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CD Newsletter #6

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Posted: #26

Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

Food for thought: The Commanders o line is in the top 5 in pass blocking. The Ravens pass rush is bottom 3rd. The Commanders have had arguably the easiest schedule thus far, with the Panthers on deck. Nothing to look ahead to. This game is the ultimate "prove it" spot. The Ravens just went to the brink in Cincinnati, a divisional game. They go to Tampa next week, if it's still standing after hurricane Milton.
Good chance there will be no thefootball in Tampa, moved to another locale. Atl or N. Orleans. 

 
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Posted: #27

No team has ever fired their coach with a 2-3 record. 

No team in has ever made the playoffs with an interim head coach.

Here's looking at you Woody Johnson 

an_popcorn

 
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Posted: #28

Let's look at some things...Nathaniel Hackett vs Robert Saleh

Off dvoa: #23, Def dvoa: #12

Off epa per play: #23, Def epa #6

Aaron Rodgers:

Epa+cpoe composite #26, one slot lower than Trevor Lawrence. 

Success rate #27

Completion percentage #28, only qb's worse are Trevor Lawrence, DeSean Watson, Bryce Young, Jordan Love(what?) and Anthony Richardson. 

Was Robert Saleh really the problem? Hackett and Rodgers are the poison apples in the Jets garden of eden 

 
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Posted: #29

Washington lit it up L3 v 31st,27th and 24th ranked defences.

Washington's #2 ground game will go up against the #1 ranked run defence.

L10 home wins, EAPs average win margin is 17+.

EAPS by 10+ (cover and under)  Henry will be exhausted after this one.  

27-17ish

 
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Posted: #30

@undermysac

 Rodgers has fucked me for the last time. Sunday Bloody Sunday.

 
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Posted: #31

Quote Originally Posted by lbcake:

Washington lit it up L3 v 31st,27th and 24th ranked defences. Washington's #2 ground game will go up against the #1 ranked run defence. L10 home wins, EAPs average win margin is 17+. EAPS by 10+ (cover and under)  Henry will be exhausted after this one.   27-17ish

Muffin I'll send u $25 GC if the Skins score 17 or less on Sunday....

U risk nothing.....

Sadly for the Ravens Daniels has a great arm....

LSU his senior year the Tigers averaged 40 ppg...

they lost because their defense couldnt stop u me

and 9 an_drunksick's....................35-31 Ravensssssssssssssssssan_bounce

 
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Posted: #32

Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

Oh boy, dogs of 6+ points this year are 16-2-1 ats. What is happening
That stat my survivor pick is either balty or cincy I would like to think take the vet over the rookie ,Giants are my team but Danny dimes terrible on prime time games I think like 1-12 and going against a hungry healthy burrow offense what you guys think my lean is cincy ? 

 
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Posted: #33

an_wink

 
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Posted: #34

an_wink

Bengals season on the line...peace_5

 
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Posted: #35

Quote Originally Posted by lbcake:

Washington lit it up L3 v 31st,27th and 24th ranked defences. Washington's #2 ground game will go up against the #1 ranked run defence. L10 home wins, EAPs average win margin is 17+. EAPS by 10+ (cover and under)  Henry will be exhausted after this one.   27-17ish

ish - to make the reference sound deliberately vague and approximate. 

 110 - 100 (cover and over). The total is of no interest to me but the cover is.

 

 
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Posted: #36

https://www.instagram.com/reel/DA13w8GvrtG/?igsh=MTBzdXZwOXo1cGdnOA==

https://www.instagram.com/p/DA4eUPay-eZ/?igsh=MWZ0Y3U5NDNzNmN3

The Bears DB's have surpassed the Vikings for the #1 spot in epa. Don't say I didn't tell ya. They run more cover 3 than any of the other top 10 units.

This just happens to be Mahomes kryptonite. Do you guys smell a Bears SB?

an_cheers

P.S. Bears Strong Safety Jaquon Brisker didn't make the flight to London because he's in concussion protocol. Apparently not just rocks in his head. The Bears are saying that if he passes protocol he could fly to London to play in the game. That just sounds highly unlikely to me though. 

 
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Posted: #37

Sir 58 'The Refute' would still balk at an outcome that was predetermined.

 
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Posted: #38

The Chiefs have run the fewest defensive plays while trailing this year, at 48.

The 49ers are at the second fewest at 49.

KC is 5-0, SF is 2-3

 
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Posted: #39

In SF's 3 losses they have made 15 trips into the redzone, for an avg of 4.3 per game.

The NFL avg is 3.5 per game.

9ers have dealt with injuries to their best players, hold-outs, distractions, and bad luck.

They have also started 2-3 or worse in 7 of the last 10 years.

