BARTENDER'S PICKS 2/19-2/25

BOS -130 

FLA/TOR over 6 -130 that didn't go as expected!

Today: 1-1 -$30.00

2/19-2/25 4-2 +$180.00

Overall 133-96 +$3752.00

OTT/CHI over 6 -115 I flip flopped on this one. Originally siding with Chicago thinking, despite how bad they’ve been lately, they can easily handle Ottawa. Then I decided the real value here is on the team who is 6-4 in their last ten playing a team that is 1-8-1 in their last ten, who are getting dog money. They do have one thing in common and that’s that over the last ten of each team’s schedule, they’ve both given up 36 goals. That’s 3.6 per game which is the same average per game that has the islanders sitting at 32 in the league with the most goals allowed. Add Mike Condon into the mix as the cherry on top for the over.

CGY +145 At this point in the season the home/road splits are no longer just an anomaly for this team. Its part of their character and even the locker room knows it. Below.500 on home ice but a roaring 17-7-5 away from The Saddledome. Those stats roll over into their goalies as well as David Rittich has been a different guy on the road with a .929 Save% and 2.30 GAA while going 6-1. Two other factors to consider: Revenge for Calgary as they lost at home to Vegas a few weeks earlier in a game that was close throughout and Vegas dealing with the after effects, subtle as they may be, of locker room illness that still has James Neal and Shea Theodore as game time decisions for tonight.

That’s it for me. Good luck, everyone! 

Its definitely an angle to take so who knows. Good luck! 

Let's hope the road trend continues for them. Good luck! 

Last minute add:

OTT +148

Knew I shouldn't have forced these bets. Going 13-1 on my passed bets last week made me decide not to pass today. Bah!

No goals in the 3rd period was a stinker for hawks game

Yeah I was gonna say. 70+ shots on net and a scoreless 3rd. I was on pace to at least push when it was 2-2 after 2. I feel like I called it right just didn't get the right results. Had a chance at both parts of the bet heading into the 3rd. Oh well. Always tomorrow!

OTT +148 

OTT/CHI over 6 -115 

CGY +145 

Only have myself to blame. Forcing bets on shitty nights.

Today: 0-3 -$315.00

2/19-2/25 4-5 -$135.00

Overall 133-99 +$3437.00

So much for that 3-1 start to the week. Looking at some of these lines today, you’re going to see me say “Fcuk Vegas and these lines!” a few times here.

NYI/TOR over 6 -120 Took the over in Toronto’s last game against Florida and that couldn’t have gone under any more than it did. Part of my write-up for that game was the fact that Toronto had averaged 5.16 GF per home game over their last 6. Look for that to get back on track against the hapless defensive pairings of The Islanders.

NYR/MON over 6 -110 The Canadians have lost 6-straight. New York has lost 4-straight and eight of ten. Rangers are starting rookie goalie Alexander Georgiev. This will be his first NHL start and it comes on the road in Montreal. I really wanted Montreal here but even with the match-up I can’t back this team with Antti Niemi in net for a -165 line. “Fcuk Vegas and these lines!” Carey Price, maybe I take them. But if the match-up is Niemi and Georgiev, I think the Over is the right play.

TB/OTT over 6 -120 I had planned on taking Tampa Bay puck line here knowing Ottawa was playing their 3 game in 4 nights and the second of a B2B, but I was again surprised at the large -175 road line even with Louis Domingue slated to start for The Bolts. “Fcuk Vegas and these lines!” Tampa should still be able to score here on a tired Senators team but having Domingue in net behind a suspect defense could lead to a few Sens goals as well. Playing the over here as well.

WASH/FLA over 6 -110 I initially intended to play Florida’s team total if it was set at 2 ½ which it is, but the line is absurd at -170…which does tell you something. “Fcuk Vegas and these lines!” Anyway, I was hyping up Florida’s offense prior to them being shut out on the road and now they’ve only scored 2 in their last 2, but back home here I expect this young core trio to get things going again. They get to shoot on Braden Holty who has been a mess in road starts this year, compiling a .891 Save% and 3.92 GAA. This is their first game back after a 5-game road trip so I expect Washington to have some success against them, especially early on.

ARZ -117 I had talked up David Rittich and backed him on the road in Vegas but the fact is he’s officially slumping under the weight of being the full-time starter and it all came crashing down for the tune of 7 goals yesterday. Calgary is a strong road team, but they now play the second of a road B2B and they run rookie Jon Gillies out in net…who? Just an .815 Save% and 4.36 GAA in limited NHL action. They catch The Yotes at the wrong time as Arizona has won 5 of 6 and start Antti Raanta, whose overall numbers are actually very good but in his last three he’s 3-0 with a .976 Save% and .088 GAA.

Good luck, everybody! 

NYI/TOR over is a *2 unit play*

Adding:

MON -165 Just read both Nash and Grabner are out of the lineup tonight (trades pending most likely). Coincidentally they've probably been our two best players last few weeks so great for their trade value, bad for what’s left of the roster with them out. As bad as New York has been, can they win on the road with a rookie goalie with all the injuries and now two more of their top players out? Kreider, Shattenkirk and McDonagh out and now Nash and Grabner as well. I hate backing Niemi but almost no choice here. Sorry Blueshirts. 

MON -1 ½ +180 *half unit*

Krisamons 

dcgmt 

NYI/TOR over 6 -120 *two units*  

NYR/MON over 6 -110 crappy goalies > crappy offenses

TB/OTT over 6 -120  

ARZ -117 lame

WASH/FLA over 6 -110  

MON -165  

MON -1 1/2 +180 *half unit*  

Today: 4-3 +$153.00

2/19-2/25 8-8 +$18.00

Overall 137-102 +$3590.00

MINN -155 The Wild go for the Eastern sweep in Madison Square Garden against a listless Rangers team that is now feeling the effects of the trade-deadline. Grabner was moved yesterday and Nash will be held out again to avoid injury as negotiations to move him continue. I think its clear at this point that a 35-year old Lundqvist can no longer carry this team through its absurd defensive breakdowns all game long. His stellar first half has faded over the last month and seems to get worse with each passing game. Georgiev played well and now gets a start on back-to-back nights. NY is 5-15 in their last 20 and sinking like a stone.

NYR TT U2.5 -110 Through 11 games in February this Rangers team has scored only 21 goals. That’s 1.90 per game. Losing their leading goal scorer to trade yesterday made Rick Nash their goal scoring leader by default. He too is sitting again. No one else has scored more than 17 on the year. This team struggles to put chances in the net.

PIT -122 Penguins were 9-3 in January, are 7-1-1 so far this month which has them at a scorching 16-4-1 for 2018. Safe to say they’ve turned things around. In those 16 wins, they’ve covered the puck-line 14 times and have done so in all 5 of this current win streak. Hurricanes had The Pens number early on beating them twice, but Carolina is one of the Pens victims in 2018, a 3-1 loss. Earlier in the season I wrote about how the Carolina team was a bit of an anomaly and it’s the same story. They sit 4 games above .500 but do absolutely nothing special. The rank below average pretty much in all statistical categories, have lost 3 straight and have a season long -18 goal differentials. I think PIT wins and based on their current run, I’d have to lean a multi-goal puck line win. Each team has also had four days off (which is equivalent to the bye week) so could see some extra sloppy play and scoring chances on both ends especially early on.