Adam's Sports Picks!

Have a few bets out on the NBA but might tail you on this one you being on a good hot streak and all

Another winning night as the Suns and Blazers played 'under' the total on my only selection.

I've only just got back home from work so will more than likely post tonight's selections up first and then analysis afterwards.

Overall Record: 7 Wins 2 Losses (77.78%)

+7.25 Units

Best of luck tonight all!

In all honesty, i've had virtually no time to put research into matchups today and will certainly not attempt to force things by just posting selections up half-heartedly.

Therefore, I will only be providing one pick, which is one that caught my eye this morning. Ive looked into it further since I got back home and have decided to make it my lone selection for tonight.

I will post it up shortly along with a write-up..

Tennis: Australian Open (Final)

Novak Djokovic vs Rafael Nadal

Well, it's safe to say that neither one of these players is a stranger to the Grand Slam Final stage, as they will be facing each other in their third consecutive major final tonight.

There is very little separating these two in terms of their head-to-head record, with Nadal having the slight edge winning 16-13 overall. However, Djokovic has been almost unstoppable over the past year or so, coming up against Nadal six times throughout 2011 (all in tournament finals) and winning on each occassion.

As much as players try to convince the media that statistics such as the one previously mentioned fail to have any negative effects on their mentality, it is almost impossible to believe that Nadal won't be heading into this match fully aware of the fact that Djokovic has beaten him in six straight attempts.

However, Nadal will be full of confidence heading into the final considering the way he's performed throughout the tournament, notably fighting back from one set down in two consecutive matches against Berdych and Federer in the Quarter and Semi-Finals respectively to come away with victories in four sets.

Both Djokovic and Nadal are in terrific form as of late and should provide us with a thrilling finale to a great tournament. This one certainly won't dissapoint as a close four setter or possible five setter would not be surprising by any means.

Djokovic is understandably the favourite heading into the match but Nadal does have a couple of important factors that may provide him with an advantage.

Firstly, Nadal's Semi-Final encounter with Roger Federer was played one day earlier than Djokovic's thrilling marathon match with Andy Murray. Therefore, with Nadal having an extra day of rest following a shorter, less physically exerting Semi-Final match in comparison, you have to say that Rafa has the edge concerning their physical conditions. 

Secondly, the surfaces of the Australian Open hard courts have been playing noticably much slower than expected throughout the tournament which will also provide Nadal with an edge. Rafa at times has looked unstoppable when playing on some of the slower courts on the tour which will undoubtedly make the final result of this match closer and more competitive than the final they played out on the hard courts at the U.S Open last year where the surfaces were noticably more responsive.

I cashed in a similar situation two nights ago taking 'over' 37.5 total games when Djokovic played Murray in the Semi-Final, winning with ease as the total landed on 51 games. Although, i'm not expecting this match to reach 51 total games, I do expect it to surpass 40, and believe Nadal will be tougher competition for Djokovic on paper than Murray was. With only a two point difference in the 'total games' market, currently being advertised at O/U 39.5 games, I believe there is value in taking the 'over' again tonight.

Pick: Total Games OVER 39.5 -114

Risking 1.71 Units to win 1.5 Units. 

BOL going to be on this play also

Wow! I may have predicted a close contest, in a thrilling final that wouldn't dissapoint in the tennis, but I didnt expect it to be that special. It will go down as one of the highest quality & most entertaining Grand Slam Final matches ever played. The 'over' selection was under threat for moments in the fourth set but cashed with ease in the end as the total landed on 55 games, way clear of the posted O/U 39.5 game total.

I had leans towards an NBA and NCAAB selection last night but decided to stay away in the end and they both would have cashed which was a little dissapointing but I can't have any complaints with the start i've made to the thread, opening up with five consecutive nights making profit. Let's hope it continues going forward!  

Overall Record: 8 Wins 2 Losses (80%)

+8.75 Units 

Best of luck tonight all! 

No picks from me for tonight,

Will be back with more tomorrow!

Wat do u think today about the Bulls -9 and Hornets +12?

Pistons ML looked nice a well?

Both look very good to me

Snake, my lean for the Bulls game would probably be -2.5 for the 1st quarter handicap and would lean Bulls -9 if taking a full game spread.

I would probably lean towards Hornets +12 also over the Heat. I think Miami will win but expect the Hornets to be competitive and keep it to single digits.

Not sure about the Pistons to be honest. I would lean the Bucks to win the game but Pistons +7.5 on the spread.

Best of luck with whatever you decide to take.  

Well .. It's not going to be often that I'll go two consecutive night's without making a pick, but I've studied what feels like hundreds of matchups across several sports throughout the day and there's nothing that stands out with enough value, or provides me with enough confidence to confirm a selection.

I would much rather lay-off for another night, rather than posting something up for the sake of it. I may end up posting something in-play if I see value in a line but it's unlikely.

Best of luck tonight all!

NBA

Dallas Mavericks @ Pheonix Suns

Pick: Dallas Mavericks -4 -110

Risking 1.65 Units to win 1.5 Units.

(Write-up coming shortly)

Dallas Mavericks @ Pheonix Suns (Analysis)

The Suns have struggled to get things going this season, they have failed to show any consistency and have been a huge dissapointment on several occasions already.

I expect the struggle to continue for Pheonix tonight, who have confirmed that their veteran star point-guard Steve Nash will be sidelined with a thigh injury.

It's difficult to emphasize just how important Nash is to the Suns team. He dictates the style and tempo of the game in possession, constructs plays offensively, can score points and provide assists as second nature and really is the heart-beat of everything good that comes from this Pheonix squad.

If they found thing difficult at times with their key man on the court, they're surely going to find things a whole lot harder when he's sidelined. Nash has been averaging 14.3 points per game this season on 52.8% shooting, dishing out an impressive 9.9 assists per game in the process.

The Mavs will also be without their starting point-guard Jason Kidd, however, his replacement Beabouis is proving to be a strong prospect as backup point-guard for Dallas. With Carter and Odom both finally upping their production and efficiency, combined with the return of Dirk Nowitzki from injury, this leads me to expect that a tough night is in store for this Pheonix team.

These teams have faced each other twice already this season, both times in Dallas, with the Mavs coming away with victories on both occassions by scores of 98-89 and 93-87.

It is also worth noting that Carter and Nowitzki were both absent in their previous meeting, and although Kidd will be missing for tonight's encounter, the return of Nowitzki combined with the absense of Nash should lead the Mavs to a win and cover in Pheonix tonight.

Pick: Dallas Mavericks -4 -110

Risking 1.65 Units to win 1.5 Units

Another comfortable win last night as the Mavs disposed of the Suns with relative ease. Surprising that the 4th ranked road defense Mavs gave up 99 points against a 'Nash-less' Suns team but still dominated the game pretty much from start to finish and came away with a 122-99 victory.

Overall Record: 9 Wins 2 Losses (81.82%)

+10.25 Units