CD Newsletter - Week 10

I fear for Tommy Devito's safety but damn if i'll lay 16 pts.If the Giants also care they probably will be running the ball 47 times and with Dallas in possible let down spot the U would seem to be the play.

The Giants offense averages 65 plays per game. 13 of those plays result in a penalty, sack, or turnover. 1 in every 5 snaps turns into a disaster (and that doesn't even account for incompletions and runs stuffed at the line of scrimmage)

@Getty3

 Great stuff ad always 

I betcha if someone ran a query on nfl favs -14 or higher, the record would show you to lay the points.

In my memory, I can't remember large dogs doing well in the nfl

@undermysac

I think its fairly significant.....although I'm too lazy to run the numbers  

Ravens know they travel to Cincy for TNF to face Bengals in a revenge spot and who have gone 6 - 1 since then.It would sure behoove them to take care of the Browns on Sunday. I may lay the 6 but i'm in no big hurry to so.

Game is in Bmoreeeeeeeeeeeee

Both of them..

Looking at the 49ers receivers route trees vs. the Jaguars is pretty startling. SF has their targets running crosses,slants,in and outs...very complex. Jax keeps things simpler with lots of looks to the perimeters. Even routes which start over the middle tend to curve back to the boundaries. 

SF D is 24th in coverage against boundary throws. JAX D is 7th best against throws intended for the middle. SF's biggest deficiency in coverage is on mid to deep passes at the sidelines. Sets up for a Calvin Ridley smash spot for us fantasy folks.

Travis Etienne's metrics almost mirror those of McCaffrey on runs. CMD obviously has the pass catching chops in his favor.

SF has been better at both 3rd down conversion and red zone efficiency. 

I'll continue delving deeper, but as I knew this game is going to go down to the wire. Best game of the week and sits as a regional offering on TV. At least I get to watch it.

@Getty3

 Atta boy 

@Getty3

starting Ridley myself 

Here's a good one. The Ravens last 3 years as -3.5 favs or more vs division, 5-14 ats.

Load up on the Browns.....

Both OT's  are ..

Chester Watson better get his track shoes on....

Better epic melodic rock song : Boston's "Don't Look Back" or Kansas "Carry On Wayward Son" ? 

@BIGDTITLE

 Nice work ....

I'd go with Boston, amazing song.

But some how I feel that this is a riddle to handicapping?

https://www.covers.com/forum/nfl-betting-21/i-think-the-nfl-should-ban-the-punch-out-move-103782899/1#last

@Getty3

 2 great old bands....

Bagent starting for the Bears. Fields not cleared 

@Getty3

 Being from your area if I remember correctly, Molly Hatchet "Flirting with Disaster" should be playing for about 9-10 teams this weekend. Jax Rules! 

@BIGDTITLE

why you hating on my team so bad 

I see now…..it’s just a hatred for NYC in general