SF is very much alive for a playoff run peace_5

bigreds daddy
 
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Posted: #40

Quote Originally Posted by kidd22:

Quote Originally Posted by undermysac: Oh boy, dogs of 6+ points this year are 16-2-1 ats. What is happeningThat stat my survivor pick is either balty or cincy I would like to think take the vet over the rookie ,Giants are my team but Danny dimes terrible on prime time games I think like 1-12 and going against a hungry healthy burrow offense what you guys think my lean is cincy ?
I think I'd take my chances with the Ravens at home. peace_5

 
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Posted: #41

Quote Originally Posted by Hugh_Jorgan:

In SF's 3 losses they have made 15 trips into the redzone, for an avg of 4.3 per game. The NFL avg is 3.5 per game. 9ers have dealt with injuries to their best players, hold-outs, distractions, and bad luck. They have also started 2-3 or worse in 7 of the last 10 years. SF is very much alive for a playoff run
KC is well coached and has schemes that allow for a player to drop out and be replaced by anyone and they don't miss a beat....niners the same really....they may drop off in offensive output sometimes but the next man stepping up seems to fill the void from the player they replaced even if it is a star player...this is the well coached aspect....not many teams can do this but these coaches know how to game plan to fill the void and that is a talent that does not get discussed all that much....imagine all this with the niners without mccaffrey too...when he comes back the team is entirely different and it will actually affect both sides of the ball....

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Posted: #42

@Hugh_Jorgan

 That Dan Campbell post Lions trend you posted, get this, and it makes sense. 

In games following the Detroit Lions game, teams are surrendering 189 rush yards per game. 

That Lions o line is literally beating the shit out of defensive fronts so bad, that the next game they aren't up for doing it again.

I knew in the back of my head that this was similar to the "post Ravens" trend that was so good for years. And that ofcourse was when Greg Roman was there, with a heavy run offense. 

peace_5

 
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Posted: #43

@ABooksNightmare

 About KC, and that game vs the Saints specifically, I think that was a masterclass by Andy Reid in full display. Not just the play calling, but the formations and type of rts they ran. 

They showed the Saints NOTHING of what was on tape. Fuckin 3 and 4 TE sets, and Mahomes looked like it was the offense they've been running all along.

I, like most of us were on the Saints, and I bet we all knew after 1 quarter that we were fucked. It was just one of those particular KC games where you didn't want to be betting against them.

On the flip side of that kind of game, why aren't we ever against the Chiefs when they win but don't cover? They've done that more than any other team the last 3 years, and by a mile.

I hate gambling.

peace_5

 
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Posted: #44

@undermysac

 totally get everything you just said there, even the CAPS and use of correctly placed punctuation....

 

KC can be the devil sometimes...they are uber good in many key positions, but as you and others have mentioned several times in these newsletters, coaching is the one variable everyone forgets when capping....coaching got the better of the Saints in that game for sure...if it wasn't for the Saints defense holding their own the best they could that would have been a much bigger deficit....

 

KC just too good still and on path to win 3 championships in a row...how do you stop them....you don't...they stop themselves that's it an_speechless

 

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Posted: #45

So the Phillies make a pitching change with 1 out and the bases loaded and Lindor hits a grand slam off the guy. Series over. The Mets are the team of destiny. 

 
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Posted: #46

Quote Originally Posted by kidd22:

Quote Originally Posted by undermysac: Oh boy, dogs of 6+ points this year are 16-2-1 ats. What is happeningThat stat my survivor pick is either balty or cincy I would like to think take the vet over the rookie ,Giants are my team but Danny dimes terrible on prime time games I think like 1-12 and going against a hungry healthy burrow offense what you guys think my lean is cincy ?

No and no. Two teams heading in opposite directions. Giants are a live bet there.  Take the Shrimps/Crabs over DC. 

 
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Posted: #47

World series is going to be the Mets vs Tigers

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Posted: #48

And the Super Bowl may just be the Lions vs Chiefs

 

And I think Detroit pulls the championships in bothsurprised

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Posted: #49

Quote Originally Posted by Getty3:

Quote Originally Posted by kidd22: Quote Originally Posted by undermysac: Oh boy, dogs of 6+ points this year are 16-2-1 ats. What is happeningThat stat my survivor pick is either balty or cincy I would like to think take the vet over the rookie ,Giants are my team but Danny dimes terrible on prime time games I think like 1-12 and going against a hungry healthy burrow offense what you guys think my lean is cincy ? No and no. Two teams heading in opposite directions. Giants are a live bet there.  Take the Shrimps/Crabs over DC.

U dont like Daniels.....confused

There D is playing well too...an_wink

 
 
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Posted: #50

Quote Originally Posted by bigred84:

Quote Originally Posted by lbcake: Washington lit it up L3 v 31st,27th and 24th ranked defences. Washington's #2 ground game will go up against the #1 ranked run defence. L10 home wins, EAPs average win margin is 17+. EAPS by 10+ (cover and under)  Henry will be exhausted after this one.   27-17ish Muffin I'll send u $25 GC if the Skins score 17 or less on Sunday.... U risk nothing..... Sadly for the Ravens Daniels has a great arm.... LSU his senior year the Tigers averaged 40 ppg... they lost because their defense couldnt stop u me and 9 's....................35-31 Ravensssssssssssssssss

Are you saying to take the Redskins & ML on Sunday ?  bigsmile

 

I'm waiting to see if these line is going to move anymore...

AZ / Packers Over 47

TB / Saints Over 41.5

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