot vs. KC back in their first SB run but only 1 regular season road to finish then went road WC and road Division wins. Lost and failed to cover on road at KC in Conference Title game. Situation doesn't come up very often but odds are not looking good for any Charger AFC title futes.
Add to that the Chargers with the #32 sos, and worst strength of wins of the remaining playoff teams.
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Quote Originally Posted by kcblitzkrieg:
@begginerboy 2 regular season roads plus 2 playoff roads = loss in 3rd matchup, the Divisional round. Titans were in similar spot vs. KC back in their first SB run but only 1 regular season road to finish then went road WC and road Division wins. Lost and failed to cover on road at KC in Conference Title game. Situation doesn't come up very often but odds are not looking good for any Charger AFC title futes.
Add to that the Chargers with the #32 sos, and worst strength of wins of the remaining playoff teams.
Quote Originally Posted by kcblitzkrieg: @begginerboy 2 regular season roads plus 2 playoff roads = loss in 3rd matchup, the Divisional round. Titans were in similar spot vs. KC back in their first SB run but only 1 regular season road to finish then went road WC and road Division wins. Lost and failed to cover on road at KC in Conference Title game. Situation doesn't come up very often but odds are not looking good for any Charger AFC title futes. Add to that the Chargers with the #32 sos, and worst strength of wins of the remaining playoff teams.
Do you have any history of results for such teams ?
Do you know past teams who fit the worst SOS of wins ?
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Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:
Quote Originally Posted by kcblitzkrieg: @begginerboy 2 regular season roads plus 2 playoff roads = loss in 3rd matchup, the Divisional round. Titans were in similar spot vs. KC back in their first SB run but only 1 regular season road to finish then went road WC and road Division wins. Lost and failed to cover on road at KC in Conference Title game. Situation doesn't come up very often but odds are not looking good for any Charger AFC title futes. Add to that the Chargers with the #32 sos, and worst strength of wins of the remaining playoff teams.
Do you have any history of results for such teams ?
Do you know past teams who fit the worst SOS of wins ?
As I'm losing money on Totals this weekend betting into UNDERS between Divisional opponents, a very interesting trend popped up.... Since the move to single bye / 7 team playoff format, WC matchups between divisional opponents have now gone 6-0 to the OVER....something to bookmark for next year Also crazy to see all weekend games go OVER the total.....will it continue tonight???
Something to maybe keep in mind. Ravens off 4 straight wins scoring 30 or more in all 4 games.
Not a good spot in regular season but I don't know about playoffs. Maybe not the same in the playoffs but not sure.
If Steelers cover could go under. 24-17 seems reasonable in especially if bad weather.
Ravens did have 6 straight scoring 30 or more in regular season so I am not sure they can do that again. Hard to duplicate this twice in the same season when it is a bad spot off 4 straight.
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Quote Originally Posted by kcblitzkrieg:
As I'm losing money on Totals this weekend betting into UNDERS between Divisional opponents, a very interesting trend popped up.... Since the move to single bye / 7 team playoff format, WC matchups between divisional opponents have now gone 6-0 to the OVER....something to bookmark for next year Also crazy to see all weekend games go OVER the total.....will it continue tonight???
Something to maybe keep in mind. Ravens off 4 straight wins scoring 30 or more in all 4 games.
Not a good spot in regular season but I don't know about playoffs. Maybe not the same in the playoffs but not sure.
If Steelers cover could go under. 24-17 seems reasonable in especially if bad weather.
Ravens did have 6 straight scoring 30 or more in regular season so I am not sure they can do that again. Hard to duplicate this twice in the same season when it is a bad spot off 4 straight.
@kcblitzkrieg Good info, buddy. Now I am truly concerned for my Chargers futures of an AFC title game, which I had hopes for. If they get by Houston, I think they can surprise the Chiefs who will not have played meaningful football for 3 weeks. Harbaugh was in a similar spot, although with a championship caliber team, when he lost to the Seahawks in the NFC title game. They won their last regular season game on the road in Arizona, then went to frigid GB against Rodgers and won, then beat a very good Carolina team on the road and finally dropped that 4th road game in Seattle in a game they could have and should have won.
Remember Andy Reid is nearly unbeatable on a bye. I do think they beat the Texans. That’s going to be a great game if it’s Chargers and Chiefs.
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Quote Originally Posted by begginerboy:
@kcblitzkrieg Good info, buddy. Now I am truly concerned for my Chargers futures of an AFC title game, which I had hopes for. If they get by Houston, I think they can surprise the Chiefs who will not have played meaningful football for 3 weeks. Harbaugh was in a similar spot, although with a championship caliber team, when he lost to the Seahawks in the NFC title game. They won their last regular season game on the road in Arizona, then went to frigid GB against Rodgers and won, then beat a very good Carolina team on the road and finally dropped that 4th road game in Seattle in a game they could have and should have won.
