It's that time again.....NHL playoffs......The Lippsman split
Tried and true and very much copied on the net too.
Betcha' you didn't know I was a poet ?
I started this back in the days of Q-Link, before it was called AOL. Posted it back in 1986 when you accessed online with a dial up modem.
The whole goal is to win the first dog play in series. But if you don't get that first game then you play for the split on the 2nd one. I look for at least a +120 payback. There can be no injuries to any of your 1st liners. You win the first one you walk away. You lose the first then play the dog in the 2nd one. Don't chase....don't chase....don't chase.
This is for the first two games in the series only.
This reason it works well most seasons is that in the NHL as most playoffs, the teams play a much better D than usual. So a lower scoring game gives a boost to the dog. Also being just the first two games the teams don't usually take any chances and err on the side of caution.
Now there are variations that I do not recommend but they are out there and well.....they have been know to turn a profit.
1. Chasing the first game on a loss.......I hate chasing and it's too much of a risk.
2. If the dog wins the first game you take the fave in the 2nd one. I will play this sometimes. But if it's juiced more than -140., which it usually is, then of course I play the -1 line. You notice I didn't mention the regulation line. That's because there is just too much of a chance of OT in the playoffs. Don't play regulation lines. Play the -1.
You will notice this has a twinge of how I play the first few weeks of the season, by taking dogs of +125 or more. Don't forget that in pucks, home ice really doesn't mean squat. Use that to your advantage.
.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
It's that time again.....NHL playoffs......The Lippsman split
Tried and true and very much copied on the net too.
Betcha' you didn't know I was a poet ?
I started this back in the days of Q-Link, before it was called AOL. Posted it back in 1986 when you accessed online with a dial up modem.
The whole goal is to win the first dog play in series. But if you don't get that first game then you play for the split on the 2nd one. I look for at least a +120 payback. There can be no injuries to any of your 1st liners. You win the first one you walk away. You lose the first then play the dog in the 2nd one. Don't chase....don't chase....don't chase.
This is for the first two games in the series only.
This reason it works well most seasons is that in the NHL as most playoffs, the teams play a much better D than usual. So a lower scoring game gives a boost to the dog. Also being just the first two games the teams don't usually take any chances and err on the side of caution.
Now there are variations that I do not recommend but they are out there and well.....they have been know to turn a profit.
1. Chasing the first game on a loss.......I hate chasing and it's too much of a risk.
2. If the dog wins the first game you take the fave in the 2nd one. I will play this sometimes. But if it's juiced more than -140., which it usually is, then of course I play the -1 line. You notice I didn't mention the regulation line. That's because there is just too much of a chance of OT in the playoffs. Don't play regulation lines. Play the -1.
You will notice this has a twinge of how I play the first few weeks of the season, by taking dogs of +125 or more. Don't forget that in pucks, home ice really doesn't mean squat. Use that to your advantage.
I have been using your strategy during the playoffs for the last maybe 4 or 5 years but hadn't keep track of the record, care to show us the record for your strategy? I know there were a few years that showed a loss of a few units, I remember during the 2008 - 09 playoffs, this system worked great as all 8 series in the opening round ended up in a split. Cheers!
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Hello Lippsmann,
I have been using your strategy during the playoffs for the last maybe 4 or 5 years but hadn't keep track of the record, care to show us the record for your strategy? I know there were a few years that showed a loss of a few units, I remember during the 2008 - 09 playoffs, this system worked great as all 8 series in the opening round ended up in a split. Cheers!
I have been using your strategy during the playoffs for the last maybe 4 or 5 years but hadn't keep track of the record, care to show us the record for your strategy? I know there were a few years that showed a loss of a few units, I remember during the 2008 - 09 playoffs, this system worked great as all 8 series in the opening round ended up in a split. Cheers!
Oh I don't have exact numbers over the years, but I am sure you can do some googling and find some. But I can tell you it's a winner most years. When it does take a loss it's not even a bump on the road.
BOL
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Quote Originally Posted by oilfan1928:
Hello Lippsmann,
I have been using your strategy during the playoffs for the last maybe 4 or 5 years but hadn't keep track of the record, care to show us the record for your strategy? I know there were a few years that showed a loss of a few units, I remember during the 2008 - 09 playoffs, this system worked great as all 8 series in the opening round ended up in a split. Cheers!
Oh I don't have exact numbers over the years, but I am sure you can do some googling and find some. But I can tell you it's a winner most years. When it does take a loss it's not even a bump on the road.
one other 'system' if you wanna call it that, is on the correct 60 minute score prop
when it comes the NHL playoffs, these games are tight checking and low scoring..you get a lot of 2-1 overtime games
I don't know if I would call this a contribution or not, but i think a good prop to bet on in these playoffs (especially after round 1 since round 1 is the highest scoring), would be playing the 1-1 60 minute score prop. It usually hovers around odds of +1500. You nail just a couple of these bad boys and you're swimming in the green.
Not all books carry these props though. I know willhill does
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one other 'system' if you wanna call it that, is on the correct 60 minute score prop
when it comes the NHL playoffs, these games are tight checking and low scoring..you get a lot of 2-1 overtime games
I don't know if I would call this a contribution or not, but i think a good prop to bet on in these playoffs (especially after round 1 since round 1 is the highest scoring), would be playing the 1-1 60 minute score prop. It usually hovers around odds of +1500. You nail just a couple of these bad boys and you're swimming in the green.
Not all books carry these props though. I know willhill does
one other 'system' if you wanna call it that, is on the correct 60 minute score prop
when it comes the NHL playoffs, these games are tight checking and low scoring..you get a lot of 2-1 overtime games
I don't know if I would call this a contribution or not, but i think a good prop to bet on in these playoffs (especially after round 1 since round 1 is the highest scoring), would be playing the 1-1 60 minute score prop. It usually hovers around odds of +1500. You nail just a couple of these bad boys and you're swimming in the green.
Not all books carry these props though. I know willhill does
Everything is a contribution, thanks !!!!
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Quote Originally Posted by BowmansAddict:
one other 'system' if you wanna call it that, is on the correct 60 minute score prop
when it comes the NHL playoffs, these games are tight checking and low scoring..you get a lot of 2-1 overtime games
I don't know if I would call this a contribution or not, but i think a good prop to bet on in these playoffs (especially after round 1 since round 1 is the highest scoring), would be playing the 1-1 60 minute score prop. It usually hovers around odds of +1500. You nail just a couple of these bad boys and you're swimming in the green.
Not all books carry these props though. I know willhill does
There are 4 teams that get notoriously upset come this time of year
Wash/Pitts/St L/SJ- that not to say that they have not gone deep or can go all the way but these 4 teams seem to tighten up this time of year. Expectations?
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There are 4 teams that get notoriously upset come this time of year
Wash/Pitts/St L/SJ- that not to say that they have not gone deep or can go all the way but these 4 teams seem to tighten up this time of year. Expectations?
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