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Django's AFL 2012 thread

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Posted: #101
Like it  GL
 
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Posted: #102

Pies win by 12 goals

 
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Posted: #103
[Quote]Pies 1-39 1u @ 2.50 (sportsbet) [/Quote]

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Posted: #104
Brisbane were competitive last year against the Bombers at home, up until half time, then Bombers won comfortably by 36 points.

Last meeting at Docklands in 2010 was a 27 point win to Brisbane, in 09 a draw at the G and a 43 point win at home for the Lions.

Kind of same scenario as last night. Essendon coming off an extended break may be a little off and underestimate the Lions who are due to bounce back from some poor performances up forward, roof is closed at Etihad so weather is a non issue.

Although that tough game last week in the heavy wet conditions may cause some tired legs for the Lions late in the game. As a Lions fan my usual instinct is to lean against them. Bombers do have the capacity for a blowout here, but like last night the line is a little high to take with any confidence so I'm gonna chance the 1-39 and hope Lions show something today but don't bloody pull the upset of the round!

They have enough talent on the field to be competitive they just need to put it together for 4 quarters.

Bombers by 32 points.

Essendon 1-39 1u @ 2.40 (sportsbet)

Selwood and Lonergan late outs for Cats, line has dropped a few points, not sure about this game now. Melbourne have kept it close the past few weeks when they were expected to be blown out. Cats off that waterpolo game in Brisbane.






 
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Posted: #105
Cats 1-39 .4 @ 3.00 (pinny)
 
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Posted: #106
what does 1-39 mean?
 
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Posted: #107
Quote Originally Posted by yysmer:

what does 1-39 mean?

There winning margin
 
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Posted: #108
Quote Originally Posted by yysmer:

what does 1-39 mean?


As LL said winning margin, we have margin props on AFL as well as the spreads. They are shown as 1-39 or 40+ basically a team winning margin over/under 6.5 goals

Aussie books offer them on NBA too 1-10 and 11+ they can be good value especially when the spread falls about halfway between them and the fave covering isn't feeling like a smart bet and the dog winning su is highly unlikely.

I think I may have cooked it today, should have gone on Lions pessimism instead of playing the stats.


 
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Posted: #109
Bombers 1-39

Cats 1-39

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Not the right games to take margins on.
 
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Posted: #110
Down week for the Suns, while they played well against North, Dockers are a much better team. Can't cap this one under 40 points.
Dockers -36.5 1u @ 1.91 (sportingbet)

Freo by 55 points.

Swans 1-39 is almost becoming a cert play of the week, Crows usually match up well with Swans. I don't see Swans winning by much more than the 24 point spread. Swans by 16.
Sydney 1-39 1u @ 2.15 (sportsbet)


 
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Posted: #111
Hawks to bounce back after last weeks loss to the Swans and beat the shitty Saints quite comfortably. I hope...

Hawks -23.5 1u @ 1.98 (pinnacle)
 
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Posted: #112
Fucking purple penis eaters.

How the hell do Suns play like this without Ablett, arguably the best player in the comp and to rub it in on SEN as the game ends there's a plug for gamblers helpline. So I'm going to buy beer, come home and gamble some more.

Dockers -36.5 1u @ 1.91 (sportingbet)

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Lets go Swannies and Hawks.
 
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Posted: #113
Swans

Hawks

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Posted: #114
Doing all my plays now, up late boozing, don't think I'll be up in time let alone care for football and gambling tomorrow. I'll care about winning and getting back in the + though

Blues -90.5 1u @ 2.10 (sportsbet)

Poo Power +5.5 1u @ 1.92 (sportsbet)

Weagles 1-39 1u @ 2.25 (sportsbet)
 
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Posted: #115
Carlton vs GWS Over 197.5 @ 1.90 (bet365)
 
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Posted: #116
Quote Originally Posted by Django:

Carlton vs GWS Over 197.5 1u @ 1.90 (bet365)


fixed
 
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Posted: #117
Quote Originally Posted by Django:



Blues -90.5 1u @ 2.10 (sportsbet)
Carlton vs GWS Over 197.5 1u @ 1.90 (bet365)
Poo Power +5.5 1u @ 1.92 (sportsbet)

Weagles 1-39 1u @ 2.25 (sportsbet)

 




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Posted: #118
Hawthorn 40-59 .4u @ 4.10
 
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Posted: #119
Quote Originally Posted by Django:

Hawthorn 40-59 .4u @ 4.10


Hawks by 66

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Posted: #120
Gold Coast Suns 1-39 1u @ 2.20 (sportsbet)

Tigers -2.5 .5u @ 2.00 (bet365)

Crows ML .5u @ 2.23 (pinnacle)

Essendon -7.5 1u @ 1.92 (sportsbet)

Collingwood -26.5 1u @ 2.01 (pinnacle)


 
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Posted: #121
Quote Originally Posted by Django:

Gold Coast Suns 1-39 1u @ 2.20 (sportsbet)

Tigers -2.5 .5u @ 2.00 (bet365)

Crows ML .5u @ 2.23 (pinnacle)

Essendon -7.5 1u @ 1.92 (sportsbet)

Collingwood -26.5 1u @ 2.01 (pinnacle)




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Posted: #122
North are 1-4 against the Doggies in their last 5. North off the trip to Perth for the Sunday twilight game. Doggies off the Friday night game with a few extra days rest. Aside the loss to the Saints Dogs haven't been too bad, were competitive with Adelaide and Collingwood, think they will upset the Roos today.

Western Bulldogs +20.5 1u @ 1.97 (pinny)
 
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Posted: #123
Bulldogs ML .4u @ 4.29 (pinny)
 
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Posted: #124
Quote Originally Posted by Django:


Western Bulldogs +20.5 1u @ 1.97 (pinny)

Bulldogs ML .4u @ 4.29 (pinny)


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Posted: #125
Nice call on the Dogs Django. Surprised Nth Melb didn't turn up today with a full strength roster, at home too!
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