Remember Andy Reid is nearly unbeatable on a bye. I do think they beat the Texans. That’s going to be a great game if it’s Chargers and Chiefs.
Frigid weather in Baltimore (no surprise) with a chance of snow and never certain about the wind conditions. Derrick Henry gashed the Steelers for 162 three weeks ago. With Zay Flowers either out or not 100%, I have a feeling that the Steeler D will focus on shutting down Henry. I look for a regression to the mean. The final in their last encounter with the Ravens was a 34-17 loss but the score doesn't indicate the closeness of that game. Usually the games between these two are closer score wise.
Derrick Henry is 15/18 Over his longest Rush this year. It’s at 18.5 now. Lamar is at 15.5. These are two great bets. You can’t stop the bum rush. I don’t like betting their total yards, because they are typically high, but go look at their longest rushes this season. Only the Titans hit at a better clip fading them this year than Henry’s Longest Rush.
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Quote Originally Posted by Buffalobob89074:
Frigid weather in Baltimore (no surprise) with a chance of snow and never certain about the wind conditions. Derrick Henry gashed the Steelers for 162 three weeks ago. With Zay Flowers either out or not 100%, I have a feeling that the Steeler D will focus on shutting down Henry. I look for a regression to the mean. The final in their last encounter with the Ravens was a 34-17 loss but the score doesn't indicate the closeness of that game. Usually the games between these two are closer score wise.
Derrick Henry is 15/18 Over his longest Rush this year. It’s at 18.5 now. Lamar is at 15.5. These are two great bets. You can’t stop the bum rush. I don’t like betting their total yards, because they are typically high, but go look at their longest rushes this season. Only the Titans hit at a better clip fading them this year than Henry’s Longest Rush.
Quote Originally Posted by undermysac: Quote Originally Posted by kcblitzkrieg: @begginerboy 2 regular season roads plus 2 playoff roads = loss in 3rd matchup, the Divisional round. Titans were in similar spot vs. KC back in their first SB run but only 1 regular season road to finish then went road WC and road Division wins. Lost and failed to cover on road at KC in Conference Title game. Situation doesn't come up very often but odds are not looking good for any Charger AFC title futes. Add to that the Chargers with the #32 sos, and worst strength of wins of the remaining playoff teams. Do you have any history of results for such teams ? Do you know past teams who fit the worst SOS of wins ?
No I do not.
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Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:
Quote Originally Posted by undermysac: Quote Originally Posted by kcblitzkrieg: @begginerboy 2 regular season roads plus 2 playoff roads = loss in 3rd matchup, the Divisional round. Titans were in similar spot vs. KC back in their first SB run but only 1 regular season road to finish then went road WC and road Division wins. Lost and failed to cover on road at KC in Conference Title game. Situation doesn't come up very often but odds are not looking good for any Charger AFC title futes. Add to that the Chargers with the #32 sos, and worst strength of wins of the remaining playoff teams. Do you have any history of results for such teams ? Do you know past teams who fit the worst SOS of wins ?
Quote Originally Posted by kcblitzkrieg: @begginerboy 2 regular season roads plus 2 playoff roads = loss in 3rd matchup, the Divisional round. Titans were in similar spot vs. KC back in their first SB run but only 1 regular season road to finish then went road WC and road Division wins. Lost and failed to cover on road at KC in Conference Title game. Situation doesn't come up very often but odds are not looking good for any Charger AFC title futes. Add to that the Chargers with the #32 sos, and worst strength of wins of the remaining playoff teams.
Very interesting...
They finished the season against 2 pushovers, played 2 playoff teams (beat DEN, Lost KC by 2), and had a disastrous 2nd half against Tampa Bay sandwiched in between.
It does give me some pause, but overall I think Harbaugh will have the guys ready.
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Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:
Quote Originally Posted by kcblitzkrieg: @begginerboy 2 regular season roads plus 2 playoff roads = loss in 3rd matchup, the Divisional round. Titans were in similar spot vs. KC back in their first SB run but only 1 regular season road to finish then went road WC and road Division wins. Lost and failed to cover on road at KC in Conference Title game. Situation doesn't come up very often but odds are not looking good for any Charger AFC title futes. Add to that the Chargers with the #32 sos, and worst strength of wins of the remaining playoff teams.
Very interesting...
They finished the season against 2 pushovers, played 2 playoff teams (beat DEN, Lost KC by 2), and had a disastrous 2nd half against Tampa Bay sandwiched in between.
It does give me some pause, but overall I think Harbaugh will have the guys ready.
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