🤔 Let's give this one a try - NCAA season thread

My cbb betting days are long behind me.

I was a dog player for the most part, so seeing so much chalk makes me feel uneasy. 

Good Luck to you sir on your endeavors 

rinse and repeat

From our dear friend.

swept the board yest but it got zapped,,,,boise/clem over,,,,3 team ml parlay princeton chattanooga miss st,,,,,,,,,,,,today,,,,mcneese st -3,,,,,,,,,thumbs_up

As you will see if I remember to keep this thread going, I wager on the same teams and conferences over and over again. All smalls abd mid-majors. You'll see me in the Ohio Valley, the Patriot, the Summit, etc. Not so much in the SEC, ACC, Big Ten, Big East. Sometimes but not much.

High Point 1h -8 -103, 1 unit

I'm on them again. Gonna back them until I have a reason not to.

Wheat Shockers 1h -9.5 -110, 0.5 unit

I'm still trying to figure out the identity of this post-Metro era Monmouth team. I have done well fading them the last few years. Maybe they can recapture the magic of 10 years ago. Lets see it. The Shockers themselves have fallen a bit from their former grace but I still think they are world's ahead of this version of Monmouth.

canisius +31/5,,,fairlield/drexel over 136,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,may add later, got a motherfukin screw in my tire,,,it in there pretty good, still should be able to get jr to school then to the tire place to plug it,,,,,,,angry,,,,,,,,fuckin hurricane aftermath, debris still everywhere over 6 weeks later,,,,,,,,,an_getaway

Yeah, bro, getting anything in a tire sucks but pales in comparison to dealing with a hurricane I guess.

We're gonna start off today with Cincinnati. This is one of those games where the oddmakers are telling us that the two teams are closer than what public perception might dictate. I think Nor'tucky isn't as bad as their 0-3 record. However, I can't stress enough just how close these two campuses are. When you're from the West Coast, states are huge. It wasn't until visiting that region some years ago that I realized how close everything is. And it doesn't get closer than Cincinnati and Northern Kentucky. I think the Bearcats will travel well and overwhelm the Norsemen.

Cincinnati 1h -7 -105, 2 units

 Again, the number tells me Northern Kentucky is the play but I can't pass up a ranked team playing their first road game 5 minutes away against a winless opponent, even if I do believe the Norse are better than their 0-3 start.

Montana State has spent a fair bit of time east of the Rockies in their young season, visiting Madison and Wichita respectively. They came home for essentially a warm-up game before heading back out to Denver, a short flight away. Now the head back to the Midwest. I don't think that Northwestern is worlds better than Montana State. I don't think Montana St is as a bad as their 1-3 start. However, I do believe home court has it's most value when smalls to mid-majors travel outside of their proximity to face power conference teams. This is purely a home cooking pick.

Northwestern 1h -8.5 -108, 1 unit

A trend in today's picks has been how lesser teams have to travel a bunch outside of their region during non-conference play. This brings us to Bethune-Cookman. SWAC schools are absolute trash in basketball. They're essentially a D-2 comference. You'll often find success fading the SWAC during early non-conference play. Bethune-Cookman has traveled from the east coast of Florida to Lubbock, West Texas, to Lincoln, Nebraska, where the did lose by only 5 against a 23 point spread, and Fort Wayne, Indiana. They came home for their lone win against South Carolina State. I that win they were 1-12 from deep but were blessed with 30 trips to the charity stripe after averaging 10 attempts in their first 3 games. They don't shoot it well. They don't get to the free throw line. And the have a bad assist:turnover ratio, a metric I always love fading. Now they travel to NoLa. I have flown from N.O. to Atlanta. It's not exactly a short flight. I think this is another food fade of a over-matched team who has spent the I opening of their season not at home, not in a tournament, but traveling far from their home region.

Tulane 1h -8.5 -103, 1 unit